Florida State at Pittsburgh - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -21.5 (50.0) (-1600) Open: -21.5 | 51.5
Florida State 24 - Pittsburgh: 7 (ACC)

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Road Game
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -21.5 (SP+ FSU -30.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 37 - PITT: 16 (53)
FSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 732 miles

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.36	49%	15.4	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	28	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4
PITT	.18	43%	32.9	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	28.4	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	15.4	12.3	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36
PITT Defense	13	28.4	21.6	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	28	38.3	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15
PITT Offense	13	32.9	37.6	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06 Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7 Pittsburgh: -6.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 37
Pittsburgh 16

Projected Total Points: 53

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Pittsburgh	7	Florida State	24	Florida State	Florida State -21.5	Pittsburgh	50.0	Under
2020	11/07	Florida State	17	Pittsburgh	41	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -2	Pittsburgh	52.5	Over
2013	09/02	Pittsburgh	13	Florida State	41	Florida State	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	1	2	1 Overs
Florida State	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Florida State Ratings Matchup Pittsburgh

Power #10

#72

Off #37

#115

Def #7

#35

Talent #24

#57

SP+ #7

#86

SP+ Off #16

#106

SP+ Def #7

#58

Rematch from Week 10
Florida State 21.5 (50.0)
Florida State won at Pittsburgh this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (24-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.004

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | PITT
Depth Chart: FSU | PITT
Rosters: FSU | PITT

(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Florida State's OC Alex Atkins

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Lawrance Toafili	109	456	3	4.2	28
Rodney Hill	28	184	2	6.6	70
Winston Wright	13	91	0	7.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Ja'Khi Douglas	32	519	4	16.2	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Lawrance Toafili	25	215	0	8.6	32

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Greedy Vance	29	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Farmer	28	8	4	6	0
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Malcolm Ray	25	3	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fentrell Cypress II	24	1	0	1	5
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4

Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Gavin Bartholomew	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23
Gavin Bartholomew	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Gavin Bartholomew	38	329	4	8.7	21
Israel Polk	24	201	0	8.4	19
Cole Mitchell	11	124	2	11.3	40

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	0	7
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
P.J. O'Brien	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Samuel Okunlola	30	7	3	1
Dayon Hayes	16	4	2	0
Brandon George	80	6	2	7
Solomon Deshields	23	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rashad Battle	35	1	1	8
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	7
Daniel Carter	0	0	1	1