South Florida Team Profile
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South Florida Bulls (@USFFootball)
Alex Golesh (3rd year) (22-16)
Record: 9 - 4 (6 - 2)  |  Proj: 10 - 3 (#22)  |  SOS: (#82)
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South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-36.056.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-28.554.5W 54 - 26ON
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+2.568.5W 63 - 36OY
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-20.572.5W 48 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis-3.558.5L 31 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-14.066.5W 55 - 23OY
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-8.562.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-21.568.5W 48 - 18UY
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-28.557.5W 52 - 3UY
Wed 12/17 South Florida vs Old Dominion-4.052.5L 10 - 24UN

Record Prediction: 9.9 - 3.1  #22
Schedule Rating:  #82
Record: 9 - 4( AAC: 6 - 2)
Spread Record 8 - 5 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6
Future 2026 Schedule

South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman W 48 - 3
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #89
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (AAC: 4 - 4)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 1 Elite, 3 Good, 2 Avg, 2 Bad, 4 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 2 Bad, 4 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 183 points   #68
2025 class: 189 points   #64
2024 class: 198 points   #50
2023 class: 165 points   #76
2022 class: 136 points   #91

Average Class Ranking:   #70
Average Recruiting Points: 174

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class:  #66 - Best:  #50 Worst:  #91



CFB Crootin Averages
American Athletic Class: 129  #103
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 168 points   #63
2020 class: 143 points   #101
2019 class: 158 points   #77
2018 class: 176 points   #65
2017 class: 151 points   #76

Average Class Ranking:   #76
Average Recruiting Points: 159
 

2025 Portal Class  #84 - 16 players, 85 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #92 - 7 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #86 - 18 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #31 - 15 players, 83 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Joel Gordon (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown22634166%31582879.3
Gaston Moore (Tr)344871%290226.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown1751008145.860
Nykahi Davenport9861276.260
Sam Franklin (Tr)8047445.973
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton50877817.566
Jeremiah Koger38597815.763
Mudia Reuben (Tr)36495513.860
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Todd Orlando (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
Mac Harris1038672
Tavin Ward602002
De'Shawn Rucker582004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris1038672
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Ricardo Watson497351
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
De'Shawn Rucker582004
Jonas Duclona (Tr)353104
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 67%  #13
Offense Returning Production: 66%  #36
Defense Returning Production: 68%  #17

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #84
16 Commits, 84.6 Avg Rating
28% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 20% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Offense Talent  #23 | Defense Talent  #61
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #69 | 2021  #73


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 9 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2024 Record: 7 - 6
2024 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 7 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 1 - 11
2022 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 3

Four Year Record: 24 - 27
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 24 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 18
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 1 - 8
2020 Conf Record: 0 - 7
Spread: 5 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 38 - 59
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 48 - 48 - 0
Eight Year Conference Record: 20 - 43

South Florida Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Cure Bowl South Florida vs Old Dominion-4.052.5L 10 - 24
2024I Bowl South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39
2023Raton Bowl South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0
2018Gasparilla Bowl South Florida vs Marshall+3.551.0L 20 - 38
2017Birmingham Bowl South Florida vs Texas Tech-2.066.0W 38 - 34
2016N/A South Florida vs South Carolina-11.058.0W 46 - 39
2015Beach Bowl South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0L 35 - 45
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.31 (12)1.33 (28)46% (22)4.45 (17)29.5 (54)46%62%.07 (20)1.32 (107)38% (21)3.15 (28)29.2 (80)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.17 (83)1.38 (10)38% (118)3.88 (74)30.7 (32)39%56%.16 (66)1.39 (115)39% (36)4 (88)27.9 (38)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.53
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1340.5513546.5% (22)4.45 (17)1.5244882122765.551% (55)48% (79)47% (26)46% (28)14% (45).31 (12)
2025 Defense1323.414.332.337.8% (21)3.15 (28)1.9 - - - - - 48% (47)51% (94)38% (14)38% (38)16% (59).07 (20)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1332.233.634.338.3% (118)3.88 (74)1.4204081812274.848% (82)52% (51)39% (112)38% (106)15% (57).17 (83)
2024 Defense1329.827.231.839.2% (36)4 (88)2.1 - - - - - 49% (46)51% (91)38% (17)40% (69)20% (15).16 (66)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)
2025 Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)
2024 Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1348% (79)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)
2025 Defense1351% (94)38% (38) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (66)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
2024 Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)




