Florida State at Boston College Game Matchup

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -25.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 31 - Boston College: 29 (ACC)

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 24.2 MPH
BC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Florida State -21.5 (SP+ FSU -28.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 35 - BC: 14 (48)
FSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
FSU Travel: 1097 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.36	49%	15.4	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	28	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4
BC	.12	37%	28.2	36%	2.23	64	38%	247	3.25	.19	42%	23.8	44%	42%	4.28	48.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	15.4	12.3	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36
BC Defense	12	23.8	20.7	42.4%	4.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	42%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	28	38.3	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15
BC Offense	12	28.2	34.1	36.5%	3.25	2.2	17	311	64	247	2.1	37%	62%	36%	38%	25%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2
Boston College	12	29:15	16.8	33%	44%	6	48.5	2.2	1.3	6.8	2.2	0	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11
BC Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	78%	13%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9
BC Offense	12	37%	36%	30.3	64	2.1	6	-.04	2.23	68%	17%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2
BC Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.5	33%	30%	.37	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1
BC Offense	12	62%	38%	21.8	36.7	247.1	6.7	11.3	21	14	.27	1.7	38%	27%	.34	8%	2.3

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06 Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7 Boston College: -4.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 35
Boston College 14

Projected Total Points: 48

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/02	Florida State	13	Boston College	28	Boston College	Florida State -16.5	Boston College	50.0	Under
2023	09/16	Boston College	29	Florida State	31	Florida State	Florida State -25.5	Boston College	48.0	Over
2022	09/24	Florida State	44	Boston College	14	Florida State	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	48.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boston College	23	Florida State	26	Florida State	Boston College -3	Florida State	55.5	Under
2019	11/09	Boston College	31	Florida State	38	Florida State	Boston College -1	Florida State	64.5	Over
2018	11/17	Florida State	22	Boston College	21	Florida State	Boston College -2.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2017	10/27	Boston College	35	Florida State	3	Boston College	Florida State -6	Boston College	46.5	Under
2016	11/11	Florida State	45	Boston College	7	Florida State	Florida State -23	Florida State	47.0	Over
2015	09/18	Boston College	0	Florida State	14	Florida State	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2014	11/22	Florida State	20	Boston College	17	Florida State	Florida State -20.5	Boston College	0
2013	09/28	Boston College	34	Florida State	48	Florida State	Florida State -23	Boston College	0
2012	10/13	Florida State	51	Boston College	7	Florida State
2011	11/03	Boston College	7	Florida State	38	Florida State
2010	10/16	Florida State	24	Boston College	19	Florida State
2009	10/03	Boston College	28	Florida State	21	Boston College
2008	11/15	Florida State	17	Boston College	27	Boston College
2007	11/03	Boston College	17	Florida State	27	Florida State
2006	10/21	Florida State	19	Boston College	24	Boston College
2005	09/17	Boston College	17	Florida State	28	Florida State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	5	5	4 Overs
Florida State	14	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Florida State Ratings Matchup Boston College

Power #10

#82

Off #37

#56

Def #7

#120

Talent #24

#37

SP+ #7

#81

SP+ Off #16

#83

SP+ Def #7

#78

Rematch from Week 3
Florida State 25.5 (48.0)
Florida State won at Boston College this year (31-29)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Florida State last year (28-13)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2023 (31-29)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2022 (44-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 68° - Wind: 24 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | BC
Depth Chart: FSU | BC
Rosters: FSU | BC

(#82) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Florida State's OC Alex Atkins

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Lawrance Toafili	109	456	3	4.2	28
Rodney Hill	28	184	2	6.6	70
Winston Wright	13	91	0	7.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Ja'Khi Douglas	32	519	4	16.2	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Lawrance Toafili	25	215	0	8.6	32

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Greedy Vance	29	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Farmer	28	8	4	6	0
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Malcolm Ray	25	3	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fentrell Cypress II	24	1	0	1	5
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	175	744	10	4.3	41
Pat Garwo III	55	246	5	4.5	25
Cam Barfield	33	158	0	4.8	21
Jaden Williams	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Williams	57	807	7	14.2	70
Taji Johnson	19	215	2	11.3	34
Cam Barfield	7	55	0	7.9	18
Pat Garwo III	11	48	0	4.4	13

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Kameron Arnold	40	0	0	0	1
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Neto Okpala	32	3	0	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Shitta Sillah	30	6	1	0	1
Josh Hardy	1	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1