Florida State at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo (#7)Florida State Seminoles at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -2 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 31 - Clemson: 24  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (30 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 2nd straight Road Game
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
CLEM is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -6   (SP+ FSU -13)

Projected Score: FSU: 30 - CLEM: 24 (54)
FSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FSU Travel: 305 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17ON
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama-35.5
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15UY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6UY
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Clemson's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Clemson at Duke-12.554.0L 7 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Clemson vs Charleston Southern-50.553.0W 66 - 17ON
Sat 9/16 Clemson vs Florida Atlantic-25.051.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Clemson vs Florida State+2.055.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Clemson at Syracuse-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Clemson vs Wake Forest-21.053.5W 17 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Clemson at Miami-3.048.5L 20 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Clemson at NC State-9.544.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Clemson vs Notre Dame+3.044.5W 31 - 23OY
Sat 11/11 Clemson vs Georgia Tech-17.555.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Clemson vs North Carolina-7.558.0W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Clemson at South Carolina-7.548.0W 16 - 7UY
Fri 12/29 Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#60 (.21)41% (79)34.639% (113)2.64 (128)15043% (54)2514.45 (25)#13 (.09)36% (9)19.340% (38)32% (1)3.5 (47)56.60.61.2
CLEM#87 (.16)45% (38)29.847% (25)3.22 (47)17443% (56)2293.62 (90)#9 (.07)33% (2)21.135% (10)32% (2)4.04 (91)42.21.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1434.630.241.3%4.450.6204011502514.547%53%39%43%15%.21
CLEM Defense1321.119.733%4.042 - - - - - 46%54%35%32%22%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense1419.318.235.5%3.51.2 - - - - - 49%51%40%32%21%.09
CLEM Offense1329.83745%3.621.7234031742294.349%51%47%43%16%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1429:2319.636%48%6.156.60.61.26.73.2229.5
Clemson1333:0423.140%52%4.942.21.726.52.3432.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1447% (93)39% (113)33.1150.14.532 (10).07 (111)2.64 (128)63% (123)9% (52)1.06 (35)
CLEM Defense1346% (19)35% (10) - - - - .13 (62)2.9 (33)83% (117)13% (10)1.22 (128)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1449% (49)40% (38) - - - - .12 (51)2.75 (19)77% (96)12% (20)1.07 (102)
CLEM Offense1349% (77)47% (25)40.2174.34.324 (41).17 (55)3.22 (47)79% (25)9% (55)0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1453% (39)43% (54)18.630.9250.68.113.525 (37)4 (2).34 (46)1.6 (48)32% (78)31% (66).36 (61)6% (67)2.2 (32)
CLEM Defense1354% (116)32% (2) - - - - - - 15 (15).05 (3)1.6 (51)40% (1)23% (2).13 (4)9% (1)1.9 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1451% (90)32% (1) - - - - - - 10 (67).06 (4)1.6 (65)36% (16)27% (28).22 (22)9% (2)1.9 (24)
CLEM Offense1351% (53)43% (56)23.236.5228.66.39.820 (70)9 (40).16 (104)1.3 (133)29% (20)29% (85).18 (109)6% (85)1.9 (117)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06   Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7   Clemson: 10.9




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 30
Clemson 24


Total Points: 54

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29ClemsonClemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida StateFlorida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34ClemsonClemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20ClemsonClemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14ClemsonClemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59ClemsonClemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14ClemsonClemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37ClemsonClemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13ClemsonClemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida StateFlorida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida StateFlorida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37Florida State
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30Clemson
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13Florida State
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24Clemson
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27Florida State
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18Clemson
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27Clemson
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14Clemson
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22Florida State
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10Clemson
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31Florida State
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41Florida State
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1465 Overs
Florida State1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 84 - 63 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 166 - 44 - 12 - 3

(#10) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Florida State has won 3 straight
Florida State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida State Highlights
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Florida State has a really good defense (#50)
Florida State has a good pass defense (#46)
Florida State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#35)
Florida State Defensive Line is very good (#87)
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State Secondary is very good (#34)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)

Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
Florida State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#32)
Florida State run game is really bad (#63)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCLEMFSU
OverallOver#25#12
OffenseOff#81#21
DefenseDef#2#12
Special TeamsST#25#35
PassingPass#71#18
RushingRush#48#29
Run BlockRBLK#70#19
Pass BlockPBLK#64#5
Route RunningWR Rt#74#47
TacklingTkl#28#30
Run DefenseR Def#2#39
Pass Rush DefPRush#18#5
Coverage DefCov#4#10

Rematch from Week 4
Florida State 2.0 (55.5)
Florida State won at Clemson this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2022 (34-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FSU | CLEM
Depth Chart: FSU | CLEM
Rosters: FSU | CLEM
(#15) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00


Clemson has won 2 straight
Clemson has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Clemson Highlights
Clemson does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#81)

Clemson has a really good defense (#78)
Clemson has a good run defense (#80)
Clemson has a good pass defense (#78)
Clemson Front 7 is disruptive (#85)
Clemson Secondary is very good (#76)
Clemson commits very few Penalties (#16)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Clemson Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Clemson offense is not Explosive (#101)
Clemson gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#65)


  
Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jordan Travis20732464%27452028.5
Tate Rodemaker325657%510509.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Benson156905145.885
Lawrance Toafili6946346.773
Rodney Hill5019013.819
Caziah Holmes (Tr)2918526.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)506581113.258
Johnny Wilson41617215.044
Jaheim Bell (Tr)39503212.949
Kyle Morlock (Tr)19255013.463

View Florida State's Full Roster
Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tatum Bethune707133
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Shyheim Brown532224
DJ Lundy526224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Verse4012972
Kalen DeLoach6711802
Patrick Payton4314679
Braden Fiske (Tr)429650
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Renardo Green4331112
Azareye'h Thomas2730010
Patrick Payton4314679

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik29045464%28441996.3
Hunter Helms91275%83006.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah179965135.449
Will Shipley16782755.033
Cade Klubnik12518241.522
Domonique Thomas1811616.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Brown52531410.247
Beaux Collins38510313.469
Jake Briningstool50498510.050
Troy Stellato3933718.618

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
Barrett Carter568345
R.J. Mickens394003
Khalil Barnes385116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.7913685
T.J. Parker3213651
Ruke Orhorhoro238531
Wade Woodaz266420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shelton Lewis100007
Khalil Barnes385116
Andrew Mukuba352006