Florida State at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (7:00 PM EST)
Clemson -1.5 (56.5) (-118)  Open: -16.5 | 55.5
Clemson 24 - Florida State: 10  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
CLEM 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Clemson -7.5  (SP+ CLEM -2)

Projected Score: FSU: 23 - CLEM: 31 (54)
CLEM Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
FSU Travel: 305 miles
Tigers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-7.058.5L 11 - 21UN
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida-1.548.5L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.553.5L 21 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-15.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-14.054.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-3.549.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-4.555.5L 45 - 46ON
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State-1.556.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+1.550.5W 20 - 19UY
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-41.555.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina+2.545.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 12/27 Clemson vs Penn State-2.547.5L 10 - 22UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)3340% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)2242% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)27.250% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)20.543% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense123318.635.4%2.881.815271911802.946%54%40%31%21%.06
CLEM Defense1420.52440.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122230.240.8%3.620.5 - - - - - 56%44%42%39%14%.25
CLEM Offense1427.22846.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.82126.3
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 7.16  #49
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.67  #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.51  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45%  #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.16   Clemson: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.2   Clemson: 9.5




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 14.54  #24
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.99  #38
Clemson's Defense Rating: 3.41  #16
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #34
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #65
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
Florida State 23


Projected Total Points: 54
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Clemson24Florida State10Clemson -1.5Clemson56.5Under
202410/05Florida State13Clemson29Clemson -16.5Florida State47.0Under
202309/23Clemson24Florida State31Florida State -2Florida State55.5Under
202210/15Florida State28Clemson34Clemson -4.5Clemson51.0Over
202110/30Clemson30Florida State20Clemson -9.5Clemson47.5Over
201910/12Clemson45Florida State14Clemson -25.5Clemson60.5Under
201810/27Florida State10Clemson59Clemson -18Clemson49.5Over
201711/11Clemson31Florida State14Clemson -16.5Clemson44.5Over
201610/29Florida State34Clemson37Clemson -3NA58.5Over
201511/07Clemson23Florida State13Clemson -12Florida State54.5Under
201409/20Florida State23Clemson17Florida State -20.5Clemson0
201310/19Clemson14Florida State51Florida State -3Florida State0
201209/22Florida State49Clemson37
201109/24Clemson35Florida State30
201011/13Florida State16Clemson13
200911/07Clemson40Florida State24
200811/08Florida State41Clemson27
200709/03Clemson24Florida State18
200609/16Florida State20Clemson27
200511/12Clemson35Florida State14
200409/25Florida State41Clemson22
200311/08Clemson26Florida State10
200210/03Florida State48Clemson31
200111/03Clemson27Florida State41
200011/03Florida State54Clemson7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1575 Overs
Florida State1045 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 85 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 176 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#49) FSU at (#24) CLEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUCLEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #49 #24
SP+SP+ #41 #34
Perf GradeGrade #28 #50
OffenseOff #21 #65
DefenseDef #65 #33
Spec TeamsST #41 #30
TalentTal #17 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #17 #12
Florida State Notes
(12/16) FSU looks like they aren't serious about 2026
(11/23) Norvell will return in '26. Fund road slate now
(11/22) A straight 0-8 in road ACC games past 2 years
(10/20) Rumors sound toxic, player leadership void
(10/19) Norvell lost 4 straight, 4 times now. 1-11 ACC run
(10/19) OG'd Stanford by 150, still lost for the 4th straight time
(10/19) Castellanos knocked out of Stanford game, dirty hit
(10/12) Norvell w/o Jordan Travis is 7-21.
(10/11) LBs lack speed and huge liability in coverage
(10/11) Noles have lost their last 8 ACC conference games
(9/26) Tackling a huge issue vs UVA, allowed 450+ in L
(8/30) Outrushed Bama 230-87, Cast quick, efficient
Florida State Injury Report
Clemson Notes
(11/2) Things are getting toxic with HC Swinney
(11/2) 1-4 at home going into FSU game. Beat Troy
(11/2) Off great, Def torched, ST's cost bad in Duke L
(10/21) Top WR Bryant Wesco out for season (back inj)
(10/19) 5 straight losses at home vs FBS after SMU loss
(10/19) QB Vizzina was good, but Run Off putrid in SMU L
(10/16) QB Klubnik apparently injured, may miss SMU
(9/20) Def torched by Cuse. Klubnik can't carry this Off
(9/18) Get LT Leigh, WR Williams, S Barnes back (Cuse)
(9/15) Off just bad, Klubnick asked to carry too much
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
Clemson Injury Report
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #33
SuccessSuc #128 #48
ExplosiveExp #58 #106
PPAPPA #125 #52
PowerPwr #30 #16
SP+SP+ #54 #24
Pts POPPO #131 #48
HavocHav #129 #20
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #28 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #68
Run ExplRExp #118 #119
PPAExp #101 #84
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #92 #54
Stuff RateStuff #85 #44
TackleTak -  #11
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #9 #62
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #36
Pass ExplPExl #20 #60
PPAExp #130 #28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #39
F7 HavocF7 #130 #38
DB HavocDB #62 #20
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #65
SuccessSuc #24 #56
ExplosiveExp #70 #114
PPAPPA #21 #112
PowerPwr #38 #58
SP+SP+ #65 #38
Pts POPPO #29 #46
HavocHav #25 #98
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffFSU Def
Run GameRun #105 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #62
Run ExplRExp #69 #114
PPAExp #19 #109
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #81
Stuff RateStuff #53 #88
TackleTak -  #44
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffFSU Def
Pass GamePass #29 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #36 #52
Pass ExplPExl #79 #120
PPAExp #38 #110
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #93
F7 HavocF7 #40 #77
DB HavocDB #21 #116
Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 63°
Rematch from Week 11
Clemson -1.5 (56.5)
Clemson won vs Florida State this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida State last year (24-10)
Clemson beat Florida State in 2024 (29-13)
Florida State beat Clemson in 2023 (31-24)

  
FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18030958%27601598.9
Kevin Sperry121771%1942011.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)13755794.126
Gavin Sawchuk (Tr)10948684.540
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson (Tr)561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Lawayne McCoy27403314.934
Randy Pittman (Tr)2320829.035

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Earl Little II762002
Ashlynd Barker485412
Darrell Jackson442110
Blake Nichelson437111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Ashlynd Barker485412
Stefon Thompson (Tr)374410
Daniel Lyons264240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edwin Joseph374005
Earl Little II762002
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)421002

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik25739266%29431667.5
Christopher Vizzina457163%406415.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall168814104.846
Gideon Davidson6026004.328
Chris Denson7108115.450
Cade Klubnik839441.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
T.J. Moore52837416.175
Antonio Williams55604411.064
Bryant Wesco Jr.31537617.373
Adam Randall3625437.135

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sammy Brown10714665
Wade Woodaz707123
Ronan Hanafin642004
Avieon Terrell485308
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)46156102
Sammy Brown10714665
T.J. Parker379571
Jaheim Lawson197443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell485308
Ashton Hampton453108
Sammy Brown10714665