Kent State at Florida State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Florida State Seminoles(#7)Florida State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -44.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: -45.5
Florida State 66 - Kent State: 10

 
Golden Flashes (3 - 6) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (9 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#109)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
FSU coming off BYE
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -37  (SP+ FSU -36)

Projected Score: KENT: 10 - FSU: 47 (57)
FSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
KENT Travel: 758 miles
Seminoles (4 - 4) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 40 - 21 (45 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#65)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+44.556.5L 10 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+46.553.5L 0 - 44UY
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-1.549.5W 42 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+25.548.5L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+7.547.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+3.048.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+8.5
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+9
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+13

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-19
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-4.5
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida+3

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#125 (.04)35% (133)1833% (134)2.5 (107)7936% (125)1603.44 (104)#124 (.26)45% (110)34.344% (87)45% (114)4.24 (109)41.80.90.7
FSU#10 (.33)48% (25)4050% (12)3.33 (15)24244% (52)2694.54 (26)#69 (.14)41% (61)20.640% (48)42% (83)3.89 (88)531.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense9189.434.7%3.440.912240791602.753%46%33%36%19%.04
FSU Defense820.616.540.9%3.891.4 - - - - - 53%47%40%42%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense934.346.844.7%4.240.7 - - - - - 50%50%44%45%14%.26
FSU Offense84044.847.6%4.541.4255112422695.359%40%50%44%13%.33

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State925:2711.627%53%5.441.80.90.75.11.6227.5
Florida State829:1924.954%60%5.9531.41.46.42.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense953% (46)33% (134)29.879.12.75 (132)-.08 (133)2.5 (107)63% (121)14% (132)0.8 (129)
FSU Defense853% (98)40% (48) - - - - .04 (37)2.89 (89)74% (90)12% (22)0.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense950% (65)44% (87) - - - - .2 (124)2.99 (100)68% (46)9% (80)1.07 (116)
FSU Offense859% (13)50% (12)45.3241.55.327 (4).27 (7)3.33 (15)79% (25)9% (60)1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense946% (90)36% (125)11.821.1160.47.613.613 (61)4 (34).22 (81)1.9 (5)35% (123)23% (132).05 (131)5% (34)2 (78)
FSU Defense847% (46)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (12).27 (88)1.6 (95)30% (92)29% (59).36 (103)5% (98)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense950% (78)45% (114) - - - - - - 4 (75).31 (101)1.6 (87)31% (86)38% (132).47 (129)5% (116)2 (54)
FSU Offense840% (123)44% (52)16.426.4269.310.216.415 (33)5 (60).42 (20)1.9 (3)30% (47)38% (15).56 (12)4% (27)2.2 (15)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -19.39  #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.08  #129
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.31  #127
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #128

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -19.39   Florida State: 16.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -22.1   Florida State: 13.6




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.495  #35
Florida State's Offense Rating: 21.08  #19
Florida State's Defense Rating: 6.69  #67
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45  #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #24
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #31
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.4
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.8

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 47
Kent State 10


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 43
Kent State 14

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 41
Kent State 16

Total Points: 57
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Florida State66Kent State10Florida State -44.5Florida State56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State111 Overs
Kent State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#133) KENT at (#35) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKENTFSU
Power RatePwr #133 #35
SP+SP+ #133 #24
Perf GradeGrade #135 #15
OffenseOff #135 #14
DefenseDef #130 #31
Spec TeamsST #116 #59
TalentTal #115 #17
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #17
Kent State Notes
(11/5) Coaching malpractice by Carney vs Ball St
(11/5) Blew game vs Ball St. Coaching & stupidity
(10/31) Huge W over BG, but BG had no one at QB
(10/31) WR Cade Wolford a name to know, 26.3 ypc, 6 TD
(10/31) QB Deshields can play, just so bad on OL/DL
(10/30) Mark Carney interim no more, permanent HC
(9/13) Off much improved vs Buffalo. Impressive
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
Kent State Injury Report
Florida State Notes
(10/20) Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
(10/19) Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
(10/19) OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
(10/19) Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
(10/12) Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
(10/11) LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
(10/11) Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
(9/26) Tackling a huge issue vs UVA, allowed 450+ in L
(8/30) Outrushed Bama 230-87, Cast quick, efficient
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
Florida State Injury Report
Kent State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENT OffFSU Def
Perf GradePerf #135 #31
SuccessSuc #133 #61
ExplosiveExp #36 #44
PPAPPA #125 #69
PowerPwr #129 #67
SP+SP+ #129 #30
Pts POPPO #104 #88
HavocHav #129 #52
Kent State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENT OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #135 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #134 #48
Run ExplRExp #129 #8
PPAExp #133 #37
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #89
Stuff RateStuff #104 #76
TackleTak -  #33
Kent State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENT OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #83
Pass ExplPExl #5 #95
PPAExp #81 #88
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #92
F7 HavocF7 #132 #22
DB HavocDB #34 #98
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatFSU OffKENT Def
Perf GradePerf #14 #130
SuccessSuc #25 #110
ExplosiveExp #8 #113
PPAPPA #10 #124
PowerPwr #19 #127
SP+SP+ #31 #128
Pts POPPO #26 #109
HavocHav #38 #109
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
FSU OffKENT Def
Run GameRun #13 #119
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #87
Run ExplRExp #25 #116
PPAExp #7 #124
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #100
Stuff RateStuff #10 #89
TackleTak -  #95
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatFSU OffKENT Def
Pass GamePass #6 #128
Pass SuccessPSuc #52 #114
Pass ExplPExl #3 #87
PPAExp #20 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #31 #66
F7 HavocF7 #60 #80
DB HavocDB #27 #116
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 89° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Florida State -44.5 (56.5)
Florida State won vs Kent State this year (66-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields9416557%13211128.0
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia10038013.845
Jordan Nubin (Tr)6221013.425
Jahzae Kimbrough389502.512
Dru Deshields424921.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford16406625.479
Dashawn Martin23293212.775
Wayne Harris2625619.842
Ardell Banks8161120.138

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Kody Morgan (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young696223
Mason Woods647231
Joel Cordoba481011
Jaire Rawlison412105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamond Mathis (Tr)196563
Jelani Davis (Tr)224340
Mason Maddox112220
A.J. Campbell174211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison412105
Terrell Miller241004
CJ Young696223

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)11218262%187810510.3
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)9343284.640
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)8932863.722
Ousmane Kromah4928805.923
Samuel Singleton2925848.953
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)34689420.382
Micahi Danzy21503224.066
Lawayne McCoy13186114.334
Ousmane Kromah7139119.943

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II522001
Ja'Bril Rawls372001
Justin Cryer284130
Blake Nichelson285111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir134311
Ashlynd Barker273312
Amaree Williams92200
Jayson Jenkins (Tr)102200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Joseph193003
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)250002
Ashlynd Barker273312