Alabama at Florida State Game Matchup
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -11.5 (50.5) (-435)  Open: -9.5 | 50.5
Field at Doak Campbell Stadium - Tallahassee, FL

 
Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Alabama -19.5   (SP+ ALA -20.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 34 - FSU: 14 (47)
ALA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ALA Travel: 270 miles, 1 hrs behind
Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Alabama at Florida State-11.550.5
Sat 9/6 Alabama vs UL Monroe-47.5
Sat 9/13 Alabama vs Wisconsin-24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Alabama at Georgia+0
Sat 10/4 Alabama vs Vanderbilt-27
Sat 10/11 Alabama at Missouri-14.5
Sat 10/18 Alabama vs Tennessee-15
Sat 10/25 Alabama at South Carolina-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Alabama vs LSU-6.5
Sat 11/15 Alabama vs Oklahoma-13.5
Sat 11/22 Alabama vs Eastern Illinois-53.5
Sat 11/29 Alabama at Auburn-10.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida State vs Alabama+11.550.5
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-31
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-36.5
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-5.5
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+10
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-5.5
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-11
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-17
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+20.5
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-4.5
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State+1
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida+14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)15.440% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2842% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1333.827.845.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23
FSU Defense122822.740.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1317.422.237.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
FSU Offense1215.416.435.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 31.74 #2
Alabama's Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Alabama's Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62% #4
Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.74   Florida State: 10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 27.9   Florida State: 7.2




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.69 #58
Florida State's Defense Rating: 7.68 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 922.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 34
Florida State 14

Projected Total Points: 47
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/02Alabama24Florida State7AlabamaAlabama -7.5Alabama51.0Under
200709/29Florida State21Alabama14Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State100 Overs
Alabama111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#2) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.74 #2
Offense Rating: 28.64 #7
Defense Rating: -3.10 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1064.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 62% #4
Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Alabama Notes
(5/23) OL returns 3/5 + portals = top 15 unit in CFB
(5/7) Fr WR Lotzeir Brooks flashed in spring will play
(5/2) CB Calhoun, LB Lawson, S Hubbard top 10 via PFF
(4/13) QB Simpson will start, Fr. Russell the future
(4/4) DE LT Overton/DT Keenan III top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL Brailsford (C), Proctor/Roberts (T) top 10 PFF
(3/22) DE Overton a huge DT/DE pass rush threat
(3/20) OC Ryan Grubb back w/ DeBoer a huge add
(3/18) RBs Avg LY. Miller OK, any RB1's in depth?
(3/18) WRs deep and talented. A top CFB unit
Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Florida State
Power #2
#44
Off #7
#58
Def #3
#28
Talent #7
#17
SP+ #2
#36
SP+ Off #5
#58
SP+ Def #5
#28

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | FSU
Depth Chart: ALA | FSU
Rosters: ALA | FSU
(#44) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Offense Rating: 15.69 #58
Defense Rating: 7.68 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 922.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida State Notes
(5/31) Watch Fr RB O. Kromah, RBs aren't great above
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
(5/21) Off could start 8 portals. New OC. Total wildcard
(5/21) Def looks OK, portal DEs, CB is a ?, New DC
(5/21) Norvell 3 of 5 yrs sub .500. Crootin meh
(3/22) Portal class includes 7 P4 starters from LY
(3/19) QB Castellanos (BC), new OC Malzahn
(3/19) Def OK LY considering, need much more TY


  
Alabama's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Dre'Lyn Washington (Tr)7347856.564
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard50794215.947
Isaiah Horton (Tr)56616511.030
Josh Cuevas16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Keenan III408321
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Justin Jefferson617201
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Domani Jackson512017
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224

Florida State's OC Gus Malzahn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)9916162%13661858.5
Brock Glenn5111445%597455.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)9319412.118
Kam Davis5217303.316
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)3912813.321
Brock Glenn359702.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Randy Pittman (Tr)32416213.048
Duce Robinson (Tr)23396517.248
Squirrel White (Tr)34381211.245
Landen Thomas14173112.435

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shyheim Brown621002
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Deante McCray (Tr)553220
K.J. Kirkland451002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)347562
James Williams (Tr)146540
Darrell Jackson284441
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)244004
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Omar Graham Jr.374113