Charlotte at South Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
South Florida -7.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 48 - Charlotte: 14  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (17 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
CHAR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -13   (SP+ USF -13)

Projected Score: CHAR: 21 - USF: 34 (55)
USF Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CHAR Travel: 517 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
South Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Florida at Western Kentucky+13.571.5L 24 - 41UN
Sat 9/9 South Florida vs Florida A&M-20.063.0W 38 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 South Florida vs Alabama+34.061.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 South Florida vs Rice+2.556.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at Navy+4.054.0W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/7 South Florida at UAB-3.568.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-3.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 10/21 South Florida at UConn+1.057.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 South Florida at Memphis+13.568.5L 50 - 59OY
Sat 11/11 South Florida vs Temple-7.570.5W 27 - 23UN
Fri 11/17 South Florida at UTSA+14.565.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 South Florida vs Charlotte-7.556.5W 48 - 14OY
Thu 12/21 South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#126 (.05)35% (131)17.537% (125)2.91 (104)14533% (128)1682.84 (127)#55 (.16)41% (50)28.641% (50)41% (57)4 (87)58.61.81.4
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)31.939% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)32.240% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1217.516.734.6%2.841.8173131451683.854%44%37%33%18%.05
USF Defense1332.227.239.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1228.629.240.6%41.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%41%15%.16
USF Offense1331.928.739.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1232:1716.824%54%6.958.61.81.451.6228.8
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1254% (34)37% (125)38.71453.816 (89).13 (81)2.91 (104)66% (114)12% (115)1.15 (9)
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1253% (111)41% (50) - - - - .13 (59)2.97 (42)61% (14)9% (97)1.01 (76)
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1244% (103)33% (128)15.527.3167.86.110.87 (129)16 (121).02 (133)1.5 (83)36% (123)22% (128).11 (126)6% (53)2 (83)
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1246% (23)41% (57) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (73)1.6 (72)31% (82)31% (85).28 (49)6% (88)1.9 (23)
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58   South Florida: -5.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1   South Florida: -9.5




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.08 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 17.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
Charlotte 21


Total Points: 55

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Charlotte24South Florida59South FloridaCharlotte -1.5South Florida53.5Over
202311/25South Florida48Charlotte14South FloridaSouth Florida -7.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida222 Overs
Charlotte000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#128) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60


Charlotte has lost 2 straight
Charlotte has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#118)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSFCHAR
OverallOver#84#99
OffenseOff#91#106
DefenseDef#60#67
Special TeamsST#63#28
PassingPass#60#108
RushingRush#40#80
Run BlockRBLK#98#55
Pass BlockPBLK#81#104
Route RunningWR Rt#78#92
TacklingTkl#94#73
Run DefenseR Def#47#95
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#68
Coverage DefCov#83#15

Rematch from Week 13
South Florida -7.5 (56.5)
South Florida won vs Charlotte this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Charlotte last year (59-24)
South Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | USF
Depth Chart: CHAR | USF
Rosters: CHAR | USF
(#95) South Florida Info
Power Rating: -5.08 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10


South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Fumbles a Lot (#42)
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)


  
Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey11220355%12634106.2
Jalon Jones6710962%646245.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Jones11047644.358
Terron Kellman8232814.018
Hahsaun Wilson5432236.034
Shadrick Byrd6021103.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack25453218.151
Colin Weber34362010.645
Jack Hestera28349312.537
Duane Thomas Jr.24244010.251

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II896204
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Eyabi Anoma4810691
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eyabi Anoma4810691
Demon Clowney314340
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Jaren Handy276211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Demetrius Knight II896204
Dontez Fagan213004

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown27642665%329226117.7
Bryce Archie (Tr)71547%53003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown203809114.060
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)18079784.447
Michel Dukes6335025.630
K'Wan Powell6121513.527
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins921054711.588
Naiem Simmons (Tr)39637516.353
Khafre Brown27435516.184
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)27350213.038

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Daquan Evans6414457
Jaelen Stokes615211
James Gordon Iv589442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daquan Evans6414457
James Gordon Iv589442
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Jonathan Ross477221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tavin Ward383008
Daquan Evans6414457
Jhalyn Shuler979235