(#4)Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles(#7)
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Field at Doak Campbell Stadium - Tallahassee, FL (ACC)
Hurricanes (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (40 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (40 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.8 - 1.2 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
MIAMI coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -3.5 (SP+ MIAMI -8.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 31 - FSU: 28 (59)
MIAMI Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 396 miles
Our Line: Miami -3.5 (SP+ MIAMI -8.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 31 - FSU: 28 (59)
MIAMI Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 396 miles
Seminoles (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Miami's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 8/31 | Miami vs Notre Dame | +2.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Miami vs Bethune-Cookman | -54.5 | 0.0 | W 45 - 3 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Miami vs South Florida | -17.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Miami vs Florida | -7.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Miami at Florida State | -3.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Miami vs Louisville | -12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Miami vs Stanford | -30 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Miami at SMU | -12 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Miami vs Syracuse | -22 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Miami vs NC State | -19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Miami at Virginia Tech | -28.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Miami at Pittsburgh | -13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Florida State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Florida State vs Alabama | +13.5 | 50.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida State vs East Texas A&M | -43.5 | 56.5 | W 77 - 3 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Florida State vs Kent State | -45.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Florida State at Virginia | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Florida State vs Miami | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Florida State vs Pittsburgh | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Florida State at Stanford | -18.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Florida State vs Wake Forest | -20 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Florida State at Clemson | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Florida State vs Virginia Tech | -27 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | Florida State at NC State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Florida State at Florida | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #21 (.39) | 55% (15) | 40.3 | 52% (32) | 3.42 (31) | 177 | 59% (8) | 307 | 5.5 (13) | #48 (.06) | 35% (33) | 13 | 28% (9) | 41% (74) | 3.64 (72) | 56.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| FSU | #8 (.5) | 43% (76) | 54 | 45% (63) | 3.22 (45) | 296 | 36% (109) | 260 | 5.5 (13) | #31 (.01) | 37% (50) | 10 | 37% (51) | 37% (46) | 2.5 (34) | 37.5 | 1 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 | ||
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 55.2% | 5.5 | 0.7 | 26 | 484 | 177 | 307 | 5.1 | 50% | 50% | 52% | 59% | 9% | .39 |
| FSU Defense | 2 | 10 | 10 | 36.6% | 2.5 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 37% | 37% | 22% | .01 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 3 | 13 | 13 | 34.8% | 3.64 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 54% | 28% | 41% | 19% | .06 |
| FSU Offense | 2 | 54 | 54 | 42.6% | 5.5 | 1 | 25 | 556 | 296 | 260 | 5.9 | 73% | 27% | 45% | 36% | 10% | .5 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 3 | 32:41 | 26 | 52% | 50% | 6.3 | 56.7 | 0.7 | 2 | 6.3 | 2 | 0 | 29.9 |
| Florida State | 2 | 31:10 | 24.5 | 58% | 100% | 3.5 | 37.5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 32.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 3 | 50% (74) | 52% (32) | 35 | 177 | 5.1 | 10 (10) | .2 (47) | 3.42 (31) | 77% (45) | 4% (4) | 0.88 (90) |
| FSU Defense | 2 | 44% (31) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (45) | 2.96 (87) | 43% (10) | 15% (17) | 0.78 (31) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 3 | 46% (42) | 28% (9) | - | - | - | - | -.2 (7) | 2.1 (14) | 50% (19) | 13% (33) | 0.91 (64) |
| FSU Offense | 2 | 73% (4) | 45% (63) | 50 | 295.5 | 5.9 | 9 (17) | .36 (19) | 3.22 (45) | 64% (99) | 9% (73) | 1.43 (9) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 3 | 50% (59) | 59% (8) | 25 | 32.3 | 306.7 | 9.5 | 12.3 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .57 (18) | 1.4 (103) | 23% (13) | 35% (45) | .48 (43) | 5% (65) | 2.2 (48) |
| FSU Defense | 2 | 56% (111) | 37% (46) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .04 (26) | 1.6 (95) | 33% (62) | 23% (35) | .12 (35) | 7% (34) | 2.6 (128) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 3 | 54% (97) | 41% (74) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .28 (93) | 1.5 (58) | 38% (21) | 26% (47) | .24 (62) | 6% (56) | 2 (69) |
| FSU Offense | 2 | 27% (133) | 36% (109) | 12.5 | 17 | 260 | 15.3 | 20.8 | 6 (34) | 0 (1) | .85 (3) | 3.4 (1) | 28% (43) | 35% (51) | .72 (15) | 1% (2) | 2.8 (3) |
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Miami's Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Miami's Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Miami's Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 32.16 Florida State: 22.225
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.7 Florida State: 11.3
Miami: 32.16 Florida State: 22.225
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.7 Florida State: 11.3
Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida State's Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Miami Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense on Road: 13
Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense on Road: 13
Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 31
Florida State 28
Total Points: 59
Miami 31
Florida State 28
Total Points: 59
