Florida State at Boston College - 2021 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Boston College -3 (55.5)
Florida State 26 - Boston College: 23 (ACC)

Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC is playing their 6th straight game
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ FSU -6.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 21 - BC: 24 (45)
BC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FSU Travel: 1097 miles

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/5	Florida State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	53.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida State vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida State at Wake Forest	+4.5	63.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/25	Florida State vs Louisville	-1.5	61.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida State vs Syracuse	-5.5	50.0	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/9	Florida State at North Carolina	+17.5	64.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida State vs Massachusetts	-35.0	59.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida State at Clemson	+9.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida State vs NC State	+3.0	55.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida State vs Miami	+2.5	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Florida State at Boston College	+3.0	55.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Florida State at Florida	+4.0	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.22	41%	27.6	43%	3.34	178	39%	202	4.39	.15	39%	26.5	39%	41%	3.35	62.5	1.8	1.8
BC	.17	41%	24.7	44%	2.77	166	38%	185	3.59	.17	42%	22.2	45%	39%	3.19	49.7	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	12	27.6	23.2	40.7%	4.39	1.8	21	379	178	202	4.8	51%	48%	43%	39%	18%	.22
BC Defense	12	22.2	22.8	42.3%	3.19	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	12	26.5	27.4	39.3%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	39%	41%	18%	.15
BC Offense	12	24.7	24.8	41.1%	3.59	1.5	19	350	166	185	4.2	59%	41%	44%	38%	18%	.17

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	12	28:20	20.6	34%	33%	6.9	62.5	1.8	1.8	7.2	2.8	1	25.6
Boston College	12	30:12	19.3	40%	57%	5.4	49.7	1.5	1.4	4.7	1.7	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	12	51%	43%	37.2	177.8	4.8	21	.22	3.34	64%	13%	1.13
BC Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.15	69%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.9	71%	11%	0.93
BC Offense	12	59%	44%	39.6	165.6	4.2	21	.09	2.77	61%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	12	48%	39%	17.4	28.3	201.6	7.1	11.6	20	12	.24	1.6	32%	30%	.39	5%	2.2
BC Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.7	29%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	12	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.33	1.8	35%	33%	.34	7%	2.2
BC Offense	12	41%	38%	14.1	25.3	184.8	7.3	13.1	13	11	.29	1.8	31%	32%	.32	6%	2.2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Boston College: 2.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.6 Boston College: 0.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.95 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 24
Florida State 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 22
Florida State 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 26
Florida State 24

Total Points: 50

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/02	Florida State	13	Boston College	28	Florida State -16.5	Boston College	50.0	Under
2023	09/16	Boston College	29	Florida State	31	Florida State -25.5	Boston College	48.0	Over
2022	09/24	Florida State	44	Boston College	14	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	48.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boston College	23	Florida State	26	Boston College -3	Florida State	55.5	Under
2019	11/09	Boston College	31	Florida State	38	Boston College -1	Florida State	64.5	Over
2018	11/17	Florida State	22	Boston College	21	Boston College -2.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2017	10/27	Boston College	35	Florida State	3	Florida State -6	Boston College	46.5	Under
2016	11/11	Florida State	45	Boston College	7	Florida State -23	Florida State	47.0	Over
2015	09/18	Boston College	0	Florida State	14	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2014	11/22	Florida State	20	Boston College	17	Florida State -20.5	Boston College	0
2013	09/28	Boston College	34	Florida State	48	Florida State -23	Boston College	0
2012	10/13	Florida State	51	Boston College	7
2011	11/03	Boston College	7	Florida State	38
2010	10/16	Florida State	24	Boston College	19
2009	10/03	Boston College	28	Florida State	21
2008	11/15	Florida State	17	Boston College	27
2007	11/03	Boston College	17	Florida State	27
2006	10/21	Florida State	19	Boston College	24
2005	09/17	Boston College	17	Florida State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	5	5	4 Overs
Florida State	14	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) FSU at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#75
Perf GradeGrade	#82	#27
OffenseOff	#99	#36
DefenseDef	#25	#36
Spec TeamsST	#110	#10
TalentTal	#20	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#80	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#42	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#25
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#75	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 42° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Boston College -3.0 (55.5)
Florida State won at Boston College this year (26-23)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Florida State last year (28-13)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2023 (31-29)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2022 (44-14)

FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD