(#3)Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles(#18)
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Miami -3.5 (54.5) (-170) Open: -7.0
Miami 28 - Florida State: 22 (ACC)
Hurricanes (13 - 3) (11 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach Mario Cristobal (22 - 15)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
MIAMI coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -13.5 (SP+ MIAMI -13.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 33 - FSU: 19 (52)
MIAMI Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 396 miles
Our Line: Miami -13.5 (SP+ MIAMI -13.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 33 - FSU: 19 (52)
MIAMI Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 396 miles
Seminoles (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
| Miami's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 8/31 | Miami vs Notre Dame | +2.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Miami vs Bethune-Cookman | -54.5 | 0.0 | W 45 - 3 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Miami vs South Florida | -17.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Miami vs Florida | -8.5 | 51.5 | W 26 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Miami at Florida State | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 28 - 22 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Miami vs Louisville | -10.5 | 49.5 | L 21 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Miami vs Stanford | -28.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Miami at SMU | -8.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 26 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | Miami vs Syracuse | -28.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 10 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Miami vs NC State | -16.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Miami at Virginia Tech | -18.5 | 49.0 | W 34 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Miami at Pittsburgh | -6.5 | 49.5 | W 38 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/20 | Miami at Texas A&M | +3.0 | 48.5 | W 10 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Miami vs Ohio State | +7.5 | 39.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/8 | Miami vs Ole Miss | -3.0 | 52.5 | W 31 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Mon 1/19 | Miami vs Indiana | +7.5 | 46.5 | L 21 - 27 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Florida State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Florida State vs Alabama | +13.5 | 50.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida State vs East Texas A&M | -43.5 | 56.5 | W 77 - 3 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Florida State vs Kent State | -44.5 | 56.5 | W 66 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Florida State at Virginia | -7.0 | 59.5 | L 38 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Florida State vs Miami | +3.5 | 54.5 | L 22 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/11 | Florida State vs Pittsburgh | -10.5 | 56.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Florida State at Stanford | -17.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 20 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Florida State vs Wake Forest | -12.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Florida State at Clemson | +1.5 | 56.5 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Florida State vs Virginia Tech | -13.5 | 53.5 | W 34 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/21 | Florida State at NC State | -7.0 | 58.5 | L 11 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Florida State at Florida | -1.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 40 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #35 (.22) | 46% (23) | 30.9 | 45% (58) | 3.13 (35) | 145 | 49% (10) | 239 | 4.36 (24) | #14 (.05) | 37% (15) | 14.8 | 36% (10) | 38% (28) | 2.51 (5) | 53.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| FSU | #22 (.27) | 46% (32) | 33 | 50% (10) | 3.4 (7) | 219 | 41% (81) | 253 | 3.95 (46) | #68 (.16) | 42% (76) | 22 | 42% (66) | 43% (79) | 4.12 (110) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 | ||
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 16 | 30.9 | 26 | 46.4% | 4.36 | 0.9 | 21 | 384 | 145 | 239 | 4.3 | 50% | 48% | 45% | 49% | 12% | .22 |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 22 | 16.1 | 42.1% | 4.12 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 42% | 43% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 16 | 14.8 | 15 | 36.6% | 2.51 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 55% | 36% | 38% | 19% | .05 |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 33 | 43.3 | 45.9% | 3.95 | 1.6 | 24 | 472 | 219 | 253 | 5.2 | 55% | 44% | 50% | 41% | 15% | .27 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 16 | 31:35 | 20.9 | 48% | 67% | 6.6 | 53.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 2.9 | 3 | 30.2 |
| Florida State | 12 | 28:45 | 24.1 | 51% | 57% | 5.4 | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 29 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 16 | 50% (62) | 45% (58) | 33.9 | 144.9 | 4.3 | 26 (40) | .09 (76) | 3.13 (35) | 83% (4) | 6% (4) | 0.8 (128) |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 55% (123) | 42% (66) | - | - | - | - | .11 (74) | 3.12 (106) | 76% (105) | 11% (28) | 0.86 (19) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 16 | 43% (4) | 36% (10) | - | - | - | - | .01 (16) | 2.58 (14) | 73% (80) | 12% (15) | 1.01 (94) |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 55% (32) | 50% (10) | 42.1 | 218.8 | 5.2 | 31 (4) | .25 (12) | 3.4 (7) | 75% (47) | 9% (59) | 1.03 (45) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 16 | 48% (79) | 49% (10) | 21 | 29 | 238.7 | 8.2 | 11.4 | 31 (61) | 11 (108) | .43 (13) | 1.5 (88) | 26% (8) | 32% (44) | .37 (42) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (59) |
