Clemson at Florida State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Field at Doak Campbell Stadium - Tallahassee, FL

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (186 - 53)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (30 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#62)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Florida State -1.5  (SP+ CLEM -2.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 25 - FSU: 27 (52)
FSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
CLEM Travel: 305 miles
Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (38 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Clemson at LSU+11
Sat 9/12 Clemson vs Georgia Southern-22
Sat 9/19 Clemson vs North Carolina-12
Fri 9/25 Clemson at California-5.5
Sat 10/3 Clemson vs Miami+12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-32
Sat 10/24 Clemson vs Virginia Tech-13.5
Sat 10/31 Clemson at Florida State+1.5
Fri 11/6 Clemson at Syracuse-13.5
Sat 11/14 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-4.5
Sat 11/21 Clemson at Duke-2
Sat 11/28 Clemson vs South Carolina-2

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Florida State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Florida State vs New Mexico State-26
Mon 9/7 Florida State vs SMU+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Florida State at Alabama+12.5
Sat 9/26 Florida State vs Central Arkansas-31
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Virginia-2
Fri 10/9 Florida State at Louisville+5.5
Sat 10/17 Florida State at Miami+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs Clemson-1.5
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Boston College-10
Fri 11/13 Florida State at Pittsburgh+3
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs NC State-3
Fri 11/27 Florida State vs Florida-1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#55 (.19)42% (67)27.243% (81)2.99 (60)12443% (56)2683.8 (59)#42 (.11)37% (18)20.539% (41)36% (15)2.68 (9)42.11.21.3
FSU#22 (.27)46% (32)3350% (10)3.4 (7)21941% (81)2533.95 (46)#68 (.16)42% (76)2242% (66)43% (79)4.12 (110)45.31.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1327.229.642.4%3.81.221392124268443%56%43%43%15%.19
FSU Defense122216.142.1%4.121.2 - - - - - 55%44%42%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1320.515.437%2.681.3 - - - - - 42%57%39%36%20%.11
FSU Offense123343.345.9%3.951.6244722192535.255%44%50%41%15%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1331:012134%56%4.442.11.21.36.52.6130.3
Florida State1228:4524.151%57%5.445.31.61.26.12.6029
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1343% (121)43% (81)31.5124.5420 (99).1 (75)2.99 (60)72% (71)9% (47)0.91 (90)
FSU Defense1255% (123)42% (66) - - - - .11 (74)3.12 (106)76% (105)11% (28)0.86 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1342% (1)39% (41) - - - - .03 (29)2.68 (27)83% (127)11% (20)0.94 (60)
FSU Offense1255% (32)50% (10)42.1218.85.231 (4).25 (12)3.4 (7)75% (47)9% (59)1.03 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1356% (18)43% (56)23.836.5267.87.311.322 (30)7 (88).28 (58)1.5 (98)29% (28)28% (90).21 (102)6% (86)1.8 (122)
FSU Defense1244% (16)43% (79) - - - - - - 12 (12).25 (69)1.5 (58)30% (104)30% (75).34 (92)5% (122)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1357% (136)36% (15) - - - - - - 9 (55).19 (48)1.7 (119)37% (6)28% (51).23 (48)8% (7)2 (80)
FSU Offense1244% (104)41% (81)16.728.3253.4915.220 (33)9 (60).32 (46)1.9 (5)31% (67)38% (10).5 (11)6% (48)2.1 (30)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 7.94  #33
Clemson's Offense Rating: 12.26  #59
Clemson's Defense Rating: 9.32  #22
2026 Talent Rating: 870.00  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Clemson's 2026 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
Clemson's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #34
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #65
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 7.94   Florida State: 10.175

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 9.5   Florida State: 7.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 10.175  #31
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.90  #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.75  #37
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 45  #17
Florida State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.4

Clemson's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 27
Clemson 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Clemson24Florida State10Clemson -1.5Clemson56.5Under
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29Clemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34Clemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20Clemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14Clemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59Clemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14Clemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37Clemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13Clemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1045 Overs
Clemson1575 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 85 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 176 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#33) CLEM at (#31) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCLEMFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #33 #31
SP+SP+ #34 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #17
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #67 #76
ExplosiveExp #70 #14
PPAPPA #55 #68
PowerPwr #59 #37
SP+SP+ #65 #38
Pts POPPO #59 #110
HavocHav #59 #72
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #81 #66
Run ExplRExp #90 #19
PPAExp #75 #74
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #60 #106
Stuff RateStuff #49 #120
TackleTak - NR
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #56 #79
Pass ExplPExl #98 #58
PPAExp #58 #69
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #47 #28
DB HavocDB #86 #122
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffCLEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #32 #18
ExplosiveExp #20 #122
PPAPPA #22 #42
PowerPwr #30 #22
SP+SP+ #54 #24
Pts POPPO #46 #9
HavocHav #54 #9
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #41
Run ExplRExp #45 #60
PPAExp #12 #29
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #7 #27
Stuff RateStuff #5 #16
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatFSU OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #81 #15
Pass ExplPExl #5 #119
PPAExp #46 #48
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #20
DB HavocDB #48 #7
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (24-10)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2024 (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)

  
CLEM's OC Chad Morris (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christopher Vizzina457163%406415.7
Trent Pearman2540%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Johnson Jr. (Tr)6747947.187
Gideon Davidson6026004.328
Chris Denson7108115.450
David Eziomume167104.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
T.J. Moore52837416.175
Bryant Wesco Jr.31537617.373
Tristan Smith24239110.023
Christian Bentancur20215310.845

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Tom Allen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sammy Brown10714665
Corey Myrick (Tr)915014
Ronan Hanafin642004
Will Heldt46156102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt46156102
Sammy Brown10714665
Jaheim Lawson197443
Champ Thompson31111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Hampton453108
Sammy Brown10714665
Branden Strozier211005

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Gemari Sands (Tr)10546504.437
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Desirrio Riles (Tr)28362212.942
Gemari Sands (Tr)4021705.418

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Blake Nichelson437111
Jeremiah Wilson421002
Ma'Khi Jones (Tr)342111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Daniel Lyons264240
Rylan Kennedy (Tr)144211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Jeremiah Wilson421002