Florida State at Florida Game Matchup

Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Florida State -6 (51.0) (-225) Open: -9.0
Florida State 24 - Florida: 15

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA is playing their 5th straight game
FSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -10.5 (SP+ FSU -18)
Projected Score: FSU: 30 - FLA: 20 (47)
FSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
FSU Travel: 129 miles

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.36	49%	15.4	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	28	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4
FLA	.26	40%	28.3	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	23.1	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	15.4	12.3	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36
FLA Defense	13	23.1	21	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	28	38.3	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15
FLA Offense	13	28.3	29.3	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06 Florida: 9.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7 Florida: 5.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 30
Florida 20

Projected Total Points: 47

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Florida State	11	Florida	31	Florida	Florida -17.5	Florida	45.5	Under
2023	11/25	Florida	15	Florida State	24	Florida State	Florida State -6	Florida State	51.0	Under
2022	11/25	Florida State	45	Florida	38	Florida State	Florida State -10	Florida	58.5	Over
2021	11/27	Florida	24	Florida State	21	Florida	Florida -4	Florida State	58.5	Under
2019	11/30	Florida	40	Florida State	17	Florida	Florida -16.5	Florida	55.0	Over
2018	11/24	Florida State	14	Florida	41	Florida	Florida -8.5	Florida	52.0	Over
2017	11/25	Florida	22	Florida State	38	Florida State	Florida State -4.5	Florida State	43.0	Over
2016	11/26	Florida State	31	Florida	13	Florida State	Florida State -5	Florida State	47.0	Under
2015	11/28	Florida	2	Florida State	27	Florida State	Florida -3	Florida State	44.0	Under
2014	11/29	Florida State	24	Florida	19	Florida State	Florida State -10	Florida	0
2013	11/30	Florida	7	Florida State	37	Florida State	Florida State -26	Florida State	0
2012	11/24	Florida State	26	Florida	37	Florida
2011	11/26	Florida	7	Florida State	21	Florida State
2010	11/27	Florida State	31	Florida	7	Florida State
2009	11/28	Florida	37	Florida State	10	Florida
2008	11/29	Florida State	15	Florida	45	Florida
2007	11/24	Florida	45	Florida State	12	Florida
2006	11/25	Florida State	14	Florida	21	Florida
2005	11/26	Florida	34	Florida State	7	Florida
2004	11/20	Florida State	13	Florida	20	Florida
2003	11/29	Florida	34	Florida State	38	Florida State
2001	11/17	Florida	37	Florida State	13	Florida
2000	11/17	Florida State	30	Florida	7	Florida State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	12	5	4 Overs
Florida State	11	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	2 - 9	2 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 11	9 - 2	5 - 0	4 - 2

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Florida State Ratings Matchup Florida

Power #10

#26

Off #37

#19

Def #7

#90

Talent #24

#14

SP+ #7

#42

SP+ Off #16

#42

SP+ Def #7

#64

Rematch from Week 13
Florida State 6.0 (51.0)
Florida State won at Florida this year (24-15)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Florida State last year (31-11)
Florida State beat Florida in 2023 (24-15)
Florida State beat Florida in 2022 (45-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | FLA
Depth Chart: FSU | FLA
Rosters: FSU | FLA

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Florida State's OC Alex Atkins

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Lawrance Toafili	109	456	3	4.2	28
Rodney Hill	28	184	2	6.6	70
Winston Wright	13	91	0	7.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Ja'Khi Douglas	32	519	4	16.2	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Lawrance Toafili	25	215	0	8.6	32

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Greedy Vance	29	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Farmer	28	8	4	6	0
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Malcolm Ray	25	3	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fentrell Cypress II	24	1	0	1	5
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4

Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	72	94	77%	791	6	2	8.4
Max Brown	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trevor Etienne	122	609	9	5.0	48
Montrell Johnson	100	593	6	5.9	71
Max Brown	33	85	0	2.6	20
Graham Mertz (Tr)	18	56	1	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Douglas	55	765	6	13.9	57
Trevor Etienne	32	194	0	6.1	14
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman	15	125	1	8.3	33
Montrell Johnson	13	64	0	4.9	12

View Florida's Full Roster

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	37	14	11	13	0
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Jason Marshall Jr.	20	2	0	3	4
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3