Kent State at Florida State Game Matchup

Kent State Golden Flashes at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Field at Doak Campbell Stadium - Tallahassee, FL

Golden Flashes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

FSU coming off BYE
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -36.5 (SP+ FSU -32)
Projected Score: KENT: 7 - FSU: 43 (51)
FSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
KENT Travel: 758 miles

Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Kent State vs Merrimack	+2.5
Sat 9/6	Kent State at Texas Tech	+41
Sat 9/13	Kent State vs Buffalo	+16
Sat 9/20	Kent State at Florida State	+36.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Kent State at Oklahoma	+47.5
Sat 10/11	Kent State vs Massachusetts	+1.5
Sat 10/18	Kent State at Toledo	+27.5
Sat 10/25	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5	Kent State at Ball State	+6
Tue 11/11	Kent State at Akron	+9.5
Wed 11/19	Kent State vs Central Michigan	+10
Fri 11/28	Kent State at Northern Illinois	+18

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Florida State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Florida State vs Alabama	+11.5	50.5
Sat 9/6	Florida State vs East Texas A&M	-31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Florida State vs Kent State	-36.5
Fri 9/26	Florida State at Virginia	-5.5
Sat 10/4	Florida State vs Miami	+10
Sat 10/11	Florida State vs Pittsburgh	-5.5
Sat 10/18	Florida State at Stanford	-11
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-17
Sat 11/8	Florida State at Clemson	+20.5
Sat 11/15	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-4.5
Fri 11/21	Florida State at NC State	+1
Sat 11/29	Florida State at Florida	+14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)	13.9	33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)	44.1	50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)	15.4	40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)	28	42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	13.9	9.3	30.5%	2.89	1.7	13	233	78	155	2.4	47%	51%	33%	29%	28%	.01
FSU Defense	12	28	22.7	40.8%	3.62	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	42%	39%	14%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	44.1	48.3	50.1%	4.34	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	50%	51%	12%	.35
FSU Offense	12	15.4	16.4	35.4%	2.88	1.8	15	271	91	180	2.9	46%	54%	40%	31%	21%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	26:52	12.9	19%	38%	4.8	35.7	1.7	0.9	4.7	1.5	0	27.2
Florida State	12	27:11	15.2	29%	63%	5.6	47.9	1.8	0.5	5.8	2	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	47% (91)	33% (132)	32.3	77.5	2.4	3 (134)	-.07 (132)	2.57 (128)	61% (123)	19% (134)	0.95 (72)
FSU Defense	12	56% (119)	42% (62)	-	-	-	-	.2 (109)	3.06 (81)	80% (111)	10% (77)	1.1 (114)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	55% (113)	50% (123)	-	-	-	-	.3 (132)	3.58 (133)	81% (115)	8% (111)	1.13 (122)
FSU Offense	12	46% (101)	40% (103)	31.4	90.8	2.9	8 (130)	.07 (101)	2.9 (92)	68% (103)	15% (130)	0.87 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	51% (54)	29% (134)	11.6	24.5	155.4	6.3	13.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.14 (109)	2.1 (2)	41% (134)	19% (134)	.11 (132)	8% (128)	2.7 (1)
FSU Defense	12	44% (15)	39% (52)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.34 (110)	1.8 (120)	33% (45)	34% (110)	.52 (127)	5% (116)	2.3 (121)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	45% (25)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.41 (126)	1.5 (23)	28% (124)	38% (127)	.42 (109)	4% (127)	1.8 (15)
FSU Offense	12	54% (35)	31% (130)	14.9	29.6	180.3	6.1	12.1	11 (122)	13 (103)	.04 (130)	1.8 (20)	39% (133)	26% (113)	.24 (102)	6% (62)	2.1 (28)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -27.49 #135
Kent State's Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Kent State's Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -27.49 Florida State: 10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -24.9 Florida State: 7.2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.69 #58
Florida State's Defense Rating: 7.68 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 922.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 43
Kent State 7

Projected Total Points: 51

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	0	0	0 Overs
Kent State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#135) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -27.49 #135
Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133
Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State Notes
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY

Kent State Ratings Matchup Florida State

Power #135

#44

Off #134

#58

Def #132

#28

Talent #118

#17

SP+ #136

#36

SP+ Off #134

#58

SP+ Def #133

#28

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | FSU
Depth Chart: KENT | FSU
Rosters: KENT | FSU

(#44) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Offense Rating: 15.69 #58
Defense Rating: 7.68 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 922.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida State Notes
(5/31) Watch Fr RB O. Kromah, RBs aren't great above
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
(5/21) Off could start 8 portals. New OC. Total wildcard
(5/21) Def looks OK, portal DEs, CB is a ?, New DC
(5/21) Norvell 3 of 5 yrs sub .500. Crootin meh
(3/22) Portal class includes 7 P4 starters from LY
(3/19) QB Castellanos (BC), new OC Malzahn
(3/19) Def OK LY considering, need much more TY

Kent State's OC Mark Carney

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Devin Kargman	45	82	55%	432	3	2	5.3
Ruel Tomlinson	11	28	39%	73	0	2	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahzae Kimbrough	27	114	0	4.2	18
Ayden Harris	29	110	1	3.8	13
Jordan Nubin (Tr)	11	19	0	1.7	7
Cade Wolford	4	10	0	2.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jay Jay Etheridge	14	137	1	9.8	37
Dashawn Martin	8	108	0	13.5	27
Jordan Nubin (Tr)	3	32	0	10.7	19
Jahzae Kimbrough	5	24	0	4.8	11

View Kent State's Full Roster

Kent State's DC Kody Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Woods	68	4	0	0	1
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	0	2
Canaan Williams	46	3	0	1	1
CJ Young	34	2	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Mattheus Carroll	14	2	1	0
CJ Young	34	2	1	0
Mason Woods	68	4	0	1
Jaihien Roy	2	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Campbell	6	2	1	2
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	2
Mason Woods	68	4	0	1

Florida State's OC Gus Malzahn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	99	161	62%	1366	18	5	8.5
Brock Glenn	51	114	45%	597	4	5	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)	93	194	1	2.1	18
Kam Davis	52	173	0	3.3	16
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)	39	128	1	3.3	21
Brock Glenn	35	97	0	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Randy Pittman (Tr)	32	416	2	13.0	48
Duce Robinson (Tr)	23	396	5	17.2	48
Squirrel White (Tr)	34	381	2	11.2	45
Landen Thomas	14	173	1	12.4	35

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shyheim Brown	62	1	0	0	2
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4
Deante McCray (Tr)	55	3	2	2	0
K.J. Kirkland	45	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)	34	7	5	6	2
James Williams (Tr)	14	6	5	4	0
Darrell Jackson	28	4	4	4	1
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)	24	4	0	0	4
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4
Omar Graham Jr.	37	4	1	1	3