Florida State at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#22)Georgia Tech logo
Saturday, August 24th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -10.0 (54.5) (-470)  Open: -12.0 | 57.0
Georgia Tech 24 - Florida State: 21  (Aer Lingus College Football Classic)

 
Seminoles (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (31 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.9 MPH
Our Line: Georgia Tech -8.5  (SP+ GT -5)

Projected Score: FSU: 22 - GT: 30 (52)
FSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
FSU Travel: 230 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-10.054.5L 21 - 24UN
Mon 9/2 Florida State vs Boston College-16.550.0L 13 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Florida State vs Memphis-7.052.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Florida State vs California-3.044.0W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 Florida State at SMU+6.046.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Florida State vs Clemson+16.547.0L 13 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Florida State at Duke+2.543.0L 16 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 Florida State at Miami+22.555.0L 14 - 36UY
Sat 11/2 Florida State vs North Carolina+2.550.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 11/9 Florida State at Notre Dame+25.544.5L 3 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Florida State vs Charleston Southern-33.044.5W 41 - 7OY
Sat 11/30 Florida State vs Florida+17.545.5L 11 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)15.440% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2842% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)28.945% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)25.641% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1215.412.335.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06
GT Defense1325.61742.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122838.340.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
GT Offense1328.935.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: -4.89  #83
Florida State's Offense Rating: 11.77  #120
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.02  #87
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43%  #13
Florida State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Florida State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #83
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #114
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -4.89   Georgia Tech: 4.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: -3.2   Georgia Tech: 1.9




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 4.43  #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04  #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07  #79
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9  #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 30
Florida State 22


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 27
Georgia Tech 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Tech 33
Florida State 18

Total Points: 51
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/24Georgia Tech24Florida State21Florida State -10.0Georgia Tech54.5Under
202210/29Florida State41Georgia Tech16Florida State -23.5Florida State48.0Over
202009/12Florida State13Georgia Tech16Florida State -13.5Georgia Tech49.0Under
201510/24Georgia Tech22Florida State16Florida State -6.5Georgia Tech56.0Under
201412/06Georgia Tech35Florida State37Florida State -3.5Georgia Tech0
201212/01Georgia Tech15Florida State21
200910/10Florida State44Georgia Tech49
200811/01Georgia Tech31Florida State28
200309/13Florida State14Georgia Tech13
200211/09Georgia Tech13Florida State21
200112/01Florida State28Georgia Tech17
200009/08Georgia Tech21Florida State26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech541 Overs
Florida State713 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 64 - 11 - 13 - 0
Road Teams6 - 61 - 40 - 31 - 1

(#83) FSU at (#38) GT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUGT
Power RatePwr #83 #38
SP+SP+ #83 #66
Perf GradeGrade #120 #61
OffenseOff #124 #48
DefenseDef #111 #93
Spec TeamsST #19 #7
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #13 #65
Florida State Notes
(12/12) Signed QB Castellanos (BC), back w/ Gus (UCF)
(12/2) Hired HC Gus Malzahn as OC for '25 season
(12/2) Hired DC White (Neb DC, + Cuse/ASU/SDSU)
(11/18) Have not scored 17+ pts since opener (21)
(11/10) Fired OC/OLC Atkins & DC Fuller after ND loss
(11/10) Scored 60 pts in last 5 games. Fired OC/OLC
(11/2) Fmr WR K.C. told croots not to play for Dugans
(10/28) Now 5 losing season in past 7 years
(10/18) QB Glenn is a noodle armed turnover machine
(10/18) Off is worse out of Bye. WR/OL worst in P4
(10/18) Def/team still fighting, but Off is laughably bad
(9/30) DJ's hand inj may be long term
Florida State Injury Report
Georgia Tech Notes
(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report
Florida State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
FSU OffGT Def
Perf GradePerf #124 #93
SuccessSuc #128 #77
ExplosiveExp #58 #72
PPAPPA #125 #65
PowerPwr #120 #79
SP+SP+ #114 #79
Pts POPPO #131 #85
HavocHav #129 #78
Florida State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
FSU OffGT Def
Run GameRun #124 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #50
Run ExplRExp #118 #74
PPAExp #101 #31
Run BlockR Blk #119 -
OL YdsOLY #92 #12
Stuff RateStuff #85 #4
TackleTak -  #124
Florida State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
FSU OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #111 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #99
Pass ExplPExl #20 #42
PPAExp #130 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #76 #115
F7 HavocF7 #130 #73
DB HavocDB #62 #88
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatGT OffFSU Def
Perf GradePerf #48 #111
SuccessSuc #29 #56
ExplosiveExp #88 #114
PPAPPA #36 #112
PowerPwr #14 #87
SP+SP+ #42 #58
Pts POPPO #35 #46
HavocHav #22 #98
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
GT OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #84 #106
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #62
Run ExplRExp #46 #114
PPAExp #62 #109
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #100 #81
Stuff RateStuff #95 #88
TackleTak -  #47
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatGT OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #15 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #52
Pass ExplPExl #110 #120
PPAExp #26 #110
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #93
F7 HavocF7 #21 #77
DB HavocDB #34 #116
Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aviva Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 20 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Florida State 10.0 (54.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Florida State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Florida State last year (24-21)
Florida State beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (41-16)

  
FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)8415654%1065466.8
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrance Toafili10945634.228
Kam Davis5217303.316
Luke Kromenhoek6311301.842
Brock Glenn359702.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Khi Douglas32519416.271
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Lawrance Toafili2521508.632
Hykeem Williams16187111.733

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Azareye'h Thomas512024
K.J. Kirkland451002
Blake Nichelson454100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick Payton3210440
Joshua Farmer288460
Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr)256430
Darrell Jackson284441
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fentrell Cypress II241015
Azareye'h Thomas512024
Kevin Knowles II311114

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Avery Boyd25316212.633
Chase Lane24283311.832

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014