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Miami | 36 | Florida State | 14 | Miami | Miami -22.5 | Florida State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | 20 | Florida State | Florida State -14.5 | Miami | 50.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Miami | 3 | Florida State | 45 | Florida State | Florida State -6.5 | Florida State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Florida State | 31 | Miami | 28 | Florida State | Miami -2.5 | Florida State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Miami | 52 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | Miami -12.5 | Miami | 54.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | 27 | Miami | Florida State -3 | Miami | 50.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Miami | 28 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | Miami -14 | Florida State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Florida State | 20 | Miami | 24 | Miami | Miami -3 | Miami | 45.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Miami | 19 | Florida State | 20 | Florida State | Miami -1.5 | Florida State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Florida State | 29 | Miami | 24 | Florida State | Florida State -9 | Miami | 54.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Miami | 26 | Florida State | 30 | Florida State | Florida State -2.5 | Florida State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Florida State | 41 | Miami | 14 | Florida State | Florida State -21 | Florida State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Miami | 20 | Florida State | 33 | Florida State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Florida State | 23 | Miami | 19 | Florida State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Miami | 17 | Florida State | 45 | Florida State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/07 | Florida State | 34 | Miami | 38 | Miami | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Miami | 39 | Florida State | 41 | Florida State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | Florida State | 29 | Miami | 37 | Miami | ||||
| 2006 | 09/04 | Miami | 10 | Florida State | 13 | Florida State | ||||
| 2005 | 09/05 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | 7 | Florida State | ||||
| 2004 | 09/10 | Miami | 16 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | ||||
| 2003 | 01/01 | Florida State | 14 | Miami | 16 | Miami | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Florida State | 14 | Miami | 22 | Miami | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Miami | 28 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | 49 | Miami | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Miami | 27 | Florida State | 24 | Miami |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 13 | 7 | 2 Overs |
| Miami | 13 | 5 | 8 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 14 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 12 | 9 - 3 | 3 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
(#5) Miami Info
Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44
Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 59%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami Notes
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(5/23) DEs Bain + Mesidor is one of CFBs top units
(5/21) Def very talented, why so bad? DBs 7 portals
(5/21) QBs Beck (UGA) supposedly good to go summer
(5/21) OL one of CFBs best, 4/5 back. Deep, big
(5/3) Fr WR Malachi Toney is a playmaker, will play
(4/4) DE Bain a top 10 DE via PFF. Hurt LY
(4/4) OT Francis Mauigoa a top OT via PFF
Miami Highlights
Miami in Undefeated
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
Power Rating: 32.16 #5
Offense Rating: 31.99 #2
Defense Rating: -2.73 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.1 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #44
Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Expected Record: 10.8 - 1.2
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 59%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami Notes
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(5/23) DEs Bain + Mesidor is one of CFBs top units
(5/21) Def very talented, why so bad? DBs 7 portals
(5/21) QBs Beck (UGA) supposedly good to go summer
(5/21) OL one of CFBs best, 4/5 back. Deep, big
(5/3) Fr WR Malachi Toney is a playmaker, will play
(4/4) DE Bain a top 10 DE via PFF. Hurt LY
(4/4) OT Francis Mauigoa a top OT via PFF
Miami Highlights
Miami in Undefeated
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FSU | MIAMI |
| OverallOver | #45 | #4 |
| OffenseOff | #35 | #5 |
| DefenseDef | #64 | #10 |
| Special TeamsST | #82 | #88 |
| PassingPass | #26 | #40 |
| RushingRush | #18 | #15 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #94 | #8 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #6 | #29 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #42 | #5 |
| TacklingTkl | #100 | #41 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #15 | #2 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #81 | #10 |
| Coverage DefCov | #91 | #53 |
(#15) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 2 straight
Florida State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State is Undefeated at Home
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Power Rating: 22.225 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 2 straight
Florida State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State is Undefeated at Home
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Beck (Tr) | 65 | 83 | 78% | 812 | 7 | 2 | 9.8 |
| Emory Williams | 10 | 14 | 71% | 108 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Fletcher Jr. | 42 | 272 | 4 | 6.5 | 38 |
| CharMar Brown (Tr) | 31 | 111 | 2 | 3.6 | 11 |
| Girard Pringle Jr. | 7 | 48 | 2 | 6.9 | 30 |
| Chris Wheatley-Humphrey | 7 | 33 | 0 | 4.7 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Toney | 18 | 228 | 1 | 12.7 | 28 |
| C.J. Daniels (Tr) | 14 | 175 | 3 | 12.5 | 40 |
| Keelan Marion (Tr) | 10 | 117 | 0 | 11.7 | 36 |
| Tony Johnson (Tr) | 3 | 84 | 0 | 28.0 | 51 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Akheem Mesidor | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Raul Aguirre Jr. | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jakobe Thomas (Tr) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akheem Mesidor | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Ahmad Moten | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Booker Pickett | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ Frederique Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Keionte Scott (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Chase Smith | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 17 | 25 | 68% | 389 | 3 | 0 | 15.6 |
| Kevin Sperry | 4 | 5 | 80% | 61 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micahi Danzy | 4 | 109 | 2 | 27.3 | 53 |
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 20 | 85 | 1 | 4.3 | 14 |
| Samuel Singleton | 4 | 82 | 1 | 20.5 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 12 | 68 | 0 | 5.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duce Robinson (Tr) | 7 | 191 | 2 | 27.3 | 82 |
| Jaylin Lucas | 3 | 71 | 0 | 23.7 | 64 |
| Gavin Sawchuk (Tr) | 2 | 56 | 1 | 28.0 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 2 | 50 | 1 | 25.0 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Cryer | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ja'Bril Rawls | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Thompson (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Lyons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyeland Coleman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Deamontae Diggs (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Blake Nichelson | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |