Kent State at Florida State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Florida State Seminoles(#7)Florida State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -45.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: -45.5
Field at Doak Campbell Stadium - Tallahassee, FL

 
Golden Flashes (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (14 - 62 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
FSU coming off BYE
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -42   (SP+ FSU -33)

Projected Score: KENT: 9 - FSU: 51 (61)
FSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 31%
KENT Travel: 758 miles
Seminoles (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+45.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+49
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-6.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+30
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+0
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+3
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan-4.5
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+15.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-45.555.5
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-8.5
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.5
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-11.5
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-20
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson-1.5
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-27
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-8.5
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida+0.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#135 (-.08)29% (134)2126% (135)1.91 (133)10233% (116)2152.33 (126)#92 (.18)39% (66)36.740% (76)38% (58)4 (89)47.711
FSU#8 (.5)43% (76)5445% (63)3.22 (45)29636% (109)2605.5 (13)#31 (.01)37% (50)1037% (51)37% (46)2.5 (34)37.511
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense3211429.3%2.331153171022152.756%44%26%33%18%-.08
FSU Defense2101036.6%2.51 - - - - - 44%56%37%37%22%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense336.76239%41 - - - - - 48%52%40%38%10%.18
FSU Offense2545442.6%5.51255562962605.973%27%45%36%10%.5

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State331:541532%44%6.347.71141127
Florida State231:1024.558%100%3.537.51183032.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense356% (38)26% (135)38102.32.73 (95)-.19 (135)1.91 (133)57% (114)12% (116)0.66 (129)
FSU Defense244% (31)37% (51) - - - - -.01 (45)2.96 (87)43% (10)15% (17)0.78 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense348% (54)40% (76) - - - - .14 (99)2.65 (53)44% (15)7% (115)1.09 (96)
FSU Offense273% (4)45% (63)50295.55.99 (17).36 (19)3.22 (45)64% (99)9% (73)1.43 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense344% (95)33% (116)1525.72158.414.35 (54)1 (23).06 (123)2 (6)39% (126)16% (131)-.09 (134)6% (92)2.6 (8)
FSU Defense256% (111)37% (46) - - - - - - 2 (56).04 (26)1.6 (95)33% (62)23% (35).12 (35)7% (34)2.6 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense352% (84)38% (58) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (70)1.5 (68)33% (62)40% (124).44 (105)3% (125)1.6 (33)
FSU Offense227% (133)36% (109)12.51726015.320.86 (34)0 (1).85 (3)3.4 (1)28% (43)35% (51).72 (15)1% (2)2.8 (3)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -17.82   Florida State: 22.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.7   Florida State: 11.3




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 51
Kent State 9


Total Points: 61

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State000 Overs
Kent State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#124) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 2 straight
Kent State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY

Kent State Highlights

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFSUKENT
OverallOver#45#99
OffenseOff#35#111
DefenseDef#64#65
Special TeamsST#82#107
PassingPass#26#55
RushingRush#18#107
Run BlockRBLK#94#116
Pass BlockPBLK#6#119
Route RunningWR Rt#42#76
TacklingTkl#100#44
Run DefenseR Def#15#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#81#84
Coverage DefCov#91#79

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | FSU
Depth Chart: KENT | FSU
Rosters: KENT | FSU
(#15) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3

Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida State has won 2 straight
Florida State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?

Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State is Undefeated at Home
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)

Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields355761%513409.0
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia4513503.011
Dru Deshields246122.510
Jahzae Kimbrough164502.812
Maurice Stephens131131.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford7223431.979
Terik Mulder (Tr)789112.750
Wayne Harris775010.727
Ardell Banks475018.838

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young210020
Mason Woods202010
Jaire Rawlison192002
Joel Cordoba160010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62100
Jamond Mathis (Tr)61150
Jelani Davis (Tr)62110
Thomas Aden (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison192002
Terrell Miller30002
Darian Blachewicz31001

Florida State's OC Gus Malzahn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)172568%3893015.6
Kevin Sperry4580%612012.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micahi Danzy4109227.353
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)208514.314
Samuel Singleton482120.553
Ousmane Kromah126805.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)7191227.382
Jaylin Lucas371023.764
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)256128.053
Ousmane Kromah250125.043

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II111001
Justin Cryer101000
Ashlynd Barker70002
Ja'Bril Rawls60001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Stefon Thompson (Tr)31100
Daniel Lyons32120
Tyeland Coleman21100
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashlynd Barker70002
Earl Little II111001
Blake Nichelson52011