Overall
Power Rating  #40 | SP+ Rating  #23
Performance Grade  #38
Special Teams Grade  #85
Record Prediction 9.9 - 3.1  #22
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6

5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Offense
Power  #18 | SP+  #10 | Grade  #27
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Off Success  #22 | Explosivness  #28
Rush Grade  #19 | Pass Grade  #8
Rush Success  #26 | Explosiveness  #60
Pass Success  #28 | Explosiveness  #14
Run Block  #76 | Pass Block  #18
OL YDS  #13 | Stuff Rate  #10
Scoring Zone Off:  #17

Defense
Power  #53 | SP+  #58 | Grade  #61
Def Success  #21 | Explosivness  #107
Rush Success  #14 | Explosiveness  #112
Tackling  #132 | Run Def  #77
Pass Success  #38 | Explosiveness  #66
Pass Rush  #8 | Coverage  #71
F7 Havoc  #42 | DB Havoc  #81
DL YDS  #20 | Def Stuff Rate  #17
Scoring Zone Def  #28


Roster
Team Talent  #30 Blue Chips: 2%  #79
Offense Talent  #23 Defense Talent  #61
Crootin: '25 Class  #68 - 4 YR Class:  #66
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class  #84 - 16 players, 85 Avg
28% of Roster from Portal, 20% TY
51 New Players, 44% of '25 Roster  #27

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 40.5 - 23.4 | Scoring Margin: (17.1)
Home: 51 - 14 (36.7) | Road: 35 - 32 (2.7)
OC: Joel Gordon - been OC for 3 years
DC: Todd Orlando - been DC for 3 years

2025 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 5 - 0) (AAC: 6 - 2)
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 6 - 0) (AAC: 4 - 4)
2023 Record: 7 - 6 (7 - 6 - 0) (AAC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (24 - 27) | 8 Yr Record: (38 - 59)


Notes
Hiring Tim Beck as OC for reasons unknown.
Hiring OSU OC Brian Hartline, Golesh left for Auburn
Mauled N Texas, over 600 yds offense, 300 rushing
Still running QB Brown 17 times in Char blowout?
QB Brown great vs Boise, tough runner. Big W
LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.72 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Avg when off Schedule 31%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 63%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 28%

Returning Prod
HC Golesh, OC Gordon & QB all back
'24 QB Bryce Archie returns
Returning Production: 67%  #13
Offense: 66%  #36 | Defense: 68%  #17
OL Prod: 88%  #4, 5 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4630  #6 | From Portal: 1019  #38
Rush Prod: 38%  #101 | Rec Prod: 35%  #100
Def Front Seven: 55% - Secondary: 67%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #23 - Power Rating:  #40
2024 SP+ Overall:  #79 - Power Rating:  #62
2023 SP+ Overall:  #102 - Power Rating:  #95
2022 SP+ Overall:  #120

#120 #99 #71 #32

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #10 - Power Rating:  #18
2024 SP+ Offense:  #51 - Power Rating:  #72
2023 SP+ Offense:  #61 - Power Rating:  #94
2022 SP+ Offense:  #38

#38 #78 #62 #14

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #58 - Power Rating:  #53
2024 SP+ Defense:  #108 - Power Rating:  #48
2023 SP+ Defense:  #123 - Power Rating:  #92
2022 SP+ Defense:  #133

#133 #108 #78 #56