Syracuse at Florida State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo   Syracuse Orange at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -18.5 (53.5) (-1100)  Open: -17.5 | 56.5
Florida State 41 - Syracuse: 3  (ACC)

 
Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SYR 2nd straight Road Game
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -23  (SP+ FSU -25)
Projected Score: SYR: 16 - FSU: 39 (55)
FSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
SYR Travel: 980 miles
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Syracuse vs Colgate-40.049.5W 65 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Syracuse vs Western Michigan-24.556.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Syracuse at Purdue-1.056.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Syracuse vs Army-13.050.5W 29 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Syracuse vs Clemson+7.052.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Syracuse at North Carolina+9.559.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/14 Syracuse at Florida State+18.553.5L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Syracuse at Virginia Tech+2.547.5L 10 - 38ON
Fri 11/3 Syracuse vs Boston College-3.051.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/11 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+4.537.5W 28 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+6.551.5L 22 - 31ON
Sat 11/25 Syracuse vs Wake Forest-3.043.5W 35 - 31OY
Thu 12/21 Syracuse vs South Florida-3.056.0L 0 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17ON
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama-35.5
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15UY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6UY
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR.1945%20.248%3.1714343%2323.83.1347%34.949%44%3.4263.311.7
FSU.3649%3352%3.3321446%2704.32.1541%2244%38%4.0857.91.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1320.21745%3.831203751432324.246%53%48%43%19%.19
FSU Defense132216.141.4%4.081.4 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1334.940.246.5%3.421.7 - - - - - 57%43%49%44%16%.13
FSU Offense133343.349%4.321.1244842142705.551%48%52%46%15%.36

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1328:1420.237%42%8.663.311.75.82.5230.1
Florida State1331:0124.251%35%6.657.91.11.462.9133.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1346%48%34.1143.14.221.223.1770%12%0.98
FSU Defense1356%44% - - - - .163.2773%11%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1357%49% - - - - .123.2767%12%0.8
FSU Offense1351%52%39.2214.15.533.333.3365%10%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1353%43%17.528.5231.68.113.2199.161.533%32%.356%2
FSU Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 8.171.634%28%.36%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1343%44% - - - - - - 10.181.325%29%.215%1.7
FSU Offense1348%46%19.230.4270.28.914.1287.411.729%39%.515%2.2

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31  #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09  #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31  #49
2023 Talent Rating: 610.75  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31   Florida State: 22.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0   Florida State: 23.7




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.38  #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82  #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10  #7
2023 Talent Rating: 765.33  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 39  #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7  #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 39
Syracuse 16

Projected Total Points: 55
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Florida State41Syracuse3Florida State -18.5Florida State53.5Under
202211/12Syracuse3Florida State38Florida State -7.5Florida State51.0Under
202110/02Florida State33Syracuse30Florida State -5.5Syracuse50.0Over
201910/26Florida State35Syracuse17Florida State -12Florida State60.0Under
201809/15Syracuse30Florida State7Florida State -3.5Syracuse69.0Under
201711/04Florida State27Syracuse24Florida State -7.5Syracuse50.5Over
201611/19Syracuse14Florida State45Florida State -20Florida State65.5Under
201510/31Florida State45Syracuse21Florida State -19.5Florida State53.0Over
201410/11Syracuse20Florida State38Florida State -20Syracuse0
201311/16Florida State59Syracuse3Florida State -38.5Florida State0
200510/01Florida State38Syracuse14
200410/09Syracuse13Florida State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1163 Overs
Syracuse145 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 46 - 44 - 22 - 2
Road Teams4 - 84 - 62 - 22 - 4

(#65) SYR at (#10) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSYRFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #10
SP+SP+ #68 #7
Perf GradeGrade #92 #15
OffenseOff #115 #23
DefenseDef #39 #16
Spec TeamsST #88 #42
TalentTal #69 #20
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #19
Syracuse on Offense
CategoryCat
SYR OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #115 #16
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #89 #7
SP+SP+ #82 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Syracuse Run Game
CategoryCat
SYR OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #84 #45
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Syracuse Pass Game
CategoryCat
SYR OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #126 #12
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffSYR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #37 #49
SP+SP+ #16 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffSYR Def
Run GameRun #43 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffSYR Def
Pass GamePass #19 #32
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #5 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Florida State -18.5 (53.5)
Florida State won vs Syracuse this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2023 (41-3)

  
SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Shrader13421463%16911367.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson265151%282365.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen244106394.456
Garrett Shrader11446084.039
Dan Villari5532625.938
Juwuan Price4816603.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Alford33610318.547
Umari Hatcher32482315.148
Donovan Brown27321111.986
Lequint Allen3821015.526

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marlowe Wax10512442
Justin Barron895118
Alijah Clark624023
Derek Mcdonald614341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevon Darton438530
Caleb Okechukwu368521
Marlowe Wax10512442
Leon Lowery458431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron895118
Isaiah Johnson581005
Jason Simmons Jr.450015

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan Travis20732464%27452028.5
Tate Rodemaker325657%510509.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Benson156905145.885
Lawrance Toafili6946346.773
Rodney Hill5019013.819
Caziah Holmes (Tr)2918526.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)506581113.258
Johnny Wilson41617215.044
Jaheim Bell (Tr)39503212.949
Kyle Morlock (Tr)19255013.463

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tatum Bethune707133
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Shyheim Brown532224
DJ Lundy526224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Verse4012972
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Patrick Payton4314679
Braden Fiske (Tr)429650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Renardo Green4331112
Azareye'h Thomas2730010
Patrick Payton4314679