| FSU Defense | 12 | 44% (16) | 43% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (12) | .25 (69) | 1.5 (58) | 30% (104) | 30% (75) | .34 (92) | 5% (122) | 2 (68) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 16 | 55% (131) | 38% (28) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (55) | .13 (21) | 1.5 (29) | 36% (13) | 28% (50) | .21 (29) | 7% (15) | 1.9 (29) |
| FSU Offense | 12 | 44% (104) | 41% (81) | 16.7 | 28.3 | 253.4 | 9 | 15.2 | 20 (33) | 9 (60) | .32 (46) | 1.9 (5) | 31% (67) | 38% (10) | .5 (11) | 6% (48) | 2.1 (30) |
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.83 #6
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.47 #13
Miami's Defense Rating: -1.36 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Miami's Power Rating: 25.83 #6
Miami's Offense Rating: 24.47 #13
Miami's Defense Rating: -1.36 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 964.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 55% #9
Miami's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 25.83 Florida State: 9.68
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7 Florida State: 7.2
Miami: 25.83 Florida State: 9.68
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 20.7 Florida State: 7.2
Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.68 #49
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.67 #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.51 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #38
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.68 #49
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.67 #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.51 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #38
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
Miami's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 33
Florida State 19
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 31
Miami 16
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Florida State 27
Miami 24
Total Points: 51
Miami 33
Florida State 19
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 31
Miami 16
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Florida State 27
Miami 24
Total Points: 51
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/04 | Florida State | 22 | Miami | 28 | Miami -3.5 | Miami | 54.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/26 | Miami | 36 | Florida State | 14 | Miami -22.5 | Florida State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | 20 | Florida State -14.5 | Miami | 50.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Miami | 3 | Florida State | 45 | Florida State -6.5 | Florida State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Florida State | 31 | Miami | 28 | Miami -2.5 | Florida State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Miami | 52 | Florida State | 10 | Miami -12.5 | Miami | 54.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | 27 | Florida State -3 | Miami | 50.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Miami | 28 | Florida State | 27 | Miami -14 | Florida State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Florida State | 20 | Miami | 24 | Miami -3 | Miami | 45.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Miami | 19 | Florida State | 20 | Miami -1.5 | Florida State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Florida State | 29 | Miami | 24 | Florida State -9 | Miami | 54.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Miami | 26 | Florida State | 30 | Florida State -2.5 | Florida State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Florida State | 41 | Miami | 14 | Florida State -21 | Florida State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Miami | 20 | Florida State | 33 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Florida State | 23 | Miami | 19 | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Miami | 17 | Florida State | 45 | ||||
| 2009 | 09/07 | Florida State | 34 | Miami | 38 | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Miami | 39 | Florida State | 41 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | Florida State | 29 | Miami | 37 | ||||
| 2006 | 09/04 | Miami | 10 | Florida State | 13 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/05 | Florida State | 10 | Miami | 7 | ||||
| 2004 | 09/10 | Miami | 16 | Florida State | 10 | ||||
| 2003 | 01/01 | Florida State | 14 | Miami | 16 | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Florida State | 14 | Miami | 22 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Miami | 28 | Florida State | 27 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Florida State | 27 | Miami | 49 | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Miami | 27 | Florida State | 24 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 13 | 7 | 2 Overs |
| Miami | 14 | 6 | 9 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 15 | 3 - 10 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 15 - 12 | 10 - 3 | 4 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MIAMI | FSU |
| Net PPPPPP | #12 | #28 |
| Power RatePwr | #6 | #49 |
| SP+SP+ | #9 | #41 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #5 | #28 |
| OffenseOff | #7 | #21 |
| DefenseDef | #4 | #65 |
| Spec TeamsST | #49 | #41 |
| TalentTal | #16 | #17 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #9 | #17 |
(11/2) Miami 4-11 under Mario in November+
(10/30) Ugly start vs Stanford, 35-0 in 2H. Def great
(10/30) QB C Beck looks hurt (elbow?) since L'ville game
(10/18) Is L'ville L same ole Miami? Something looked off
(10/17) Off awful, Beck 4 INT, 63 yds rush (2.6 ypc) in L
(9/20) Def awesome, DL may be best in CFB. Contender
(9/20) Beck awful vs Gators, Run Off tough and good
(8/22) TE Lofton a name to watch. Athletic, staff high
(8/20) WR1 Trader seems to be getting most buzz
(6/8) Strength coach resigned in June? Bad timing
(6/4) RBs Fletcher good, Lyle, Seldon (FCS) great depth
(11/23) Norvell will return in '26. Fund road slate now
(11/22) A straight 0-8 in road ACC games past 2 years
