Florida State at Pittsburgh - 2026 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers

Friday, November 13th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA

Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (38 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Road Game
PITT coming off BYE
Our Line: Pittsburgh -3 (SP+ PITT -1)
Projected Score: FSU: 27 - PITT: 30 (56)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FSU Travel: 732 miles

Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (80 - 61)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Florida State vs New Mexico State	-26
Mon 9/7	Florida State vs SMU	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Florida State at Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/26	Florida State vs Central Arkansas	-31
Sat 10/3	Florida State vs Virginia	-2
Fri 10/9	Florida State at Louisville	+5.5
Sat 10/17	Florida State at Miami	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida State vs Clemson	-1.5
Sat 11/7	Florida State at Boston College	-10
Fri 11/13	Florida State at Pittsburgh	+3
Sat 11/21	Florida State vs NC State	-3
Fri 11/27	Florida State vs Florida	-1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH)	-14.5
Sat 9/12	Pittsburgh vs UCF	-13
Thu 9/17	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-18
Sat 9/26	Pittsburgh vs Bucknell	-31.5
Fri 10/2	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	-11.5
Sat 10/17	Pittsburgh at Boston College	-10
Sat 10/24	Pittsburgh at Miami	+17.5
Sat 10/31	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-4
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/13	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	-3
Sat 11/21	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+5
Sat 11/28	Pittsburgh at California	-5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#22 (.27)	46% (32)	33	50% (10)	3.4 (7)	219	41% (81)	253	3.95 (46)	#68 (.16)	42% (76)	22	42% (66)	43% (79)	4.12 (110)	45.3	1.6	1.2
PITT	#57 (.19)	41% (94)	33.7	41% (96)	2.63 (122)	118	41% (75)	274	3.65 (74)	#24 (.08)	35% (11)	24.8	34% (7)	37% (23)	3.81 (82)	67.4	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	12	33	18.6	45.9%	3.95	1.6	24	472	219	253	5.2	55%	44%	50%	41%	15%	.27
PITT Defense	13	24.8	25.1	35.1%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	34%	37%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	12	22	30.2	42.1%	4.12	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	42%	43%	16%	.16
PITT Offense	13	33.7	36.6	40.6%	3.65	1.8	21	391	118	274	3.6	43%	55%	41%	41%	18%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	12	28:45	24.1	51%	57%	5.4	45.3	1.6	1.2	6.1	2.6	0	29
Pittsburgh	13	28:55	20.8	33%	61%	7.3	67.4	1.8	1.6	7.7	2.4	6	33.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	12	55% (32)	50% (10)	42.1	218.8	5.2	31 (4)	.25 (12)	3.4 (7)	75% (47)	9% (59)	1.03 (45)
PITT Defense	13	46% (26)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (7)	2.34 (6)	69% (53)	13% (8)	0.96 (69)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	12	55% (123)	42% (66)	-	-	-	-	.11 (74)	3.12 (106)	76% (105)	11% (28)	0.86 (19)
PITT Offense	13	43% (115)	41% (96)	33.1	117.7	3.6	18 (70)	.06 (97)	2.63 (122)	67% (97)	11% (107)	1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	12	44% (104)	41% (81)	16.7	28.3	253.4	9	15.2	20 (33)	9 (60)	.32 (46)	1.9 (5)	31% (67)	38% (10)	.5 (11)	6% (48)	2.1 (30)
PITT Defense	13	52% (109)	37% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (31)	.21 (53)	1.6 (110)	37% (8)	26% (19)	.17 (20)	6% (47)	2.1 (92)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	12	44% (16)	43% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (12)	.25 (69)	1.5 (58)	30% (104)	30% (75)	.34 (92)	5% (122)	2 (68)
PITT Offense	13	55% (23)	41% (75)	22.2	35.7	273.5	7.7	12.3	29 (8)	15 (127)	.34 (40)	1.7 (29)	33% (103)	31% (63)	.35 (53)	8% (123)	2 (66)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 8.15 #31
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.90 #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.75 #37
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 8.15 Pittsburgh: 10.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.2 Pittsburgh: 8.4

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 10.65 #34
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 12.38 #58
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 9.48 #23
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Pittsburgh's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 30
Florida State 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Florida State	31	Pittsburgh	34	Florida State -10.5	Pittsburgh	56.5	Over
2023	11/04	Pittsburgh	7	Florida State	24	Florida State -21.5	Pittsburgh	50.0	Under
2020	11/07	Florida State	17	Pittsburgh	41	Pittsburgh -2	Pittsburgh	52.5	Over
2013	09/02	Pittsburgh	13	Florida State	41	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	2	3	2 Overs
Florida State	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 4	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 0	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0

(#31) FSU at (#34) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#31	#34
SP+SP+	#41	#36
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#38	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	#17	#56

Florida State Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Florida State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#32	#11
ExplosiveExp	#20	#119
PPAPPA	#22	#24
PowerPwr	#30	#23
SP+SP+	#54	#47
Pts POPPO	#46	#82
HavocHav	#54	#13

Florida State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#10	#7
Run ExplRExp	#45	#69
PPAExp	#12	#7
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#7
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#5	#110
PPAExp	#46	#53
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#8
DB HavocDB	#48	#47

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#94	#76
ExplosiveExp	#10	#14
PPAPPA	#57	#68
PowerPwr	#58	#37
SP+SP+	#39	#38
Pts POPPO	#74	#110
HavocHav	#120	#72

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#96	#66
Run ExplRExp	#51	#19
PPAExp	#97	#74
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#129	#120
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#75	#79
Pass ExplPExl	#29	#58
PPAExp	#40	#69
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#28
DB HavocDB	#123	#122

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Florida State last year (34-31)
Florida State beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (24-7)

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	68	119	57%	797	3	2	6.7
Kevin Sperry	12	17	71%	194	2	0	11.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Wisner	131	597	3	4.6	48
Gemari Sands (Tr)	105	465	0	4.4	37
Ousmane Kromah	72	408	0	5.7	23
Samuel Singleton	51	360	4	7.1	53

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Duce Robinson	56	1074	6	19.2	82
Micahi Danzy	27	571	3	21.1	66
Desirrio Riles (Tr)	28	362	2	12.9	42
Gemari Sands (Tr)	40	217	0	5.4	18

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	0	2
Blake Nichelson	43	7	1	1	1
Jeremiah Wilson	42	1	0	0	2
Ma'Khi Jones (Tr)	34	2	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mandrell Desir	30	8	7	1	1
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	0	2
Daniel Lyons	26	4	2	4	0
Rylan Kennedy (Tr)	14	4	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)	31	3	0	13
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	2
Jeremiah Wilson	42	1	0	2

PITT's OC Kade Bell (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mason Heintschel	201	316	64%	2357	16	8	7.5
Holden Geriner (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner	140	747	7	5.3	56
La'Vell Wright (Tr)	85	471	10	5.5	39
Mason Heintschel	86	88	2	1.0	36
Justin Cook	9	31	0	3.4	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cataurus Hicks	24	422	4	17.6	84
Bryce Yates	11	202	1	18.4	68
Elijah Lagg (Tr)	20	164	0	8.2	17
Ja'Kyrian Turner	25	150	0	6.0	28

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2
Cruce Brookins	53	1	0	0	2
Demarco Ward (Tr)	50	3	0	1	0
Alex Sanford	47	4	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Scott	17	8	4	8	1
Isaiah Neal	36	7	4	4	1
Cameron Lindsey	32	6	2	0	1
Zach Crothers	15	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shadarian Harrison	29	0	0	0	3
Josh Guerrier	8	0	0	0	3
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2