Clemson at Florida State Game Matchup
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -16.5 (47.0) (-750)  Open: -4.0
Clemson 29 - Florida State: 13  (ACC)

 
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Light Rain Predicted
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -15   (SP+ CLEM -16.5)

Projected Score: CLEM: 31 - FSU: 16 (50)
CLEM Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CLEM Travel: 305 miles
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24UN
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#87 (.16)45% (38)34.747% (25)3.22 (47)17443% (56)2293.62 (90)#9 (.07)33% (2)23.435% (10)32% (2)4.04 (91)42.21.72
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)15.439% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)2840% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1334.73045%3.621.7234031742294.349%51%47%43%16%.16
FSU Defense142822.735.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1323.419.833%4.042 - - - - - 46%54%35%32%22%.07
FSU Offense1415.416.441.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1333:0423.140%52%4.942.21.726.52.3432.3
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1349% (77)47% (25)40.2174.34.324 (41).17 (55)3.22 (47)79% (25)9% (55)0.91 (106)
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1346% (19)35% (10) - - - - .13 (62)2.9 (33)83% (117)13% (10)1.22 (128)
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1351% (53)43% (56)23.236.5228.66.39.820 (70)9 (40).16 (104)1.3 (133)29% (20)29% (85).18 (109)6% (85)1.9 (117)
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1354% (116)32% (2) - - - - - - 15 (15).05 (3)1.6 (51)40% (1)23% (2).13 (4)9% (1)1.9 (17)
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90   Florida State: -1.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3   Florida State: -3.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
Florida State 16


Projected Total Points: 50
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29ClemsonClemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida StateFlorida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34ClemsonClemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20ClemsonClemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14ClemsonClemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59ClemsonClemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14ClemsonClemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37ClemsonClemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13ClemsonClemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida StateFlorida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida StateFlorida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37Florida State
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30Clemson
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13Florida State
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24Clemson
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27Florida State
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18Clemson
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27Clemson
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14Clemson
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22Florida State
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10Clemson
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31Florida State
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41Florida State
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1045 Overs
Clemson1464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 84 - 63 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 166 - 44 - 12 - 3

(#17) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Clemson     Ratings Matchup     Florida State
Power #17
#83
Off #15
#120
Def #47
#87
Talent #9
#9
SP+ #22
#83
SP+ Off #16
#114
SP+ Def #26
#58

Rematch from Week 6
Clemson 16.5 (47.0)
Clemson won at Florida State this year (29-13)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2022 (34-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 81°( - Hum: 77%) - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | FSU
Depth Chart: CLEM | FSU
Rosters: CLEM | FSU
(#83) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida State Notes
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad


  
Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Antonio Williams7101114.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Troy Stellato26266110.234

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Sammy Brown6612522
Khalil Barnes571034
T.J. Parker50171151
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Wade Woodaz759394
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
Jeadyn Lukus321006
Wade Woodaz759394

Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)8415654%1065466.8
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kam Davis5217303.316
Luke Kromenhoek6311301.842
Brock Glenn359702.817
Samuel Singleton219304.427
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Hykeem Williams16187111.733
Landen Thomas14173112.435
Jalen Brown (Tr)87509.421

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
K.J. Kirkland451002
Blake Nichelson454100
Cam Riley (Tr)374101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr)256430
Patrick Payton3210440
Darrell Jackson284441
Edwin Joseph134201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Graham Jr.374113
Quindarrius Jones111003
Shyheim Brown621002