Miami at Florida State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Miami logo   Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami -2.5 (61.5)
Florida State 31 - Miami: 28  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ MIAMI -3)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 24 - FSU: 27 (51)
MIAMI Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 396 miles
Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami vs Alabama+19.561.5L 13 - 44UN
Sat 9/11 Miami vs App State-7.555.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Miami vs Michigan State-7.057.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 9/25 Miami vs Central Connecticut-46.055.5W 69 - 0OY
Thu 9/30 Miami vs Virginia-3.563.5L 28 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Miami at North Carolina+7.563.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/23 Miami vs NC State+3.554.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/30 Miami at Pittsburgh+9.561.0W 38 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Miami vs Georgia Tech-10.063.0W 33 - 30UN
Sat 11/13 Miami at Florida State-2.561.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 11/20 Miami vs Virginia Tech-7.055.5W 38 - 26OY
Sat 11/27 Miami at Duke-20.567.0W 47 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Florida State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Florida State vs Notre Dame+7.053.5L 38 - 41OY
Sat 9/11 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-27.556.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 9/18 Florida State at Wake Forest+4.563.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/25 Florida State vs Louisville-1.561.0L 23 - 31UN
Sat 10/2 Florida State vs Syracuse-5.550.0W 33 - 30ON
Sat 10/9 Florida State at North Carolina+17.564.5W 35 - 25UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Florida State vs Massachusetts-35.059.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 10/30 Florida State at Clemson+9.547.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 11/6 Florida State vs NC State+3.055.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 Florida State vs Miami+2.561.5W 31 - 28UY
Sat 11/20 Florida State at Boston College+3.055.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/27 Florida State at Florida+4.058.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.2442%30.941%2.7516443%2774.27.243%14.846%40%3.7972.21.11.5
FSU.1941%3350%3.2719932%1973.19.2648%2248%48%4.0179.21.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1130.92642.2%4.271.1234411642774.349%51%41%43%20%.24
FSU Defense92216.147.6%4.011.6 - - - - - 53%47%48%48%14%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1114.81542.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%20%.2
FSU Offense93343.341.4%3.191.9213951991975.152%48%50%32%19%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1127:1122.740%68%7.872.21.11.58.52.8027.8
Florida State930:2920.636%54%8.979.21.91.65.41.1128.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1149%41%38.1163.64.318.142.7577%13%1.06
FSU Defense953%48% - - - - .22.9266%10%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1148%46% - - - - .182.7276%14%1.04
FSU Offense952%50%39198.85.119.353.2782%12%1.19

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1151%43%21.734.6277.3812.8266.351.734%34%.448%2.1
FSU Defense947%48% - - - - - - 8.341.628%38%.585%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1152%40% - - - - - - 7.211.533%29%.256%1.9
FSU Offense948%32%17.832.6196.7611.11013.011.634%29%.338%2.1

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #25
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    Florida State: 6.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 10.8   Florida State: 7.6




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 6.3 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 27
Miami 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Florida State22Miami28Miami -3.5Miami54.5Under
202410/26Miami36Florida State14Miami -22.5Florida State55.0Under
202311/11Florida State27Miami20Florida State -14.5Miami50.5Under
202211/05Miami3Florida State45Florida State -6.5Florida State54.0Under
202111/13Florida State31Miami28Miami -2.5Florida State61.5Under
202009/26Miami52Florida State10Miami -12.5Miami54.0Over
201911/02Florida State10Miami27Florida State -3Miami50.0Under
201810/06Miami28Florida State27Miami -14Florida State48.5Over
201710/07Florida State20Miami24Miami -3Miami45.5Under
201610/08Miami19Florida State20Miami -1.5Florida State61.5Under
201510/10Florida State29Miami24Florida State -9Miami54.0Under
201411/15Miami26Florida State30Florida State -2.5Florida State0
201311/02Florida State41Miami14Florida State -21Florida State0
201210/20Miami20Florida State33
201111/12Florida State23Miami19
201010/09Miami17Florida State45
200909/07Florida State34Miami38
200810/04Miami39Florida State41
200710/20Florida State29Miami37
200609/04Miami10Florida State13
200509/05Florida State10Miami7
200409/10Miami16Florida State10
200301/01Florida State14Miami16
200310/11Florida State14Miami22
200210/12Miami28Florida State27
200110/13Florida State27Miami49
200010/06Miami27Florida State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1372 Overs
Miami1469 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 153 - 102 - 61 - 4
Road Teams15 - 1210 - 34 - 16 - 2

(#) MIAMI at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #53
Perf GradeGrade #91 #82
OffenseOff #65 #99
DefenseDef #102 #25
Spec TeamsST #120 #110
TalentTal #13 #20
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #25
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #97 #13
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #36 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #7 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #99 #102
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #80 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #134
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #49 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #42 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Miami 2.5 (61.5)
Florida State won vs Miami this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Florida State last year (28-22)
Miami beat Florida State in 2024 (36-14)
Florida State beat Miami in 2023 (27-20)

  
MIAMI's OC Rhett Lashlee (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD