Georgia at Florida State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, December 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Georgia -23.5 (47.0) (-1200) Open: -14.0 | 45.5
Georgia 63 - Florida State: 3 (Capital One Orange Bowl)

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Georgia -6 (SP+ UGA -6)
Projected Score: UGA: 26 - FSU: 20 (48)
UGA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
UGA Travel: 249 miles

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UGA Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	.37	53%	31.5	51%	3.22	205	55%	296	4.72	.06	36%	20.6	35%	37%	3.12	44.9	1.1	1.5
FSU	.36	49%	15.4	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	28	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	15	31.5	21.8	52.7%	4.72	1.1	25	501	205	296	5.5	51%	49%	51%	55%	10%	.37
FSU Defense	13	28	22.7	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	15	20.6	24	35.9%	3.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	35%	37%	16%	.06
FSU Offense	13	15.4	16.4	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	15	33:34	24.7	51%	87%	4.4	44.9	1.1	1.5	5.4	2.3	0	31.7
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	15	51%	51%	37.1	205.3	5.5	44	.26	3.22	69%	6%	1.01
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	15	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.54	68%	11%	0.83
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	15	49%	55%	22.4	32.8	295.8	9	13.2	31	7	.49	1.4	24%	45%	.66	4%	2
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	15	61%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.11	1.5	34%	24%	.11	6%	2
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16 Florida State: 19.88

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5 Florida State: 23.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 19.88 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 26
Florida State 20

Projected Total Points: 48

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/30	Florida State	3	Georgia	63	Georgia	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2002	01/01	Florida State	13	Georgia	26	Georgia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	0	0	1 Overs
Georgia	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Georgia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Orange Bowl	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3
2022	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs TCU	-13.5	62.0	W 65 - 7
2022	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Ohio State	-5.5	62.0	W 42 - 41
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs Alabama	-3.0	53.5	W 33 - 18
2021	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 34 - 11
2020	Peach Bowl	Georgia vs Cincinnati	-7.0	50.0	W 24 - 21
2019	Sugar Bowl	Georgia vs Baylor	-4.0	44.0	W 26 - 14
2018	Sugar Bowl	Georgia vs Texas	-12.0	59.0	L 21 - 28
2017	CFP Nat'l Title	Georgia vs Alabama	+3.5	45.5	L 23 - 26
2017	CFP Semifinal	Georgia vs Oklahoma	-2.5	62.5	W 54 - 48

Florida State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Orange Bowl	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63
2022	It Bowl	Florida State vs Oklahoma	-10.5	67.0	W 35 - 32
2019	N/A	Florida State vs Arizona State	+3.5	51.5	L 14 - 20
2017	Independence Bowl	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-12.5	48.0	W 42 - 13

(#4) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5
Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Georgia has played in 7 CFP Playoff Games (5 - 2)
Georgia has played in 9 Bowls in the last 5 years (7 - 2)
Georgia has played in 28 Bowls since 2000 (20 - 8)

Georgia Ratings Matchup Florida State

Power #4

#10

Off #4

#37

Def #27

Talent #2

#24

SP+ #2

SP+ Off #5

#16

SP+ Def #5

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia 23.5 (47.0)
Georgia won at Florida State this year (63-3)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida State in 2023 (63-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 5 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UGA | FSU
Depth Chart: UGA | FSU
Rosters: UGA | FSU

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.88 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Florida State has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 2)
Florida State has played in 21 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 9)

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sevaughn Clark	62	209	0	3.4	26
Andrew Paul	38	166	4	4.4	28
Brock Vandagriff	90	131	0	1.5	22
Arian Smith	5	54	0	10.8	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	59	607	6	10.3	38
Mekhi Mews	29	253	1	8.7	57

View Georgia's Full Roster

Georgia's DC Will Muschamp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr.	99	10	2	3	1
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	67	7	4	1	0
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Marvin Jones Jr.	25	6	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Harris	41	3	0	5
Nyland Green	23	2	2	5
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	3

Florida State's OC Alex Atkins

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Lawrance Toafili	109	456	3	4.2	28
Rodney Hill	28	184	2	6.6	70
Winston Wright	13	91	0	7.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Ja'Khi Douglas	32	519	4	16.2	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Lawrance Toafili	25	215	0	8.6	32

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Greedy Vance	29	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Farmer	28	8	4	6	0
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Malcolm Ray	25	3	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fentrell Cypress II	24	1	0	1	5
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4