Florida State at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#7)Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -2 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 31 - Clemson: 24 (ACC)

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (30 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Road Game
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
CLEM is playing their 4th straight game
FSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -6 (SP+ FSU -13)
Projected Score: FSU: 32 - CLEM: 26 (58)
FSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FSU Travel: 305 miles

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#60 (.21)	41% (79)	34.6	39% (113)	2.64 (128)	150	43% (54)	251	4.45 (25)	#13 (.09)	36% (9)	19.3	40% (38)	32% (1)	3.5 (47)	56.6	0.6	1.2
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	29.8	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	21.1	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	14	34.6	30.2	41.3%	4.45	0.6	20	401	150	251	4.5	47%	53%	39%	43%	15%	.21
CLEM Defense	13	21.1	19.7	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	14	19.3	18.2	35.5%	3.5	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	32%	21%	.09
CLEM Offense	13	29.8	37	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	14	29:23	19.6	36%	48%	6.1	56.6	0.6	1.2	6.7	3.2	2	29.5
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	14	47% (93)	39% (113)	33.1	150.1	4.5	32 (10)	.07 (111)	2.64 (128)	63% (123)	9% (52)	1.06 (35)
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	14	49% (49)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.12 (51)	2.75 (19)	77% (96)	12% (20)	1.07 (102)
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	14	53% (39)	43% (54)	18.6	30.9	250.6	8.1	13.5	25 (37)	4 (2)	.34 (46)	1.6 (48)	32% (78)	31% (66)	.36 (61)	6% (67)	2.2 (32)
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	14	51% (90)	32% (1)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.06 (4)	1.6 (65)	36% (16)	27% (28)	.22 (22)	9% (2)	1.9 (24)
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 16.06 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 39% #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 16.06 Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 23.7 Clemson: 10.9

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 32
Clemson 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Clemson 40
Florida State 27

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 27
Clemson 26

Total Points: 53

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Clemson	24	Florida State	10	Clemson -1.5	Clemson	56.5	Under
2024	10/05	Florida State	13	Clemson	29	Clemson -16.5	Florida State	47.0	Under
2023	09/23	Clemson	24	Florida State	31	Florida State -2	Florida State	55.5	Under
2022	10/15	Florida State	28	Clemson	34	Clemson -4.5	Clemson	51.0	Over
2021	10/30	Clemson	30	Florida State	20	Clemson -9.5	Clemson	47.5	Over
2019	10/12	Clemson	45	Florida State	14	Clemson -25.5	Clemson	60.5	Under
2018	10/27	Florida State	10	Clemson	59	Clemson -18	Clemson	49.5	Over
2017	11/11	Clemson	31	Florida State	14	Clemson -16.5	Clemson	44.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida State	34	Clemson	37	Clemson -3	NA	58.5	Over
2015	11/07	Clemson	23	Florida State	13	Clemson -12	Florida State	54.5	Under
2014	09/20	Florida State	23	Clemson	17	Florida State -20.5	Clemson	0
2013	10/19	Clemson	14	Florida State	51	Florida State -3	Florida State	0
2012	09/22	Florida State	49	Clemson	37
2011	09/24	Clemson	35	Florida State	30
2010	11/13	Florida State	16	Clemson	13
2009	11/07	Clemson	40	Florida State	24
2008	11/08	Florida State	41	Clemson	27
2007	09/03	Clemson	24	Florida State	18
2006	09/16	Florida State	20	Clemson	27
2005	11/12	Clemson	35	Florida State	14
2004	09/25	Florida State	41	Clemson	22
2003	11/08	Clemson	26	Florida State	10
2002	10/03	Florida State	48	Clemson	31
2001	11/03	Clemson	27	Florida State	41
2000	11/03	Florida State	54	Clemson	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	15	7	5 Overs
Florida State	10	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 8	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	8 - 17	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#10) FSU at (#15) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#10	#15
SP+SP+	#7	#23
Perf GradeGrade	#15	#31
OffenseOff	#23	#94
DefenseDef	#16	#2
Spec TeamsST	#42	#25
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#19	#5

Florida State Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#23	#2
SuccessSuc	#79	#2
ExplosiveExp	#16	#115
PPAPPA	#60	#9
PowerPwr	#37	#8
SP+SP+	#16	#12
Pts POPPO	#25	#91
HavocHav	#57	#3

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#43	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#113	#10
Run ExplRExp	#35	#128
PPAExp	#111	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#33
Stuff RateStuff	#111	#92
TackleTak	-	#30

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#2
Pass ExplPExl	#48	#51
PPAExp	#46	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#5	#20
F7 HavocF7	#52	#10
DB HavocDB	#67	#1

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#16
SuccessSuc	#38	#9
ExplosiveExp	#132	#79
PPAPPA	#87	#13
PowerPwr	#88	#7
SP+SP+	#50	#7
Pts POPPO	#90	#47
HavocHav	#64	#7

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#38
Run ExplRExp	#106	#102
PPAExp	#55	#51
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#19
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#19
TackleTak	-	#32

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#1
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#65
PPAExp	#104	#4
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#6
F7 HavocF7	#55	#20
DB HavocDB	#85	#2

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78°

Rematch from Week 4
Florida State 2.0 (55.5)
Florida State won at Clemson this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2022 (34-28)

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan Travis	207	324	64%	2745	20	2	8.5
Tate Rodemaker	32	56	57%	510	5	0	9.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trey Benson	156	905	14	5.8	85
Lawrance Toafili	69	463	4	6.7	73
Rodney Hill	50	190	1	3.8	19
Caziah Holmes (Tr)	29	185	2	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keon Coleman (Tr)	50	658	11	13.2	58
Johnny Wilson	41	617	2	15.0	44
Jaheim Bell (Tr)	39	503	2	12.9	49
Kyle Morlock (Tr)	19	255	0	13.4	63

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tatum Bethune	70	7	1	3	3
Kalen DeLoach	67	11	8	0	2
Shyheim Brown	53	2	2	2	4
DJ Lundy	52	6	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Verse	40	12	9	7	2
Kalen DeLoach	67	11	8	0	2
Patrick Payton	43	14	6	7	9
Braden Fiske (Tr)	42	9	6	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Renardo Green	43	3	1	1	12
Azareye'h Thomas	27	3	0	0	10
Patrick Payton	43	14	6	7	9

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	290	454	64%	2844	19	9	6.3
Hunter Helms	9	12	75%	83	0	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	179	965	13	5.4	49
Will Shipley	167	827	5	5.0	33
Cade Klubnik	125	182	4	1.5	22
Domonique Thomas	18	116	1	6.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Brown	52	531	4	10.2	47
Beaux Collins	38	510	3	13.4	69
Jake Briningstool	50	498	5	10.0	50
Troy Stellato	39	337	1	8.6	18

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
Barrett Carter	56	8	3	4	5
R.J. Mickens	39	4	0	0	3
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
T.J. Parker	32	13	6	5	1
Ruke Orhorhoro	23	8	5	3	1
Wade Woodaz	26	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shelton Lewis	10	0	0	0	7
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6
Andrew Mukuba	35	2	0	0	6