Florida State at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -21 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 41 - Wake Forest: 16  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -25   (SP+ FSU -31)

Projected Score: FSU: 39 - WAKE: 14 (51)
FSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
FSU Travel: 458 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17ON
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama-35.5
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15UY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6UY
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Wake Forest vs Elon-33.553.5W 37 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt-9.555.0W 36 - 20OY
Sat 9/16 Wake Forest at Old Dominion-13.560.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech-3.558.5L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wake Forest at Clemson+21.053.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+1.548.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh+3.045.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Wake Forest vs Florida State+21.053.5L 16 - 41ON
Thu 11/2 Wake Forest at Duke+6.541.0L 21 - 24OY
Sat 11/11 Wake Forest vs NC State-0.542.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Wake Forest at Notre Dame+22.547.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/25 Wake Forest at Syracuse+3.043.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.3649%15.452%3.3321446%2704.32.1541%2844%38%4.0857.91.11.4
WAKE.2447%25.744%2.9713251%3124.73.243%32.544%43%3.8140.81.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1315.412.349%4.321.1244842142705.551%48%52%46%15%.36
WAKE Defense1332.534.743.2%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%44%43%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense132838.341.4%4.081.4 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%17%.15
WAKE Offense1325.726.647.1%4.731.5254441323123.445%54%44%51%16%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1331:0124.251%35%6.657.91.11.462.9133.2
Wake Forest1328:2725.246%50%4.840.81.51.55.92.2230.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1351%52%39.2214.15.533.333.3365%10%1.11
WAKE Defense1347%44% - - - - .152.9877%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1356%44% - - - - .163.2773%11%0.9
WAKE Offense1345%44%38.6131.63.417.032.9773%8%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1348%46%19.230.4270.28.914.1287.411.729%39%.515%2.2
WAKE Defense1353%43% - - - - - - 7.291.735%34%.457%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 8.171.634%28%.36%2.1
WAKE Offense1354%51%23.236.5311.98.613.44313.451.630%37%.437%2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06   Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7   Wake Forest: -7.5




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 39
Wake Forest 14


Projected Total Points: 51
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Wake Forest16Florida State41Florida StateFlorida State -21Florida State53.5Over
202210/01Florida State21Wake Forest31Wake ForestFlorida State -6Wake Forest67.0Under
202109/18Wake Forest35Florida State14Wake ForestWake Forest -4.5Wake Forest63.0Under
201910/19Wake Forest22Florida State20Wake ForestFlorida State -3Wake Forest69.0Under
201810/20Florida State38Wake Forest17Florida StateFlorida State -10.5Florida State57.5Under
201709/30Wake Forest19Florida State26Florida StateFlorida State -7.5Wake Forest46.5Under
201610/15Florida State17Wake Forest6Florida StateFlorida State -25.5Wake Forest51.0Under
201510/03Wake Forest16Florida State24Florida StateFlorida State -18Wake Forest45.5Under
201410/04Florida State43Wake Forest3Florida StateFlorida State -38Florida State0
201311/09Wake Forest3Florida State59Florida StateFlorida State -34.5Florida State0
201209/15Florida State52Wake Forest0Florida State
201110/08Wake Forest35Florida State30Wake Forest
201009/25Florida State31Wake Forest0Florida State
200911/14Wake Forest28Florida State41Florida State
200809/20Florida State3Wake Forest12Wake Forest
200710/11Wake Forest24Florida State21Wake Forest
200611/11Florida State0Wake Forest30Wake Forest
200510/08Florida State41Wake Forest24Florida State
200410/23Wake Forest17Florida State20Florida State
200310/25Florida State48Wake Forest24Florida State
200211/02Wake Forest21Florida State34Florida State
200109/29Florida State48Wake Forest24Florida State
200011/10Wake Forest6Florida State35Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest761 Overs
Florida State1647 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 116 - 43 - 23 - 2
Road Teams11 - 124 - 62 - 32 - 3

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Florida State     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #10
#103
Off #37
#123
Def #7
#80
Talent #24
#63
SP+ #7
#92
SP+ Off #16
#101
SP+ Def #7
#66

Rematch from Week 9
Florida State 21.0 (53.5)
Florida State won at Wake Forest this year (41-16)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (41-16)
Wake Forest beat Florida State in 2022 (31-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: FSU | WAKE
Depth Chart: FSU | WAKE
Rosters: FSU | WAKE
(#103) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile






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Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker9816559%985776.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Campbell165860115.258
Lawrance Toafili10945634.228
Rodney Hill2818426.670
Winston Wright139107.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Winston Wright54556810.365
Ja'Khi Douglas32519416.271
CJ Campbell40466311.778
Lawrance Toafili2521508.632

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Dennis Briggs Jr.425450
Kevin Knowles II311114
Greedy Vance291002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Farmer288460
Dennis Briggs Jr.425450
Kevin Knowles II311114
Malcolm Ray253130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fentrell Cypress II241015
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Kevin Knowles II311114

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Santino Marucci4911244%519354.6
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Ellison159848105.347
Santino Marucci3713113.538
Ke'Shawn Williams227013.514
Taylor Morin1909.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Jahmal Banks44587313.331
Ke'Shawn Williams39448511.552
Wesley Grimes24319113.330

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Evan Slocum651002
AJ Williams482001
Kevin Pointer337481
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious (Tr)265370
Justin Williams93230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Slocum651002
Dashawn Jones233102
Nick Andersen1221011