(#7)Florida State Seminoles at NC State Wolfpack
Friday, November 21st 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC (ACC)
Seminoles (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -8.5 (SP+ FSU -6)
Projected Score: FSU: 34 - NCST: 25 (59)
FSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FSU Travel: 491 miles
Our Line: Florida State -8.5 (SP+ FSU -6)
Projected Score: FSU: 34 - NCST: 25 (59)
FSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FSU Travel: 491 miles
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Florida State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Florida State vs Alabama | +13.5 | 50.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida State vs East Texas A&M | -43.5 | 56.5 | W 77 - 3 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Florida State vs Kent State | -45.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Florida State at Virginia | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Florida State vs Miami | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Florida State vs Pittsburgh | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Florida State at Stanford | -18.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Florida State vs Wake Forest | -20 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Florida State at Clemson | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Florida State vs Virginia Tech | -27 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | Florida State at NC State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Florida State at Florida | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -32 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +12.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +19.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | #8 (.5) | 43% (76) | 54 | 45% (63) | 3.22 (45) | 296 | 36% (109) | 260 | 5.5 (13) | #31 (.01) | 37% (50) | 10 | 37% (51) | 37% (46) | 2.5 (34) | 37.5 | 1 | 1 |
| NCST | #56 (.23) | 44% (67) | 31 | 40% (95) | 2.53 (108) | 177 | 48% (39) | 240 | 4.39 (48) | #96 (.19) | 35% (35) | 24 | 30% (13) | 39% (63) | 3.19 (58) | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 54 | 54 | 42.6% | 5.5 | 1 | 25 | 556 | 296 | 260 | 5.9 | 73% | 27% | 45% | 36% | 10% | .5 |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 35% | 3.19 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 60% | 30% | 39% | 14% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 10 | 10 | 36.6% | 2.5 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 37% | 37% | 22% | .01 |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 31 | 29.5 | 43.8% | 4.39 | 0.3 | 22 | 416 | 177 | 240 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 18% | .23 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 2 | 31:10 | 24.5 | 58% | 100% | 3.5 | 37.5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 32.5 |
| NC State | 3 | 32:35 | 22.3 | 38% | 100% | 6 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 73% (4) | 45% (63) | 50 | 295.5 | 5.9 | 9 (17) | .36 (19) | 3.22 (45) | 64% (99) | 9% (73) | 1.43 (9) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 39% (8) | 30% (13) | - | - | - | - | .15 (103) | 2.2 (21) | 64% (51) | 8% (94) | 1.57 (133) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 44% (31) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (45) | 2.96 (87) | 43% (10) | 15% (17) | 0.78 (31) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 55% (44) | 40% (95) | 37.7 | 176.7 | 4.7 | 6 (49) | .08 (89) | 2.53 (108) | 60% (103) | 12% (117) | 1.08 (45) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 27% (133) | 36% (109) | 12.5 | 17 | 260 | 15.3 | 20.8 | 6 (34) | 0 (1) | .85 (3) | 3.4 (1) | 28% (43) | 35% (51) | .72 (15) | 1% (2) | 2.8 (3) |
| NCST Defense | 3 | 60% (131) | 39% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .25 (78) | 1.6 (79) | 37% (26) | 32% (92) | .43 (103) | 5% (80) | 2.1 (84) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 56% (111) | 37% (46) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .04 (26) | 1.6 (95) | 33% (62) | 23% (35) | .12 (35) | 7% (34) | 2.6 (128) |
| NCST Offense | 3 | 45% (91) | 48% (39) | 21 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .42 (39) | 1.5 (67) | 33% (93) | 32% (66) | .24 (92) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (92) |
Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida State's Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 28.15 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.3 NC State: 5.1
Florida State: 28.15 NC State: 11.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.3 NC State: 5.1
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State's Power Rating: 11.2 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 34
NC State 25
Total Points: 59
Florida State 34
NC State 25
Total Points: 59
NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10/08 | NC State | 19 | Florida State | 17 | NC State | NC State -3.5 | Florida State | 50.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Florida State | 14 | NC State | 28 | NC State | NC State -3 | NC State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | NC State | 38 | Florida State | 22 | NC State | NC State -12.0 | NC State | 61.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 09/28 | Florida State | 31 | NC State | 13 | Florida State | Florida State -7 | Florida State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | NC State | 47 | Florida State | 28 | NC State | NC State -9.5 | NC State | 52.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/23 | Florida State | 21 | NC State | 27 | NC State | Florida State -11.5 | NC State | 50.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | NC State | 20 | Florida State | 24 | Florida State | Florida State -6.5 | NC State | 58.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Florida State | 34 | NC State | 17 | Florida State | Florida State -10.5 | Florida State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/27 | NC State | 41 | Florida State | 56 | Florida State | Florida State -23 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Florida State | 49 | NC State | 17 | Florida State | Florida State -27.5 | Florida State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | NC State | 17 | Florida State | 16 | NC State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | Florida State | 34 | NC State | 0 | Florida State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/28 | NC State | 28 | Florida State | 24 | NC State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Florida State | 45 | NC State | 42 | Florida State | ||||
| 2008 | 10/16 | NC State | 17 | Florida State | 26 | Florida State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Florida State | 27 | NC State | 10 | Florida State | ||||
| 2006 | 10/05 | NC State | 24 | Florida State | 20 | NC State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/05 | Florida State | 15 | NC State | 20 | NC State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/11 | NC State | 10 | Florida State | 17 | Florida State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Florida State | 50 | NC State | 44 | Florida State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/10 | Florida State | 28 | NC State | 34 | NC State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/27 | NC State | 14 | Florida State | 58 | Florida State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 10 | 6 | 1 Overs |
| Florida State | 12 | 4 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 9 | 7 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 13 | 3 - 7 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 5 |
(#15) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 8 straight
Florida State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 8 straight
Florida State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | FSU |
| OverallOver | #18 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #28 | #35 |
| DefenseDef | #28 | #64 |
| Special TeamsST | #57 | #82 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #26 |
| RushingRush | #27 | #18 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #73 | #94 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #64 | #6 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #42 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #15 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #28 | #81 |
| Coverage DefCov | #25 | #91 |
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has lost 7 straight
NC State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
Power Rating: 11.2 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has lost 7 straight
NC State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State is Undefeated at Home
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 17 | 25 | 68% | 389 | 3 | 0 | 15.6 |
| Kevin Sperry | 4 | 5 | 80% | 61 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micahi Danzy | 4 | 109 | 2 | 27.3 | 53 |
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 20 | 85 | 1 | 4.3 | 14 |
| Samuel Singleton | 4 | 82 | 1 | 20.5 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 12 | 68 | 0 | 5.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duce Robinson (Tr) | 7 | 191 | 2 | 27.3 | 82 |
| Jaylin Lucas | 3 | 71 | 0 | 23.7 | 64 |
| Gavin Sawchuk (Tr) | 2 | 56 | 1 | 28.0 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 2 | 50 | 1 | 25.0 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Cryer | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ja'Bril Rawls | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Thompson (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Lyons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyeland Coleman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Deamontae Diggs (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Blake Nichelson | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 63 | 89 | 71% | 719 | 5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 63 | 380 | 3 | 6.0 | 57 |
| CJ Bailey | 21 | 84 | 3 | 4.0 | 30 |
| Jayden Scott | 19 | 66 | 0 | 3.5 | 13 |
| Will Wilson | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Grimes | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 8 | 109 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Terrell Anderson | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 30 |
| Teddy Hoffmann | 6 | 99 | 0 | 16.5 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Travali Price | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Coleson Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |