Syracuse at Florida State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo Syracuse Orange at Florida State Seminoles(#7)Florida State logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -18.5 (53.5) (-1100)  Open: -17.5 | 56.5
Florida State 41 - Syracuse: 3  (ACC)

 
Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (15 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SYR 2nd straight Road Game
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -23   (SP+ FSU -25)

Projected Score: SYR: 15 - FSU: 38 (53)
FSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
SYR Travel: 980 miles
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (45 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Syracuse vs Colgate-40.049.5W 65 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Syracuse vs Western Michigan-24.556.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Syracuse at Purdue-1.056.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Syracuse vs Army-13.050.5W 29 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Syracuse vs Clemson+7.052.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Syracuse at North Carolina+9.559.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/14 Syracuse at Florida State+18.553.5L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Syracuse at Virginia Tech+2.547.5L 10 - 38ON
Fri 11/3 Syracuse vs Boston College-3.051.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/11 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+4.537.5W 28 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+6.551.5L 22 - 31ON
Sat 11/25 Syracuse vs Wake Forest-3.043.5W 35 - 31OY
Thu 12/21 Syracuse vs South Florida-3.056.0L 0 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17ON
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama-35.5
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15UY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6UY
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#100 (.13)40% (98)23.541% (94)2.98 (93)17239% (95)1723.38 (103)#67 (.18)44% (93)25.447% (113)41% (55)3.33 (22)61.61.81.7
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)34.639% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)19.340% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1323.515.439.6%3.381.8183441721724.261%38%41%39%18%.13
FSU Defense1419.314.335.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1325.43443.8%3.331.7 - - - - - 50%50%47%41%18%.18
FSU Offense1434.644.841.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1328:1617.839%50%7.361.61.81.762.2329.6
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1361% (10)41% (94)40.8171.54.220 (61).12 (87)2.98 (93)71% (94)12% (116)1.04 (47)
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1350% (63)47% (113) - - - - .13 (60)3.13 (75)79% (105)12% (16)0.8 (6)
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1338% (124)39% (95)14.724.2172.17.111.717 (85)15 (116).22 (88)1.5 (93)31% (48)27% (102).23 (101)6% (83)2.1 (64)
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1350% (76)41% (55) - - - - - - 9 (87).25 (55)1.6 (68)31% (85)30% (64).25 (37)6% (78)1.8 (6)
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31   Florida State: 22.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0   Florida State: 23.7




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.38 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 38
Syracuse 15


Total Points: 53

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.8
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Florida State41Syracuse3Florida StateFlorida State -18.5Florida State53.5Under
202211/12Syracuse3Florida State38Florida StateFlorida State -7.5Florida State51.0Under
202110/02Florida State33Syracuse30Florida StateFlorida State -5.5Syracuse50.0Over
201910/26Florida State35Syracuse17Florida StateFlorida State -12Florida State60.0Under
201809/15Syracuse30Florida State7SyracuseFlorida State -3.5Syracuse69.0Under
201711/04Florida State27Syracuse24Florida StateFlorida State -7.5Syracuse50.5Over
201611/19Syracuse14Florida State45Florida StateFlorida State -20Florida State65.5Under
201510/31Florida State45Syracuse21Florida StateFlorida State -19.5Florida State53.0Over
201410/11Syracuse20Florida State38Florida StateFlorida State -20Syracuse0
201311/16Florida State59Syracuse3Florida StateFlorida State -38.5Florida State0
200510/01Florida State38Syracuse14Florida State
200410/09Syracuse13Florida State17Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1163 Overs
Syracuse145 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 46 - 44 - 22 - 2
Road Teams4 - 84 - 62 - 22 - 4

(#65) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: -0.31 #65
Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90


Syracuse has lost 2 straight
Syracuse has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse defense does not give up big plays (#80)
Syracuse defense is really good in red zone (#82)
Syracuse Front 7 is disruptive (#127)

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Syracuse Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Syracuse throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Syracuse offense is not Explosive (#109)
Syracuse Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Syracuse offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#39)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFSUSYR
OverallOver#12#76
OffenseOff#21#98
DefenseDef#12#32
Special TeamsST#35#69
PassingPass#18#106
RushingRush#29#60
Run BlockRBLK#19#82
Pass BlockPBLK#5#57
Route RunningWR Rt#47#85
TacklingTkl#30#18
Run DefenseR Def#39#32
Pass Rush DefPRush#5#78
Coverage DefCov#10#27

Rematch from Week 7
Florida State -18.5 (53.5)
Florida State won vs Syracuse this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2023 (41-3)
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2022 (38-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SYR | FSU
Depth Chart: SYR | FSU
Rosters: SYR | FSU
(#10) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 22.38 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Florida State has won 5 straight
Florida State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated at Home

Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Florida State has a really good defense (#50)
Florida State has a good pass defense (#46)
Florida State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#35)
Florida State Defensive Line is very good (#87)
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State Secondary is very good (#34)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)

Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
Florida State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#32)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)


  
Syracuse's OC Jason Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Shrader13421463%16911367.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson265151%282365.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen244106394.456
Garrett Shrader11446084.039
Dan Villari5532625.938
Juwuan Price4816603.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Alford33610318.547
Umari Hatcher32482315.148
Donovan Brown27321111.986
Lequint Allen3821015.526

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Rocky Long
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marlowe Wax10512442
Justin Barron895118
Alijah Clark624023
Derek Mcdonald614341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevon Darton438530
Caleb Okechukwu368521
Marlowe Wax10512442
Leon Lowery458431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron895118
Isaiah Johnson581005
Jason Simmons Jr.450015

Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan Travis20732464%27452028.5
Tate Rodemaker325657%510509.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Benson156905145.885
Lawrance Toafili6946346.773
Rodney Hill5019013.819
Caziah Holmes (Tr)2918526.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)506581113.258
Johnny Wilson41617215.044
Jaheim Bell (Tr)39503212.949
Kyle Morlock (Tr)19255013.463

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tatum Bethune707133
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Shyheim Brown532224
DJ Lundy526224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Verse4012972
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Patrick Payton4314679
Braden Fiske (Tr)429650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Renardo Green4331112
Azareye'h Thomas2730010
Patrick Payton4314679