Florida State at Clemson - 2021 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -9.5 (47.5)
Clemson 30 - Florida State: 20 (ACC)

Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -8 (SP+ CLEM -11)
Projected Score: FSU: 24 - CLEM: 27 (51)
CLEM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FSU Travel: 305 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (141 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/5	Florida State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	53.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida State vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida State at Wake Forest	+4.5	63.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/25	Florida State vs Louisville	-1.5	61.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida State vs Syracuse	-5.5	50.0	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/9	Florida State at North Carolina	+17.5	64.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida State vs Massachusetts	-35.0	59.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida State at Clemson	+9.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida State vs NC State	+3.0	55.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida State vs Miami	+2.5	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Florida State at Boston College	+3.0	55.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Florida State at Florida	+4.0	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Clemson's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Clemson vs Georgia	-3.0	51.5	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Clemson vs South Carolina State	-50.5	56.0	W 49 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/18	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-27.5	52.5	W 14 - 8	U	N
Sat 9/25	Clemson at NC State	-10.5	46.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/2	Clemson vs Boston College	-14.5	46.5	W 19 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Clemson at Syracuse	-12.5	44.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/23	Clemson at Pittsburgh	+3.5	47.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Clemson vs Florida State	-9.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Clemson at Louisville	-3.5	46.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Clemson vs UConn	-40.5	50.5	W 44 - 7	O	N
Sat 11/20	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-3.5	57.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Clemson at South Carolina	-11.5	42.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Clemson vs Iowa State	-1.5	44.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.19	41%	33	50%	3.27	199	32%	197	3.19	.26	48%	22	48%	48%	4.01	79.2	1.9	1.6
CLEM	.36	51%	27.2	51%	3.07	154	51%	349	4.32	.09	36%	20.5	34%	38%	2.56	47.3	1.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	9	33	18.6	41.4%	3.19	1.9	21	395	199	197	5.1	52%	48%	50%	32%	19%	.19
CLEM Defense	12	20.5	24	35.8%	2.56	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	34%	38%	23%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	9	22	30.2	47.6%	4.01	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	48%	48%	14%	.26
CLEM Offense	12	27.2	28	50.9%	4.32	1.3	25	503	154	349	4.5	43%	57%	51%	51%	15%	.36

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	9	30:29	20.6	36%	54%	8.9	79.2	1.9	1.6	5.4	1.1	1	28.3
Clemson	12	30:23	24.6	46%	67%	5.3	47.3	1.3	1.9	9.1	3.8	0	30.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	9	52%	50%	39	198.8	5.1	19	.35	3.27	82%	12%	1.19
CLEM Defense	12	49%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.33	72%	17%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	9	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.92	66%	10%	1.1
CLEM Offense	12	43%	51%	34.2	154	4.5	33	.2	3.07	73%	9%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	9	48%	32%	17.8	32.6	196.7	6	11.1	10	13	.01	1.6	34%	29%	.33	8%	2.1
CLEM Defense	12	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.22	1.8	37%	25%	.17	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	9	47%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.34	1.6	28%	38%	.58	5%	2.2
CLEM Offense	12	57%	51%	27.2	40.8	348.5	8.5	12.8	31	6	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.55	6%	2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Clemson: 11.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.6 Clemson: 18.7

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.85 NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Clemson's 2021 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #8
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #71
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #3

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 27
Florida State 24

Projected Total Points: 51

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Clemson	24	Florida State	10	Clemson -1.5	Clemson	56.5	Under
2024	10/05	Florida State	13	Clemson	29	Clemson -16.5	Florida State	47.0	Under
2023	09/23	Clemson	24	Florida State	31	Florida State -2	Florida State	55.5	Under
2022	10/15	Florida State	28	Clemson	34	Clemson -4.5	Clemson	51.0	Over
2021	10/30	Clemson	30	Florida State	20	Clemson -9.5	Clemson	47.5	Over
2019	10/12	Clemson	45	Florida State	14	Clemson -25.5	Clemson	60.5	Under
2018	10/27	Florida State	10	Clemson	59	Clemson -18	Clemson	49.5	Over
2017	11/11	Clemson	31	Florida State	14	Clemson -16.5	Clemson	44.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida State	34	Clemson	37	Clemson -3	NA	58.5	Over
2015	11/07	Clemson	23	Florida State	13	Clemson -12	Florida State	54.5	Under
2014	09/20	Florida State	23	Clemson	17	Florida State -20.5	Clemson	0
2013	10/19	Clemson	14	Florida State	51	Florida State -3	Florida State	0
2012	09/22	Florida State	49	Clemson	37
2011	09/24	Clemson	35	Florida State	30
2010	11/13	Florida State	16	Clemson	13
2009	11/07	Clemson	40	Florida State	24
2008	11/08	Florida State	41	Clemson	27
2007	09/03	Clemson	24	Florida State	18
2006	09/16	Florida State	20	Clemson	27
2005	11/12	Clemson	35	Florida State	14
2004	09/25	Florida State	41	Clemson	22
2003	11/08	Clemson	26	Florida State	10
2002	10/03	Florida State	48	Clemson	31
2001	11/03	Clemson	27	Florida State	41
2000	11/03	Florida State	54	Clemson	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	15	7	5 Overs
Florida State	10	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 8	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	8 - 17	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#) FSU at (#) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#8
Perf GradeGrade	#82	#52
OffenseOff	#99	#90
DefenseDef	#25	#18
Spec TeamsST	#110	#52
TalentTal	#20	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#18
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#80	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#41

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#25
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#85	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#55	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Clemson -9.5 (47.5)
Clemson won vs Florida State this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (24-10)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2024 (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)

FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CLEM's OC Tony Elliott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD