Syracuse at Florida State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at Florida State Seminoles(#25)

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -18.5 (53.5) (-1100) Open: -17.5 | 56.5
Florida State 41 - Syracuse: 3 (ACC)

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (15 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 2nd straight Road Game
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -23 (SP+ FSU -25)
Projected Score: SYR: 16 - FSU: 39 (54)
FSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
SYR Travel: 980 miles

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (45 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	23.5	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	25.4	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7
FSU	#60 (.21)	41% (79)	34.6	39% (113)	2.64 (128)	150	43% (54)	251	4.45 (25)	#13 (.09)	36% (9)	19.3	40% (38)	32% (1)	3.5 (47)	56.6	0.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	23.5	15.4	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13
FSU Defense	14	19.3	14.3	35.5%	3.5	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	32%	21%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	25.4	34	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18
FSU Offense	14	34.6	44.8	41.3%	4.45	0.6	20	401	150	251	4.5	47%	53%	39%	43%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6
Florida State	14	29:23	19.6	36%	48%	6.1	56.6	0.6	1.2	6.7	3.2	2	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)
FSU Defense	14	49% (49)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.12 (51)	2.75 (19)	77% (96)	12% (20)	1.07 (102)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)
FSU Offense	14	47% (93)	39% (113)	33.1	150.1	4.5	32 (10)	.07 (111)	2.64 (128)	63% (123)	9% (52)	1.06 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)
FSU Defense	14	51% (90)	32% (1)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.06 (4)	1.6 (65)	36% (16)	27% (28)	.22 (22)	9% (2)	1.9 (24)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)
FSU Offense	14	53% (39)	43% (54)	18.6	30.9	250.6	8.1	13.5	25 (37)	4 (2)	.34 (46)	1.6 (48)	32% (78)	31% (66)	.36 (61)	6% (67)	2.2 (32)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31 Florida State: 22.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0 Florida State: 23.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.38 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 39
Syracuse 16

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 38
Syracuse 20

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 35
Syracuse 18

Total Points: 53

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.8
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Florida State	41	Syracuse	3	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	53.5	Under
2022	11/12	Syracuse	3	Florida State	38	Florida State -7.5	Florida State	51.0	Under
2021	10/02	Florida State	33	Syracuse	30	Florida State -5.5	Syracuse	50.0	Over
2019	10/26	Florida State	35	Syracuse	17	Florida State -12	Florida State	60.0	Under
2018	09/15	Syracuse	30	Florida State	7	Florida State -3.5	Syracuse	69.0	Under
2017	11/04	Florida State	27	Syracuse	24	Florida State -7.5	Syracuse	50.5	Over
2016	11/19	Syracuse	14	Florida State	45	Florida State -20	Florida State	65.5	Under
2015	10/31	Florida State	45	Syracuse	21	Florida State -19.5	Florida State	53.0	Over
2014	10/11	Syracuse	20	Florida State	38	Florida State -20	Syracuse	0
2013	11/16	Florida State	59	Syracuse	3	Florida State -38.5	Florida State	0
2005	10/01	Florida State	38	Syracuse	14
2004	10/09	Syracuse	13	Florida State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	11	6	3 Overs
Syracuse	1	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	4 - 6	2 - 2	2 - 4

(#65) SYR at (#10) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	FSU
Power RatePwr	#65	#10
SP+SP+	#68	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#15
OffenseOff	#115	#23
DefenseDef	#39	#16
Spec TeamsST	#88	#42
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#19

Syracuse Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#115	#16
SuccessSuc	#98	#9
ExplosiveExp	#101	#79
PPAPPA	#100	#13
PowerPwr	#89	#7
SP+SP+	#82	#7
Pts POPPO	#103	#47
HavocHav	#108	#7

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#84	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#38
Run ExplRExp	#47	#102
PPAExp	#87	#51
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#19
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#19
TackleTak	-	#32

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#1
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#65
PPAExp	#88	#4
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#66	#6
F7 HavocF7	#116	#20
DB HavocDB	#83	#2

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
Perf GradePerf	#23	#39
SuccessSuc	#79	#93
ExplosiveExp	#16	#13
PPAPPA	#60	#67
PowerPwr	#37	#49
SP+SP+	#16	#50
Pts POPPO	#25	#22
HavocHav	#57	#30

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#43	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	#113	#113
Run ExplRExp	#35	#6
PPAExp	#111	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#111	#70
TackleTak	-	#20

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#48	#68
PPAExp	#46	#55
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#5	#101
F7 HavocF7	#52	#16
DB HavocDB	#67	#78

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Florida State -18.5 (53.5)
Florida State won vs Syracuse this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2023 (41-3)
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2022 (38-3)

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan Travis	207	324	64%	2745	20	2	8.5
Tate Rodemaker	32	56	57%	510	5	0	9.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trey Benson	156	905	14	5.8	85
Lawrance Toafili	69	463	4	6.7	73
Rodney Hill	50	190	1	3.8	19
Caziah Holmes (Tr)	29	185	2	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)	50	658	11	13.2	58
Johnny Wilson	41	617	2	15.0	44
Jaheim Bell (Tr)	39	503	2	12.9	49
Kyle Morlock (Tr)	19	255	0	13.4	63

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tatum Bethune	70	7	1	3	3
Kalen DeLoach	67	11	8	0	2
Shyheim Brown	53	2	2	2	4
DJ Lundy	52	6	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Verse	40	12	9	7	2
Kalen DeLoach	67	11	8	0	2
Patrick Payton	43	14	6	7	9
Braden Fiske (Tr)	42	9	6	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Renardo Green	43	3	1	1	12
Azareye'h Thomas	27	3	0	0	10
Patrick Payton	43	14	6	7	9