Southern Miss at Florida State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Florida State Seminoles

Wednesday, December 27th 2017 (1:30 PM EST)
Florida State -12.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 42 - Southern Miss: 13 (WALK-ON'S INDEPENDENCE BOWL)

Golden Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -13 (SP+ FSU -26)
Projected Score: USM: 24 - FSU: 33 (57)
FSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
USM Travel: 273 miles

Seminoles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
USM Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Kentucky	+10.0	57.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss vs Southern	-28.5
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	-7.0	55.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs North Texas	-8.0	56.5	L 28 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss at UTSA	+10.5	50.0	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Southern Miss vs UTEP	-23.0	52.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+1.5	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss vs UAB	-11.0	50.5	L 12 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss at Tennessee	+7.0	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Southern Miss at Rice	-11.0	49.0	W 43 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.5	48.5	W 66 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss at Marshall	+1.5	47.5	W 28 - 27	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Southern Miss vs Florida State	+12.5	48.0	L 13 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Florida State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida State vs Alabama	+7.5	51.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Florida State vs NC State	-11.5	50.0	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida State at Wake Forest	-7.5	46.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Miami	+3.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State at Duke	-7.0	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-7.0	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/27	Florida State at Boston College	-6.0	46.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Florida State vs Syracuse	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State at Clemson	+16.5	44.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs Delaware State	-52.0
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-4.5	43.0	W 38 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-26.0	64.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Wed 12/27	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-12.5	48.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.21	44%	28.8	44%	2.69	174	42%	298	3.76	.12	36%	27.4	38%	31%	3.62	64.2	2.5	1.2
FSU	.28	49%	33	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	22	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	28.8	28.4	44%	3.76	2.5	24	472	174	298	4.2	48%	50%	44%	42%	19%	.21
FSU Defense	13	22	16.1	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.6	35.6%	3.62	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	38%	31%	21%	.12
FSU Offense	13	33	43.3	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	33:27	23.6	41%	63%	7.5	64.2	2.5	1.2	7.2	2.6	3	27.7
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	48%	44%	41.8	174.2	4.2	26	.09	2.69	73%	12%	0.93
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.53	58%	15%	1.33
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	50%	42%	21.9	36.8	298.2	8.1	13.6	26	16	.35	1.8	34%	36%	.38	7%	1.9
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	45%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.07	1.8	38%	26%	.19	7%	1.9
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2017 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #84
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #92
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Florida State: 11.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.4 Florida State: 22.8

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 11.4 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8 #9
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #37
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.5 #6

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 33
Southern Miss 24

Projected Total Points: 57

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Florida State	66	Southern Miss	13	Florida State -31	Florida State	54.0	Over
2017	12/27	Florida State	42	Southern Miss	13	Florida State -12.5	Florida State	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	2	2	2 Overs
Southern Miss	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

Southern Miss Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	Independence Bowl	Southern Miss vs Florida State	+12.5	48.0	L 13 - 42
2016	Orleans Bowl	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21
2015	Dallas Bowl	Southern Miss vs Washington	+8.5		L 31 - 44
2011	Hawaii Bowl	Southern Miss vs Nevada			W 24 - 17

Florida State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	Independence Bowl	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-12.5	48.0	W 42 - 13
2016	Orange Bowl	Florida State vs Michigan	+6.5	51.0	W 33 - 32
2015	N/A	Florida State vs Houston	-6.5		L 24 - 38
2014	CFP Semifinal	Florida State vs Oregon	+7.5	74.0	L 20 - 59
2013	VIZIO BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP	Florida State vs Auburn	-11.5	67.0	W 34 - 31
2012	Orange Bowl	Florida State vs Northern Illinois			W 31 - 10
2011	Sports Bowl	Florida State vs Notre Dame			W 18 - 14

(#) USM at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#87	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#70
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Independence Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida State -12.5 (48.0)
Florida State won vs Southern Miss this year (42-13)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (66-13)

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD