Clemson at Florida State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Clemson logo   Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -16.5 (47.0) (-750)  Open: -4.0
Clemson 29 - Florida State: 13  (ACC)

 
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (30 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -15  (SP+ CLEM -16.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 32 - FSU: 17 (50)
CLEM Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CLEM Travel: 305 miles
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24UN
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#87 (.16)45% (38)27.247% (25)3.22 (47)17443% (56)2293.62 (90)#9 (.07)33% (2)20.535% (10)32% (2)4.04 (91)42.21.72
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)3339% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)2240% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1327.229.645%3.621.7234031742294.349%51%47%43%16%.16
FSU Defense142216.135.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1320.515.433%4.042 - - - - - 46%54%35%32%22%.07
FSU Offense143343.341.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1333:0423.140%52%4.942.21.726.52.3432.3
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1349% (77)47% (25)40.2174.34.324 (41).17 (55)3.22 (47)79% (25)9% (55)0.91 (106)
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1346% (19)35% (10) - - - - .13 (62)2.9 (33)83% (117)13% (10)1.22 (128)
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1351% (53)43% (56)23.236.5228.66.39.820 (70)9 (40).16 (104)1.3 (133)29% (20)29% (85).18 (109)6% (85)1.9 (117)
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1354% (116)32% (2) - - - - - - 15 (15).05 (3)1.6 (51)40% (1)23% (2).13 (4)9% (1)1.9 (17)
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90  #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96  #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50  #47
2024 Talent Rating: 574.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90   Florida State: -1.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3   Florida State: -3.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -1.545  #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77  #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02  #87
2024 Talent Rating: 529.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43  #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 32
Florida State 17

Projected Total Points: 50
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Clemson24Florida State10Clemson -1.5Clemson56.5Under
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29Clemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34Clemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20Clemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14Clemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59Clemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14Clemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37Clemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13Clemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1045 Overs
Clemson1575 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 85 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 176 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#17) CLEM at (#83) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCLEMFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #17 #83
SP+SP+ #22 #83
Perf GradeGrade #32 #120
OffenseOff #37 #124
DefenseDef #33 #111
Spec TeamsST #38 #19
TalentTal #7 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #13
Florida State Notes
(12/12) Signed QB Castellanos (BC), back w/ Gus (UCF)
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad
(9/30) DJ's hand inj may be long term
Florida State Injury Report
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #37 #111
SuccessSuc #38 #9
ExplosiveExp #132 #79
PPAPPA #87 #13
PowerPwr #15 #87
SP+SP+ #16 #58
Pts POPPO #90 #47
HavocHav #64 #7
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #42 #106
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #38
Run ExplRExp #106 #102
PPAExp #55 #51
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLY #47 #19
Stuff RateStuff #17 #19
TackleTak -  #47
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #56 #1
Pass ExplPExl #133 #65
PPAExp #104 #4
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #93
F7 HavocF7 #55 #20
DB HavocDB #85 #2
Florida State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatFSU OffCLEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #124 #33
SuccessSuc #79 #2
ExplosiveExp #16 #115
PPAPPA #60 #9
PowerPwr #120 #47
SP+SP+ #114 #26
Pts POPPO #25 #91
HavocHav #57 #3
Florida State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #124 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #10
Run ExplRExp #35 #128
PPAExp #111 #62
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #33
Stuff RateStuff #111 #92
TackleTak -  #93
Florida State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatFSU OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #111 #44
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #2
Pass ExplPExl #48 #51
PPAExp #46 #3
Pass Block/RushP Blk #76 #40
F7 HavocF7 #52 #10
DB HavocDB #67 #1
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Clemson 16.5 (47.0)
Clemson won at Florida State this year (29-13)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (24-10)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2024 (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)

  
CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Jake Briningstool49530710.841

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Barrett Carter7410476
R.J. Mickens686027
Sammy Brown6612522
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Barrett Carter7410476
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)8415654%1065466.8
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrance Toafili10945634.228
Kam Davis5217303.316
Luke Kromenhoek6311301.842
Brock Glenn359702.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Khi Douglas32519416.271
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Lawrance Toafili2521508.632
Hykeem Williams16187111.733

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Azareye'h Thomas512024
K.J. Kirkland451002
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton3210440
Joshua Farmer288460
Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr)256430
Darrell Jackson284441
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fentrell Cypress II241015
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Kevin Knowles II311114