Florida State at Clemson - 2021 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -9.5 (47.5)
Clemson 30 - Florida State: 20  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -8  (SP+ CLEM -11)
Projected Score: FSU: 23 - CLEM: 25 (48)
CLEM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FSU Travel: 305 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (141 - 35)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (34 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Florida State vs Notre Dame+7.053.5L 38 - 41OY
Sat 9/11 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-27.556.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 9/18 Florida State at Wake Forest+4.563.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/25 Florida State vs Louisville-1.561.0L 23 - 31UN
Sat 10/2 Florida State vs Syracuse-5.550.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/9 Florida State at North Carolina+17.564.5W 35 - 25UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Florida State vs Massachusetts-35.059.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 10/30 Florida State at Clemson+9.547.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 11/6 Florida State vs NC State+3.055.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 Florida State vs Miami+2.561.5W 31 - 28UY
Sat 11/20 Florida State at Boston College+3.055.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/27 Florida State at Florida+4.058.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Clemson's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Clemson vs Georgia-3.051.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 Clemson vs South Carolina State-50.556.0W 49 - 3UN
Sat 9/18 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-27.552.5W 14 - 8UN
Sat 9/25 Clemson at NC State-10.546.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/2 Clemson vs Boston College-14.546.5W 19 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 Clemson at Syracuse-12.544.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/23 Clemson at Pittsburgh+3.547.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 10/30 Clemson vs Florida State-9.547.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Clemson at Louisville-3.546.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 11/13 Clemson vs UConn-40.550.5W 44 - 7ON
Sat 11/20 Clemson vs Wake Forest-3.557.0W 48 - 27OY
Sat 11/27 Clemson at South Carolina-11.542.5W 30 - 0UY
Wed 12/29 Clemson vs Iowa State-1.544.0W 20 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.2241%27.643%3.3417839%2024.39.1539%26.539%41%3.3562.51.81.8
CLEM.1240%26.343%3.2516837%1913.78.0536%14.835%37%2.3150.51.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1227.623.240.7%4.391.8213791782024.851%48%43%39%18%.22
CLEM Defense1314.81335.7%2.311.6 - - - - - 45%54%35%37%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense1226.527.439.3%3.351.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%41%18%.15
CLEM Offense1326.33440.1%3.781.5203591681914.552%48%43%37%15%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1228:2020.634%33%6.962.51.81.87.22.8125.6
Clemson1329:2419.837%56%6.150.51.51.66.93.2130.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1251%43%37.2177.84.821.223.3464%13%1.13
CLEM Defense1345%35% - - - - -.052.6173%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1251%39% - - - - .042.971%11%0.93
CLEM Offense1352%43%37.51684.526.153.2573%10%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1248%39%17.428.3201.67.111.62012.241.632%30%.395%2.2
CLEM Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 12.141.537%27%.227%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 14.331.835%33%.347%2.2
CLEM Offense1348%37%17.531.8191.2610.91211.111.633%29%.295%2.2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    Clemson: 11.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.6   Clemson: 18.7




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.85 NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Clemson's 2021 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7  #8
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #71
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.6  #3

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 25
Florida State 23


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 26
Clemson 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 28
Florida State 20

Total Points: 48
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Clemson's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Clemson24Florida State10Clemson -1.5Clemson56.5Under
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29Clemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34Clemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20Clemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14Clemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59Clemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14Clemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37Clemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13Clemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1575 Overs
Florida State1045 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 85 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 176 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#) FSU at (#) CLEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUCLEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #8
Perf GradeGrade #82 #52
OffenseOff #99 #90
DefenseDef #25 #18
Spec TeamsST #110 #52
TalentTal #20 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #99 #18
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #80 #36
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #41
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #49 #13
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Clemson on Offense
CategoryCatCLEM OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Clemson Run Game
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #85 #13
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Clemson Pass Game
CategoryCatCLEM OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #102 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #55 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.016
Rematch from Week 9
Clemson -9.5 (47.5)
Clemson won vs Florida State this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2022 (34-28)

  
FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CLEM's OC Tony Elliott (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD