Florida at Florida State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Florida logo   Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Friday, November 25th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Florida State -10 (58.5)
Florida State 45 - Florida: 38

 
Gators (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Road Game
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ FSU -3)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - FSU: 33 (51)
FSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
FLA Travel: 129 miles
Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (8 - 13)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Utah+2.552.0W 29 - 26OY
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-6.053.0L 16 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Florida vs South Florida-23.558.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+11.062.0L 33 - 38OY
Sun 10/2 Florida vs Eastern Washington-32.071.5W 52 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Florida vs Missouri-11.053.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 Florida vs LSU-2.051.5L 35 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia+23.056.5L 20 - 42OY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Texas A&M+1.553.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-8.058.0W 38 - 6UY
Sat 11/19 Florida at Vanderbilt-14.058.0L 24 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 Florida at Florida State+10.058.5L 38 - 45OY
Sat 12/17 Florida vs Oregon State+7.552.0L 3 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Florida State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Florida State vs Duquesne-42.057.0W 47 - 7UN
Sun 9/4 Florida State vs LSU+4.551.0W 24 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/16 Florida State at Louisville-2.557.0W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Florida State vs Boston College-18.548.5W 44 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-6.067.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/8 Florida State at NC State+3.550.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 10/15 Florida State vs Clemson+4.551.0L 28 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-23.548.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/5 Florida State at Miami-6.554.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 Florida State at Syracuse-7.551.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Florida State vs Louisiana-25.052.5W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/25 Florida State vs Florida-10.058.5W 45 - 38ON
Thu 12/29 Florida State vs Oklahoma-10.567.0W 35 - 32UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.2747%21.646%3.3520948%2544.11.1741%2444%39%3.7370.61.61
FSU.2241%3343%3.3417839%2024.39.1539%2239%41%3.3562.51.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1321.61346.6%4.111.6224632092545.552%47%46%48%16%.27
FSU Defense122216.139.3%3.351.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%41%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense132430.441%3.731 - - - - - 51%49%44%39%16%.17
FSU Offense123343.340.7%4.391.8213791782024.851%48%43%39%18%.22

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1330:3022.441%54%870.61.616.22.8028.4
Florida State1228:2020.634%33%6.962.51.81.87.22.8125.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1352%46%38.1208.85.526.253.3569%9%1.07
FSU Defense1251%39% - - - - .042.971%11%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1351%44% - - - - .163.1169%11%1.01
FSU Offense1251%43%37.2177.84.821.223.3464%13%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1347%48%20.432254.27.912.52718.371.630%30%.317%2.2
FSU Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 14.331.835%33%.347%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 9.211.632%29%.36%1.9
FSU Offense1248%39%17.428.3201.67.111.62012.241.632%30%.395%2.2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4  #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.6  #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #79

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Florida State: 9.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 10.4   Florida State: 13.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.1 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2  #23
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #34
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #34

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 33
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 51
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Florida40Florida State21Florida State -1.5Florida48.5Over
202411/30Florida State11Florida31Florida -17.5Florida45.5Under
202311/25Florida15Florida State24Florida State -6Florida State51.0Under
202211/25Florida State45Florida38Florida State -10Florida58.5Over
202111/27Florida24Florida State21Florida -4Florida State58.5Under
201911/30Florida40Florida State17Florida -16.5Florida55.0Over
201811/24Florida State14Florida41Florida -8.5Florida52.0Over
201711/25Florida22Florida State38Florida State -4.5Florida State43.0Over
201611/26Florida State31Florida13Florida State -5Florida State47.0Under
201511/28Florida2Florida State27Florida -3Florida State44.0Under
201411/29Florida State24Florida19Florida State -10Florida0
201311/30Florida7Florida State37Florida State -26Florida State0
201211/24Florida State26Florida37
201111/26Florida7Florida State21
201011/27Florida State31Florida7
200911/28Florida37Florida State10
200811/29Florida State15Florida45
200711/24Florida45Florida State12
200611/25Florida State14Florida21
200511/26Florida34Florida State7
200411/20Florida State13Florida20
200311/29Florida34Florida State38
200111/17Florida37Florida State13
200011/17Florida State30Florida7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1165 Overs
Florida1365 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 123 - 92 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 35 - 14 - 2

(#) FLA at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #23
Perf GradeGrade #40 #9
OffenseOff #21 #12
DefenseDef #72 #32
Spec TeamsST #99 #9
TalentTal #12 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #37 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #64 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #34 #36
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #72
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #12 #65
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #45
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #9 #91
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #72 #54
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Florida State -10.0 (58.5)
Florida State won vs Florida this year (45-38)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Florida State last year (40-21)
Florida beat Florida State in 2024 (31-11)
Florida State beat Florida in 2023 (24-15)

  
FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD