South Florida Team Profile
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(#19) South Florida Bulls (@USFFootball)
Alex Golesh (3rd year) (18-13)
Record: 5 - 1 (2 - 0)  |  Proj: 10 - 2 (#12)  |  SOS: (#71)
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South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-36.056.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-28.554.5W 54 - 26ON
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+2.568.5W 63 - 36OY
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-21.573.5
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-12.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-7
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-25.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-26.5

Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1  #12
Schedule Rating:  #71
Record: 5 - 1( AAC: 2 - 0)
Spread Record 4 - 2 - 0 | O/U 4 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman W 48 - 3
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

2024 Schedule Rating:  #89
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (AAC: 4 - 4)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5


Opponents: 1 Elite, 2 Good, 2 Avg, 2 Bad, 4 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 2 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 2 Avg, 0 Bad, 3Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 3 Elite, 1 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 189 points   #64
2024 class: 198 points   #50
2023 class: 165 points   #76
2022 class: 136 points   #91
2021 class: 168 points   #63

Average Class Ranking:   #69
Average Recruiting Points: 171

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg P4
4 Year Class:  #66 - Best:  #50 Worst:  #91



CFB Crootin Averages
American Athletic Class: 129  #103
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 143 points   #101
2019 class: 158 points   #77
2018 class: 176 points   #65
2017 class: 151 points   #76
2016 class: 161 points   #66

Average Class Ranking:   #77
Average Recruiting Points: 158
 

2025 Portal Class  #84 - 16 players, 85 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #92 - 7 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #86 - 18 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #31 - 15 players, 83 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Joel Gordon (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown11417864%14391358.1
Gaston Moore (Tr)91275%47003.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown8536454.331
Sam Franklin (Tr)3423737.054
Alvon Isaac3520605.949
Cartevious Norton (Tr)3216625.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355
Keshaun Singleton17294317.366
Jeremiah Koger8169321.163
Christian Neptune1711116.515
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Todd Orlando (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler545122
Mac Harris465450
Tavin Ward370001
De'Shawn Rucker292002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris465450
Traevon Mitchell (Tr)103230
Jhalyn Shuler545122
Jacob Merrifield (Tr)132101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler545122
De'Shawn Rucker292002
Jonas Duclona (Tr)141002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 67%  #13
Offense Returning Production: 66%  #36
Defense Returning Production: 68%  #17

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #84
16 Commits, 84.6 Avg Rating
28% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 20% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Offense Talent  #23 | Defense Talent  #61
2024  #102 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #69 | 2021  #73


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 1
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 0
Spread: 4 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 2

2024 Record: 7 - 6
2024 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 7 - 6
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 1 - 11
2022 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 3

Four Year Record: 20 - 24
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 22 - 21 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 10 - 16
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 2 - 10
2021 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 1 - 8
2020 Conf Record: 0 - 7
Spread: 5 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 34 - 56
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 44 - 45 - 0
Eight Year Conference Record: 16 - 41

South Florida Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024I Bowl South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39
2023Raton Bowl South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0
2018Gasparilla Bowl South Florida vs Marshall+3.551.0L 20 - 38
2017Birmingham Bowl South Florida vs Texas Tech-2.066.0W 38 - 34
2016N/A South Florida vs South Carolina-11.058.0W 46 - 39
2015Beach Bowl South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0L 35 - 45
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.27 (38)1.26 (59)45% (51)4.51 (36)31 (33)44%64%.01 (11)1.17 (36)39% (42)3.85 (73)28.6 (81)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.17 (83)1.38 (10)38% (118)3.88 (74)30.7 (32)39%56%.16 (66)1.39 (115)39% (36)4 (88)27.9 (38)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025625:112344%64%6.558.81.72.75.81.82
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense640.750.33144.9% (51)4.51 (36)1.7234692092605.552% (60)48% (75)46% (50)44% (61)13% (42).27 (38)
2025 Defense624.715.733.739.3% (42)3.85 (73)2.7 - - - - - 45% (25)54% (110)39% (39)40% (59)15% (77).01 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1332.233.634.338.3% (118)3.88 (74)1.4204081812274.848% (82)52% (51)39% (112)38% (106)15% (57).17 (83)
2024 Defense1329.827.231.839.2% (36)4 (88)2.1 - - - - - 49% (46)51% (91)38% (17)40% (69)20% (15).16 (66)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense652% (60)46% (50)38.2208.75.513 (35).17 (51)3.36 (20)81% (22)7% (21)1.01 (53)
2025 Defense645% (25)39% (39) - - - - -.09 (5)2.73 (47)78% (102)10% (63)0.81 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)
2024 Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense648% (75)44% (61)20.8322608.112.515 (13)5 (77).37 (35)1.5 (70)30% (51)28% (98).43 (42)6% (74)2.4 (8)
2025 Defense654% (110)40% (59) - - - - - - 9 (6).15 (41)1.5 (44)34% (41)28% (52).12 (23)5% (88)1.5 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
2024 Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)




