Jacksonville State at Florida State

Jacksonville State at Florida State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Florida State Seminoles(#14)

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -27.5 (56.5)
Jacksonville State 20 - Florida State: 17

Gamecocks (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 24 (20 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ FSU -8)
Projected Score: JVST: 24 - FSU: 29 (53)
FSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
JVST Travel: 249 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 9/1	Jacksonville State vs UAB	+16.5	52.0	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Jacksonville State at Florida State	+27.5	56.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Florida State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/5	Florida State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	53.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida State vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida State at Wake Forest	+4.5	63.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/25	Florida State vs Louisville	-1.5	61.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida State vs Syracuse	-5.5	50.0	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/9	Florida State at North Carolina	+17.5	64.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida State vs Massachusetts	-35.0	59.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida State at Clemson	+9.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida State vs NC State	+3.0	55.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida State vs Miami	+2.5	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Florida State at Boston College	+3.0	55.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Florida State at Florida	+4.0	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	.04	37%	10	51%	2.93	0	27%	0	2.8	.39	53%	24	52%	55%	3.73	0	0	0
FSU	.22	41%	27.6	43%	3.34	178	39%	202	4.39	.15	39%	26.5	39%	41%	3.35	62.5	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)		49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)		44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	2	10	20	36.9%	2.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	41%	59%	51%	27%	38%	.04
FSU Defense	12	26.5	25.9	39.3%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	39%	41%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	2	24	17	53.2%	3.73	0	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	52%	55%	20%	.39
FSU Offense	12	27.6	30.7	40.7%	4.39	1.8	21	379	178	202	4.8	51%	48%	43%	39%	18%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	28.9
Florida State	12	28:20	20.6	34%	33%	6.9	62.5	1.8	1.8	7.2	2.8	1	25.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	2	41%	51%	0	0	0	0	.13	2.93	100%	23%	0.77
FSU Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.9	71%	11%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	2	56%	52%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.89	88%	16%	0.82
FSU Offense	12	51%	43%	37.2	177.8	4.8	21	.22	3.34	64%	13%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	2	59%	27%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.02	1.6	42%	30%	.37	14%	2.2
FSU Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.33	1.8	35%	33%	.34	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	2	43%	55%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.59	1.5	28%	52%	.87	5%	1.8
FSU Offense	12	48%	39%	17.4	28.3	201.6	7.1	11.6	20	12	.24	1.6	32%	30%	.39	5%	2.2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: NR
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: NR
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Jacksonville State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Jacksonville State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: Florida State: 6.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: Florida State: 7.6

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 6.3 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Jacksonville State's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 29
Jacksonville State 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 32
Jacksonville State 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 25
Jacksonville State 21

Total Points: 46

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.9

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Florida State	17	Jacksonville State	20	Florida State -27.5	Jacksonville State	56.5	Under
2020	10/03	Florida State	41	Jacksonville State	24	Florida State -27	Jacksonville State	52.5	Over
2009	09/12	Florida State	19	Jacksonville State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	2	0	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) JVST at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JVST	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#53
Perf GradeGrade	#98	#82
OffenseOff	#120	#99
DefenseDef	#49	#25
Spec TeamsST	#23	#110
TalentTal	#134	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Jacksonville State Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Jacksonville State on Offense


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#120	#25
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Jacksonville State Run Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#132	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Jacksonville State Pass Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	JVST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#49
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#80	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#93
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

JVST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -27.5 (56.5)
Jacksonville State won at Florida State this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

JVST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD