East Texas A&M at Florida State - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Texas A&M logo East Texas A&M Lions at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -43.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: -44.5 | 57.5
Florida State 77 - East Texas A&M: 3

 
Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXA 2nd straight Road Game
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Florida State -9.5  (SP+ FSU -7)
FSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
Seminoles (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
East Texas A&M's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+34.557.5L 22 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Texas A&M at Notre Dame+7.548.5W 41 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/4 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+17.557.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+7.047.5L 17 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Texas A&M at Arkansas-7.557.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Texas A&M at LSU-1.550.5W 49 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Texas A&M at Missouri-7.048.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+16.549.5L 30 - 31ON
Sat 11/22 Samford at Texas A&M+54.559.5L 0 - 48UN
Fri 11/28 Texas A&M at Texas-2.554.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 12/20 Miami at Texas A&M+3.048.5W 10 - 3UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Texas A&M's Schedule
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-7.058.5L 11 - 21UN
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida-1.548.5L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXA0%00%000%000%00%0%0000
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)3340% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2242% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXA Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FSU Defense122216.140.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXA Defense1000%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FSU Offense123343.335.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Texas A&M10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)

East Texas A&M's Power Ratings
East Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Texas A&M's 2025 Expected Record: -
East Texas A&M's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Texas A&M:    Florida State: 9.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Texas A&M:    Florida State: 7.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.68  #49
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.67  #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.51  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45  #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

East Texas A&M's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 26
East Texas A&M 17

Projected Total Points: 43
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Florida State77East Texas A&M3Florida State -43.5Florida State56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State111 Overs
East Texas A&M000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) TXA at (#49) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXAFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #49
SP+SP+NR #41
Perf GradeGradeNR #28
OffenseOffNR #21
DefenseDefNR #65
Spec TeamsSTNR #41
TalentTalNR #17
Blue ChipsBC%NR #17
Florida State Notes
(12/16) FSU looks like they aren't serious about 2026
(11/23) Norvell will return in '26. Fund road slate now
(11/22) A straight 0-8 in road ACC games past 2 years
(10/20) Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
(10/19) Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
(10/19) OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
(10/19) Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
(10/12) Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
(10/11) LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
(10/11) Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
(9/26) Tackling a huge issue vs UVA, allowed 450+ in L
(8/30) Outrushed Bama 230-87, Cast quick, efficient
Florida State Injury Report
East Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TXA OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #65
SuccessSucNR #56
ExplosiveExpNR #114
PPAPPANR #112
PowerPwrNR #58
SP+SP+NR #38
Pts POPPONR #46
HavocHavNR #98
East Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TXA OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNR #29
Run SuccessRSucNR #62
Run ExplRExpNR #114
PPAExpNR #109
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #81
Stuff RateStuffNR #88
TackleTak -  #44
East Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #106
Pass SuccessPSucNR #52
Pass ExplPExlNR #120
PPAExpNR #110
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #93
F7 HavocF7NR #77
DB HavocDBNR #116
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffTXA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21NR
SuccessSuc #128NR
ExplosiveExp #58NR
PPAPPA #125NR
PowerPwr #30NR
SP+SP+ #54NR
Pts POPPO #131NR
HavocHav #129NR
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffTXA Def
Run GameRun #28NR
Run SuccessRSuc #103NR
Run ExplRExp #118NR
PPAExp #101NR
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #92NR
Stuff RateStuff #85NR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffTXA Def
Pass GamePass #9NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #130NR
Pass ExplPExl #20NR
PPAExp #130NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14NR
F7 HavocF7 #130NR
DB HavocDB #62NR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TXA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89°
Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -43.5 (56.5)
Florida State won vs East Texas A&M this year (77-3)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat East Texas A&M last year (77-3)

  
TXA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eric Rodriguez12320660%14021186.8
Ron Peace9317055%1374658.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelen Shankle11349734.428
EJ Oakmon8135794.434
JaiSean McMillian3817614.632
Hymond Drinkard2815505.530
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Jourdain59799213.547
Devin Matthews36649718.059
Paul Odidi39422310.837
Tyler Daniels12248220.781

View East Texas A&M's Full Roster

TXA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koby King194100
Tramar Gilbert161000
Kaleb Miles151100
Lavon Williams131001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koby King194100
Kaleb Miles151100
Micah Owens52100
Jacory Brown20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Gillespie70001
Lavon Williams131001
Kyree Anderson41001

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18030958%27601598.9
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)13755794.126
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)10948684.540
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Lawayne McCoy27403314.934
Randy Pittman (Tr)2320829.035

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Ashlynd Barker485412
Darrell Jackson442110
Blake Nichelson437111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Ashlynd Barker485412
Stefon Thompson (Tr)374410
Daniel Lyons264240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Joseph374005
Earl Little II762002
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)421002