(10/20) Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
(10/19) Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
(10/19) OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
(10/19) Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
(10/12) Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
(10/11) LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
(10/11) Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
(9/26) Tackling a huge issue vs UVA, allowed 450+ in L
(8/30) Outrushed Bama 230-87, Cast quick, efficient
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Off | FSU Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | #31 | #27 |
| Perf GradePerf | #7 | #65 |
| SuccessSuc | #23 | #76 |
| ExplosiveExp | #126 | #14 |
| PPAPPA | #35 | #68 |
| PowerPwr | #13 | #58 |
| SP+SP+ | #22 | #38 |
| Pts POPPO | #24 | #110 |
| HavocHav | #13 | #72 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Off | FSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #21 | #29 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #58 | #66 |
| Run ExplRExp | #128 | #19 |
| PPAExp | #76 | #74 | Run BlockR Blk | #12 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #35 | #106 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #16 | #120 |
| TackleTak | - | #44 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Off | FSU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #32 | #106 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #10 | #79 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #88 | #58 |
| PPAExp | #13 | #69 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #1 | #93 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #4 | #28 |
| DB HavocDB | #65 | #122 |
| Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FSU Off | MIAMI Def |
| PPPDefPPP | #7 | #51 |
| Perf GradePerf | #21 | #4 |
| SuccessSuc | #32 | #15 |
| ExplosiveExp | #20 | #81 |
| PPAPPA | #22 | #14 |
| PowerPwr | #30 | #6 |
| SP+SP+ | #54 | #7 |
| Pts POPPO | #46 | #5 |
| HavocHav | #54 | #13 |
| Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| FSU Off | MIAMI Def | |
| Run GameRun | #28 | #14 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #10 | #10 |
| Run ExplRExp | #45 | #94 |
| PPAExp | #12 | #16 | Run BlockR Blk | #36 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #7 | #14 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #5 | #49 |
| TackleTak | - | #120 |
| Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FSU Off | MIAMI Def |
| Pass GamePass | #9 | #15 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #81 | #28 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #5 | #29 |
| PPAExp | #46 | #21 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #14 | #1 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #59 | #15 |
| DB HavocDB | #48 | #15 |
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders
Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Miami 3.5 (54.5)
Miami won at Florida State this year (28-22)
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Florida State last year (36-14)
Florida State beat Miami in 2023 (27-20)
Florida State beat Miami in 2022 (45-3)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Beck (Tr) | 338 | 468 | 72% | 3813 | 30 | 12 | 8.1 |
| Emory Williams | 13 | 19 | 68% | 156 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Fletcher Jr. | 216 | 1192 | 12 | 5.5 | 57 |
| CharMar Brown (Tr) | 122 | 460 | 7 | 3.8 | 13 |
| Girard Pringle Jr. | 62 | 375 | 4 | 6.0 | 38 |
| Malachi Toney | 23 | 113 | 1 | 4.9 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Toney | 109 | 1211 | 10 | 11.1 | 61 |
| Keelan Marion (Tr) | 57 | 746 | 2 | 13.1 | 61 |
| C.J. Daniels (Tr) | 50 | 557 | 7 | 11.1 | 47 |
| Elija Lofton | 23 | 218 | 3 | 9.5 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Toure (Tr) | 84 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Jakobe Thomas (Tr) | 75 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Wesley Bissainthe | 71 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Zechariah Poyser (Tr) | 68 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akheem Mesidor | 63 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 54 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 |
| Keionte Scott (Tr) | 64 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Ahmad Moten | 31 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lucas (Tr) | 45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| OJ Frederique Jr. | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Mohamed Toure (Tr) | 84 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 180 | 309 | 58% | 2760 | 15 | 9 | 8.9 |
| Kevin Sperry | 12 | 17 | 71% | 194 | 2 | 0 | 11.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 137 | 557 | 9 | 4.1 | 26 |
| Gavin Sawchuk (Tr) | 109 | 486 | 8 | 4.5 | 40 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 72 | 408 | 0 | 5.7 | 23 |
| Samuel Singleton | 51 | 360 | 4 | 7.1 | 53 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duce Robinson (Tr) | 56 | 1074 | 6 | 19.2 | 82 |
| Micahi Danzy | 27 | 571 | 3 | 21.1 | 66 |
| Lawayne McCoy | 27 | 403 | 3 | 14.9 | 34 |
| Randy Pittman (Tr) | 23 | 208 | 2 | 9.0 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Little II | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ashlynd Barker | 48 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Darrell Jackson | 44 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Blake Nichelson | 43 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandrell Desir | 30 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Ashlynd Barker | 48 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Stefon Thompson (Tr) | 37 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Lyons | 26 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Joseph | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Earl Little II | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Wilson (Tr) | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |