Florida State at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo (#7)Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -21 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 41 - Wake Forest: 16  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (30 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE 2nd straight Home Game
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -25   (SP+ FSU -31)

Projected Score: FSU: 38 - WAKE: 13 (51)
FSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
FSU Travel: 458 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17ON
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama-35.5
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15UY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6UY
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Wake Forest vs Elon-33.553.5W 37 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt-9.555.0W 36 - 20OY
Sat 9/16 Wake Forest at Old Dominion-13.560.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech-3.558.5L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wake Forest at Clemson+21.053.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+1.548.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh+3.045.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Wake Forest vs Florida State+21.053.5L 16 - 41ON
Thu 11/2 Wake Forest at Duke+6.541.0L 21 - 24OY
Sat 11/11 Wake Forest vs NC State-0.542.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Wake Forest at Notre Dame+22.547.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/25 Wake Forest at Syracuse+3.043.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)34.639% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)19.340% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)20.342% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)27.240% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)43% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)48% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1434.630.241.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21
WAKE Defense1227.225.240.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense1419.318.235.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
WAKE Offense1220.32241.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06   Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7   Wake Forest: -7.5




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 38
Wake Forest 13


Total Points: 51

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Wake Forest16Florida State41Florida StateFlorida State -21Florida State53.5Over
202210/01Florida State21Wake Forest31Wake ForestFlorida State -6Wake Forest67.0Under
202109/18Wake Forest35Florida State14Wake ForestWake Forest -4.5Wake Forest63.0Under
201910/19Wake Forest22Florida State20Wake ForestFlorida State -3Wake Forest69.0Under
201810/20Florida State38Wake Forest17Florida StateFlorida State -10.5Florida State57.5Under
201709/30Wake Forest19Florida State26Florida StateFlorida State -7.5Wake Forest46.5Under
201610/15Florida State17Wake Forest6Florida StateFlorida State -25.5Wake Forest51.0Under
201510/03Wake Forest16Florida State24Florida StateFlorida State -18Wake Forest45.5Under
201410/04Florida State43Wake Forest3Florida StateFlorida State -38Florida State0
201311/09Wake Forest3Florida State59Florida StateFlorida State -34.5Florida State0
201209/15Florida State52Wake Forest0Florida State
201110/08Wake Forest35Florida State30Wake Forest
201009/25Florida State31Wake Forest0Florida State
200911/14Wake Forest28Florida State41Florida State
200809/20Florida State3Wake Forest12Wake Forest
200710/11Wake Forest24Florida State21Wake Forest
200611/11Florida State0Wake Forest30Wake Forest
200510/08Florida State41Wake Forest24Florida State
200410/23Wake Forest17Florida State20Florida State
200310/25Florida State48Wake Forest24Florida State
200211/02Wake Forest21Florida State34Florida State
200109/29Florida State48Wake Forest24Florida State
200011/10Wake Forest6Florida State35Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest761 Overs
Florida State1647 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 116 - 43 - 23 - 2
Road Teams11 - 124 - 62 - 32 - 3

(#10) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Florida State has won 7 straight
Florida State has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida State Highlights
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Florida State has a really good defense (#50)
Florida State has a good pass defense (#46)
Florida State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#35)
Florida State Defensive Line is very good (#87)
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State Secondary is very good (#34)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)

Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
Florida State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#32)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWAKEFSU
OverallOver#45#12
OffenseOff#58#21
DefenseDef#37#12
Special TeamsST#37#35
PassingPass#98#18
RushingRush#89#29
Run BlockRBLK#8#19
Pass BlockPBLK#27#5
Route RunningWR Rt#41#47
TacklingTkl#14#30
Run DefenseR Def#42#39
Pass Rush DefPRush#55#5
Coverage DefCov#50#10

Rematch from Week 9
Florida State 21.0 (53.5)
Florida State won at Wake Forest this year (41-16)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (41-16)
Wake Forest beat Florida State in 2022 (31-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | WAKE
Depth Chart: FSU | WAKE
Rosters: FSU | WAKE
(#103) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Wake Forest has won 1 straight
Wake Forest has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)

Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a really bad Offense
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#103)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Wake Forest has a bad red zone defense (#49)


  
Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan Travis20732464%27452028.5
Tate Rodemaker325657%510509.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Benson156905145.885
Lawrance Toafili6946346.773
Rodney Hill5019013.819
Caziah Holmes (Tr)2918526.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)506581113.258
Johnny Wilson41617215.044
Jaheim Bell (Tr)39503212.949
Kyle Morlock (Tr)19255013.463

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tatum Bethune707133
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Shyheim Brown532224
DJ Lundy526224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Verse4012972
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Patrick Payton4314679
Braden Fiske (Tr)429650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Renardo Green4331112
Azareye'h Thomas2730010
Patrick Payton4314679

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis12320759%1539987.4
Michael Kern569261%645427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne13758654.342
Justice Ellison12054814.651
Tate Carney4924445.074
Mitch Griffis10612821.227
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks59653411.133
Taylor Morin41617215.061
Ke'Shawn Williams38384110.134
Wesley Grimes20339417.049

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen869130
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Malik Mustapha805112
Chelen Garnes612205
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis49168102
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Kendron Wayman354242
Chelen Garnes612205
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caelen Carson421006
Chelen Garnes612205
Nick Andersen331113