Overall
Power Rating  #28 | SP+ Rating  #47
Performance Grade  #74
Special Teams Grade  #91
Record Prediction 9.9 - 2.1  #12
5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Offense
Power  #32 | SP+  #36 | Grade  #58
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Off Success  #51 | Explosivness  #59
Rush Grade  #47 | Pass Grade  #37
Rush Success  #50 | Explosiveness  #53
Pass Success  #61 | Explosiveness  #70
Run Block  #88 | Pass Block  #53
OL YDS  #20 | Stuff Rate  #12
Scoring Zone Off:  #36

Defense
Power  #31 | SP+  #64 | Grade  #94
Def Success  #42 | Explosivness  #36
Rush Success  #39 | Explosiveness  #19
Tackling  #131 | Run Def  #107
Pass Success  #59 | Explosiveness  #44
Pass Rush  #52 | Coverage  #73
F7 Havoc  #63 | DB Havoc  #88
Scoring Zone Def  #73


Roster
Team Talent  #30 Blue Chips: 2%  #79
Offense Talent  #23 Defense Talent  #61
Crootin: '25 Class  #64 - 4 YR Class:  #66
Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
Portal Class  #84 - 16 players, 85 Avg
28% of Roster from Portal, 20% TY
51 New Players, 44% of '25 Roster  #27

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 40.7 - 24.7 (32 - 30) in '24
Scoring at Home: 50 - 16 | Road: 31 - 34
OC: Joel Gordon - been OC for 3 years
DC: Todd Orlando - been DC for 3 years

2025 Record: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0) (AAC: 2 - 0)
2024 Record: 7 - 6 (6 - 6 - 0) (AAC: 4 - 4)
2023 Record: 7 - 6 (7 - 6 - 0) (AAC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (20 - 24) | 8 Yr Record: (34 - 56)


Notes
Mauled N Texas, over 600 yds offense, 300 rushing
Still running QB Brown 17 times in Char blowout?
QB Brown great vs Boise, tough runner. Big W
LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.51 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Poor when off Schedule 28%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 28%

Returning Prod
HC Golesh, OC Gordon & QB all back
'24 QB Bryce Archie returns
Returning Production: 67%  #13
Offense: 66%  #36 | Defense: 68%  #17
OL Prod: 88%  #4, 5 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4630  #6 | From Portal: 1019  #38
Rush Prod: 38%  #101 | Rec Prod: 35%  #100
Def Front Seven: 55% - Secondary: 67%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #47 - Power Rating:  #28
2024 SP+ Overall:  #79 - Power Rating:  #62
2023 SP+ Overall:  #102 - Power Rating:  #95
2022 SP+ Overall:  #120

#120 #99 #71 #38

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #36 - Power Rating:  #32
2024 SP+ Offense:  #51 - Power Rating:  #72
2023 SP+ Offense:  #61 - Power Rating:  #94
2022 SP+ Offense:  #38

#38 #78 #62 #34

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #64 - Power Rating:  #31
2024 SP+ Defense:  #108 - Power Rating:  #48
2023 SP+ Defense:  #123 - Power Rating:  #92
2022 SP+ Defense:  #133

#133 #108 #78 #48