Memphis at Florida State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Florida State Seminoles(#10)Florida State logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -7 (52.0) (-258)  Open: -5.0
Memphis 20 - Florida State: 12

 
Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Memphis -10.5   (SP+ MEM -13)

Projected Score: MEM: 32 - FSU: 21 (53)
FSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 462 miles, 1 hrs behind
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Memphis vs North Alabama-38.562.5W 40 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Memphis vs Troy-18.557.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Memphis at Florida State+7.052.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 9/21 Memphis at Navy-9.547.0L 44 - 56ON
Sat 9/28 Memphis vs Middle Tennessee-27.062.0W 24 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Memphis vs South Florida-10.061.0W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Memphis vs North Texas-10.567.5W 52 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Memphis vs Charlotte-17.056.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 11/2 Memphis at UTSA-7.062.0L 36 - 44ON
Fri 11/8 Memphis vs Rice-7.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/16 Memphis vs UAB-16.062.0W 53 - 18OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Memphis at Tulane+12.554.5W 34 - 24OY
Tue 12/17 Memphis vs West Virginia-5.060.0W 42 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24UN
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)15.440% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2842% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1335.733.543.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27
FSU Defense122822.740.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.83440%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
FSU Offense1215.416.435.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 7.92 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.92   Florida State: -1.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 9.6   Florida State: -3.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 32
Florida State 21


Total Points: 53

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Florida State12Memphis20MemphisFlorida State -7Memphis52.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State000 Overs
Memphis111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 7.92 #36
Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Memphis has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Memphis Notes
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks

Memphis Highlights
Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis Secondary is very good (#38)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFSUMEM
OverallOver#87#28
OffenseOff#100#21
DefenseDef#91#50
Special TeamsST#17#55
PassingPass#88#26
RushingRush#92#19
Run BlockRBLK#93#10
Pass BlockPBLK#67#9
Route RunningWR Rt#97#56
TacklingTkl#42#86
Run DefenseR Def#83#24
Pass Rush DefPRush#79#101
Coverage DefCov#87#62

Rematch from Week 3
Florida State -7.0 (52.0)
Memphis won at Florida State this year (20-12)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Florida State last year (20-12)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | FSU
Depth Chart: MEM | FSU
Rosters: MEM | FSU
(#83) Florida State Info
Power Rating: -1.545 #83
Offense Rating: 11.77 #120
Defense Rating: 12.02 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida State has lost 2 straight
Florida State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida State Notes
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad

Florida State Highlights

Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State has a really bad Offense
Florida State has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Florida State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Florida State Can Not Run the Ball (#35)
Florida State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Florida State offense is really bad (#76)
Florida State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#13)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Florida State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#79)


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan30947765%35022567.3
Harris Boyd11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)2361362185.853
Brandon Thomas5733595.957
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Seth Henigan8019012.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor66950214.448
DeMeer Blankumsee45677615.089
Kobe Drake39484112.429
Anthony Landphere33379411.531

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
Gregory Rubin746038
Matt Hudson (Tr)604110
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Ross5120211
Gregory Rubin746038
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206

Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)8415654%1065466.8
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrance Toafili10945634.228
Kam Davis5217303.316
Luke Kromenhoek6311301.842
Brock Glenn359702.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Khi Douglas32519416.271
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Lawrance Toafili2521508.632
Hykeem Williams16187111.733

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Azareye'h Thomas512024
K.J. Kirkland451002
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton3210440
Joshua Farmer288460
Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr)256430
Darrell Jackson284441
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fentrell Cypress II241015
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Kevin Knowles II311114