Syracuse at Florida State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -5.5 (50.0)
Florida State 33 - Syracuse: 30 (ACC)

Orange (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dino Babers (26 - 37)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Home Game
FSU is playing their 5th straight game
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ FSU -7)
Projected Score: SYR: 19 - FSU: 38 (57)
FSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
SYR Travel: 980 miles

Seminoles (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Syracuse at Ohio	+2.0	55.5	W 29 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Syracuse vs Rutgers	+2.5	50.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/18	Syracuse vs UAlbany	-21.5	41.0	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Syracuse vs Liberty	+6.5	54.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Syracuse at Florida State	+5.5	50.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	+5.5	59.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Fri 10/15	Syracuse vs Clemson	+12.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+3.5	45.5	W 41 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Syracuse vs Boston College	-6.5	51.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Syracuse at Louisville	+3.0	55.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/20	Syracuse at NC State	+11.0	49.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+12.0	58.5	L 14 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Florida State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/5	Florida State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	53.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida State vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida State at Wake Forest	+4.5	63.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/25	Florida State vs Louisville	-1.5	61.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida State vs Syracuse	-5.5	50.0	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/9	Florida State at North Carolina	+17.5	64.5	W 35 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida State vs Massachusetts	-35.0	59.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida State at Clemson	+9.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida State vs NC State	+3.0	55.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida State vs Miami	+2.5	61.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Florida State at Boston College	+3.0	55.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Florida State at Florida	+4.0	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	-.02	32%	20.2	35%	2.6	92	30%	173	2.36	.2	45%	34.9	46%	45%	3.34	65.9	1.9	2.2
FSU	.19	41%	33	50%	3.27	199	32%	197	3.19	.26	48%	22	48%	48%	4.01	79.2	1.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	11	20.2	17	31.8%	2.36	1.9	13	265	92	173	3.2	42%	58%	35%	30%	22%	-.02
FSU Defense	9	22	16.1	47.6%	4.01	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	48%	48%	14%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	11	34.9	40.2	45.4%	3.34	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	45%	16%	.2
FSU Offense	9	33	43.3	41.4%	3.19	1.9	21	395	199	197	5.1	52%	48%	50%	32%	19%	.19

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	11	24:31	13.2	26%	35%	7	65.9	1.9	2.2	6.3	2.2	3	29
Florida State	9	30:29	20.6	36%	54%	8.9	79.2	1.9	1.6	5.4	1.1	1	28.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	11	42%	35%	28.9	91.5	3.2	5	-.12	2.6	67%	15%	0.83
FSU Defense	9	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	2.92	66%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	11	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	84%	10%	0.92
FSU Offense	9	52%	50%	39	198.8	5.1	19	.35	3.27	82%	12%	1.19

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	11	58%	30%	15.7	30.5	173.3	5.7	11	15	12	.05	1.7	39%	22%	.13	7%	2.2
FSU Defense	9	47%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.34	1.6	28%	38%	.58	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	11	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.6	28%	33%	.44	6%	2.2
FSU Offense	9	48%	32%	17.8	32.6	196.7	6	11.1	10	13	.01	1.6	34%	29%	.33	8%	2.1

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: NR
Syracuse's Offense Rating: NR
Syracuse's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Syracuse's 2021 Expected Record: -
Syracuse's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #79
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: Florida State: 6.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 0.3 Florida State: 7.6

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 6.3 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #53
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 38
Syracuse 19

Projected Total Points: 57

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Florida State	41	Syracuse	3	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	53.5	Under
2022	11/12	Syracuse	3	Florida State	38	Florida State -7.5	Florida State	51.0	Under
2021	10/02	Florida State	33	Syracuse	30	Florida State -5.5	Syracuse	50.0	Over
2019	10/26	Florida State	35	Syracuse	17	Florida State -12	Florida State	60.0	Under
2018	09/15	Syracuse	30	Florida State	7	Florida State -3.5	Syracuse	69.0	Under
2017	11/04	Florida State	27	Syracuse	24	Florida State -7.5	Syracuse	50.5	Over
2016	11/19	Syracuse	14	Florida State	45	Florida State -20	Florida State	65.5	Under
2015	10/31	Florida State	45	Syracuse	21	Florida State -19.5	Florida State	53.0	Over
2014	10/11	Syracuse	20	Florida State	38	Florida State -20	Syracuse	0
2013	11/16	Florida State	59	Syracuse	3	Florida State -38.5	Florida State	0
2005	10/01	Florida State	38	Syracuse	14
2004	10/09	Syracuse	13	Florida State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	11	6	3 Overs
Syracuse	1	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 4	4 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	4 - 6	2 - 2	2 - 4

(#) SYR at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#53
Perf GradeGrade	#97	#82
OffenseOff	#115	#99
DefenseDef	#54	#25
Spec TeamsST	#86	#110
TalentTal	#69	#20
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Syracuse Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#25
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#19	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#80	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Florida State -5.5 (50.0)
Florida State won vs Syracuse this year (33-30)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Syracuse in 2023 (41-3)

SYR's OC Sterlin Gilbert (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC Kenny Dillingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD