Virginia Tech at Florida State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo   Virginia Tech Hokies at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Florida State -13.5 (53.5) (-700)  Open: -10.5 | 54.5
Florida State 34 - Virginia Tech: 14  (ACC)

 
Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
VT coming off BYE
Our Line: Florida State -14  (SP+ FSU -17)

Projected Score: VT: 20 - FSU: 34 (53)
FSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
VT Travel: 519 miles
Seminoles (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+18.549.0L 17 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+9.553.5L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-7.058.5L 11 - 21UN
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida-1.548.5L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)21.444% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)30.242% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)3340% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2242% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1321.41641.6%4.221.2183511731784.955%44%44%39%18%.18
FSU Defense122216.140.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1330.229.338.9%2.971.8 - - - - - 52%47%42%36%20%.09
FSU Offense123343.335.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1327:1817.937%42%5.546.31.21.85.92.7130.2
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)44% (66)35.2173.24.927 (30).21 (31)3.01 (76)77% (38)13% (124)1.1 (23)
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1352% (88)42% (56) - - - - .05 (32)2.86 (45)71% (55)12% (17)0.85 (14)
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1344% (105)39% (102)14.624.7177.97.212.215 (98)8 (40).17 (100)1.5 (87)34% (109)27% (112).27 (94)5% (49)2.2 (26)
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1347% (44)36% (15) - - - - - - 14 (23).18 (41)1.8 (116)34% (41)25% (6).26 (47)8% (14)2.3 (127)
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.87  #58
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 15.55  #53
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 13.68  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #105
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #109
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.87   Florida State: 9.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -10.1   Florida State: 7.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.68  #49
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.67  #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.51  #59
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45  #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 34
Virginia Tech 20


Projected Total Points: 53
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Florida State34Virginia Tech14Florida State -13.5Florida State53.5Under
202310/07Florida State39Virginia Tech17Florida State -23.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
201809/03Florida State3Virginia Tech24Florida State -7Virginia Tech54.0Under
201211/08Virginia Tech22Florida State28
201012/04Virginia Tech44Florida State33
200810/25Florida State30Virginia Tech20
200711/10Virginia Tech40Florida State21
200512/03Florida State27Virginia Tech22
200101/01Virginia Tech17Florida State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State611 Overs
Virginia Tech322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 31 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams3 - 62 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#58) VT at (#49) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #58 #49
SP+SP+ #105 #41
Perf GradeGrade #115 #28
OffenseOff #119 #21
DefenseDef #98 #65
Spec TeamsST #127 #41
TalentTal #33 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #54 #17
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Florida State Notes
(12/16) FSU looks like they aren't serious about 2026
(11/23) Norvell will return in '26. Fund road slate now
(11/22) A straight 0-8 in road ACC games past 2 years
(10/20) Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
(10/19) Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
(10/19) OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
(10/19) Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
(10/12) Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
(10/11) LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
(10/11) Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
(9/26) Tackling a huge issue vs UVA, allowed 450+ in L
(8/30) Outrushed Bama 230-87, Cast quick, efficient
Florida State Injury Report
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #65
SuccessSuc #87 #56
ExplosiveExp #67 #114
PPAPPA #75 #112
PowerPwr #53 #59
SP+SP+ #109 #38
Pts POPPO #40 #46
HavocHav #111 #98
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #43 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #62
Run ExplRExp #23 #114
PPAExp #31 #109
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #81
Stuff RateStuff #90 #88
TackleTak -  #44
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #100 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #102 #52
Pass ExplPExl #87 #120
PPAExp #100 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #130 #93
F7 HavocF7 #124 #77
DB HavocDB #49 #116
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffVT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #98
SuccessSuc #128 #34
ExplosiveExp #58 #56
PPAPPA #125 #18
PowerPwr #30 #68
SP+SP+ #54 #96
Pts POPPO #131 #7
HavocHav #129 #10
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffVT Def
Run GameRun #28 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #56
Run ExplRExp #118 #14
PPAExp #101 #32
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #92 #45
Stuff RateStuff #85 #45
TackleTak -  #95
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #9 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #15
Pass ExplPExl #20 #116
PPAExp #130 #41
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #51
F7 HavocF7 #130 #17
DB HavocDB #62 #14
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Florida State -13.5 (53.5)
Florida State won vs Virginia Tech this year (34-14)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Virginia Tech last year (34-14)
Florida State beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (39-17)

  
VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones17831557%19191796.1
William Watson III2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)11874916.340
Kyron Drones17064493.833
Terion Stewart (Tr)8246905.785
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath2220039.144
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)14194013.938

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer679101
Caleb Woodson573011
Jaden Keller503101
Tyson Flowers (Tr)480022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Ben Bell (Tr)406360
Elhadj Fall (Tr)254320
Jason Abbey172200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)392005
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18030958%27601598.9
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)13755794.126
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)10948684.540
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Lawayne McCoy27403314.934
Randy Pittman (Tr)2320829.035

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Ashlynd Barker485412
Darrell Jackson442110
Blake Nichelson437111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Ashlynd Barker485412
Stefon Thompson (Tr)374410
Daniel Lyons264240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Joseph374005
Earl Little II762002
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)421002