LSU at Florida State - 2022 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Sunday, September 4th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -4.5 (51.0)
Florida State 24 - LSU: 23  (Allstate Louisiana Kickoff)

 
Tigers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ LSU -3)
Projected Score: LSU: 19 - FSU: 29 (48)
LSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
LSU Travel: 73 miles
Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (8 - 13)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 LSU vs Florida State-4.551.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 9/10 LSU vs Southern-44.558.0W 65 - 17OY
Sat 9/17 LSU vs Mississippi State+3.053.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 LSU vs New Mexico-31.544.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 LSU at Auburn-8.044.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/8 LSU vs Tennessee+2.563.0L 13 - 40UN
Sat 10/15 LSU at Florida+2.051.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 10/22 LSU vs Ole Miss+0.064.0W 45 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 LSU vs Alabama+13.556.5W 32 - 31OY
Sat 11/12 LSU at Arkansas-5.059.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/19 LSU vs UAB-15.550.5W 41 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 LSU at Texas A&M-10.047.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 12/3 LSU vs Georgia+17.052.0L 30 - 50ON
Mon 1/2 LSU vs Purdue-15.054.0W 63 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Florida State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Florida State vs Duquesne-42.057.0W 47 - 7UN
Sun 9/4 Florida State vs LSU+4.551.0W 24 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/16 Florida State at Louisville-2.557.0W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Florida State vs Boston College-18.548.5W 44 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-6.067.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/8 Florida State at NC State+3.550.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 10/15 Florida State vs Clemson+4.551.0L 28 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-23.548.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/5 Florida State at Miami-6.554.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 Florida State at Syracuse-7.551.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Florida State vs Louisiana-25.052.5W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/25 Florida State vs Florida-10.058.5W 45 - 38ON
Thu 12/29 Florida State vs Oklahoma-10.567.0W 35 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.1941%22.838%2.8911443%2544.25.1843%19.842%43%4.0334.31.21.1
FSU.2241%3343%3.3417839%2024.39.1539%2239%41%3.3562.51.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1322.816.440.6%4.251.2193681142543.346%54%38%43%17%.19
FSU Defense122216.139.3%3.351.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%41%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1319.820.442.7%4.031.1 - - - - - 48%52%42%43%17%.18
FSU Offense123343.340.7%4.391.8213791782024.851%48%43%39%18%.22

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1329:3619.437%63%4.334.31.21.17.52.9127.8
Florida State1228:2020.634%33%6.962.51.81.87.22.8125.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1346%38%34.21143.39.042.8969%10%0.92
FSU Defense1251%39% - - - - .042.971%11%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1348%42% - - - - .072.8473%12%0.98
FSU Offense1251%43%37.2177.84.821.223.3464%13%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1354%43%20.234.1254.57.512.63211.311.633%31%.37%1.9
FSU Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 14.331.835%33%.347%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 8.291.734%35%.475%2.3
FSU Offense1248%39%17.428.3201.67.111.62012.241.632%30%.395%2.2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2022 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #14
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #37
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Florida State: 6.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 16.2   Florida State: 13.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 6.6 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2  #23
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #34
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #34

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 29
LSU 19

Projected Total Points: 48
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/03Florida State45LSU24LSU -2Florida State56.5Over
202209/04Florida State24LSU23LSU -4.5Florida State51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State221 Overs
LSU001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

(#) LSU at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #23
Perf GradeGrade #34 #9
OffenseOff #37 #12
DefenseDef #36 #32
Spec TeamsST #128 #9
TalentTal #8 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #37 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #25 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #25 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #55 #36
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #36
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #12 #18
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #9 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #72 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
LSU 4.5 (51.0)
Florida State won vs LSU this year (24-23)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat LSU in 2023 (45-24)

  
LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD