Navy Midshipmen at South Florida Bulls
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Navy -4.5 (59.5) (-185) Open: -3.0 | 56.5
Navy 28 - South Florida: 7 (American Athletic)
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (29 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Navy -1.5 (SP+ NAVY -6)
Projected Score: NAVY: 30 - USF: 28 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 835 miles
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Navy -1.5 (SP+ NAVY -6)
Projected Score: NAVY: 30 - USF: 28 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 835 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Navy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Navy vs Bucknell | -31.5 | 48.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Navy vs Temple | -11.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 11 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Navy vs Memphis | +9.5 | 47.0 | W 56 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Navy at UAB | -4.5 | 56.5 | W 41 - 18 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Navy at Air Force | -10.0 | 37.0 | W 34 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Navy vs Charlotte | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Navy vs Notre Dame | +14.0 | 50.5 | L 14 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Navy at Rice | -12.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Navy at South Florida | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Navy vs Tulane | +7.5 | 49.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/29 | Navy at East Carolina | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 12/14 | Navy vs Army | +6.0 | 39.5 | ||||
| Fri 12/27 | Navy vs Oklahoma | -1.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| South Florida's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman | -22.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | South Florida at Alabama | +33.5 | 65.5 | L 16 - 42 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | South Florida at Southern Miss | -13.0 | 58.5 | W 49 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | South Florida vs Miami | +17.0 | 64.5 | L 15 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | South Florida at Tulane | +4.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | South Florida vs Memphis | +10.0 | 61.0 | L 3 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | South Florida vs UAB | -14.0 | 55.5 | W 35 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/1 | South Florida at Florida Atlantic | -1.5 | 48.0 | W 44 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | South Florida vs Navy | +4.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | South Florida at Charlotte | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 59 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | South Florida vs Tulsa | -17.5 | 60.0 | W 63 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | South Florida at Rice | -5.5 | 53.5 | L 28 - 35 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/24 | South Florida vs San José State | -1.5 | 66.5 | W 41 - 39 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 31.3 | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 22.2 | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 32.2 | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 29.8 | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | #12 (.31) | 44% (51) | 46% (43) | 3.27 (32) | 231 | 39% (101) | 117 | 4.39 (26) | #28 (.1) | 41% (61) | 46% (95) | 37% (24) | 3.48 (35) | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | ||
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 31.3 | 29.4 | 44.2% | 4.39 | 1.1 | 16 | 347 | 231 | 117 | 5.5 | 74% | 26% | 46% | 39% | 11% | .31 |
| USF Defense | 13 | 29.8 | 27.2 | 39.2% | 4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 38% | 40% | 20% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 15.2 | 41.2% | 3.48 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 46% | 37% | 14% | .1 |
| USF Offense | 13 | 32.2 | 33.6 | 38.3% | 3.88 | 1.4 | 20 | 408 | 181 | 227 | 4.8 | 48% | 52% | 39% | 38% | 15% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 13 | 27:47 | 16.2 | 39% | 64% | 4.8 | 41.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 31.6 |
| South Florida | 13 | 25:10 | 20.4 | 39% | 56% | 8.1 | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 74% (3) | 46% (43) | 42.3 | 230.7 | 5.5 | 35 (8) | .29 (10) | 3.27 (32) | 82% (15) | 8% (28) | 1.2 (7) |
| USF Defense | 13 | 49% (46) | 38% (17) | - | - | - | - | .04 (26) | 2.63 (18) | 70% (48) | 13% (11) | 1.13 (121) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 51% (77) | 46% (95) | - | - | - | - | .16 (89) | 3.27 (107) | 77% (89) | 9% (101) | 0.92 (39) |
| USF Offense | 13 | 48% (82) | 39% (112) | 37.8 | 180.8 | 4.8 | 34 (10) | .2 (32) | 3.06 (60) | 66% (114) | 10% (62) | 1.26 (3) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Offense | 13 | 26% (132) | 39% (101) | 7.1 | 12.8 | 116.7 | 9.1 | 16.5 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .39 (15) | 2 (3) | 29% (26) | 27% (110) | .4 (37) | 3% (4) | 2.5 (2) |
| USF Defense | 13 | 51% (91) | 40% (69) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .28 (89) | 1.6 (78) | 34% (32) | 32% (87) | .3 (64) | 7% (46) | 1.9 (32) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY Defense | 13 | 48% (57) | 37% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .07 (8) | 1.5 (51) | 31% (85) | 25% (8) | .2 (30) | 5% (89) | 2.2 (112) |
| USF Offense | 13 | 52% (51) | 38% (106) | 20.2 | 34.1 | 227.5 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .13 (113) | 1.5 (109) | 34% (114) | 25% (121) | .22 (105) | 6% (68) | 2.2 (21) |
Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy's Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: 2.20 South Florida: 1.455
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 South Florida: -2.3
Navy: 2.20 South Florida: 1.455
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: 3.5 South Florida: -2.3
South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.455 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.455 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2
Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 30
South Florida 28
Total Points: 58
Navy 30
South Florida 28
Total Points: 58
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | South Florida | 7 | Navy | 28 | Navy | Navy -4.5 | Navy | 59.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Navy | 30 | South Florida | 44 | South Florida | Navy -4 | South Florida | 54.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Navy | 35 | South Florida | 3 | Navy | Navy -15.5 | Navy | 52.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/28 | South Florida | 52 | Navy | 45 | South Florida | South Florida -9 | Navy | 66.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/31 | Navy | 29 | South Florida | 17 | Navy | Navy -11 | Navy | 51.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 2 | 1 | 2 Overs |
| Navy | 3 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 2 | 2 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has lost 2 straight
Navy has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
Power Rating: 2.20 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Navy has lost 2 straight
Navy has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now
Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)
Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USF | NAVY |
| OverallOver | #72 | #16 |
| OffenseOff | #96 | #18 |
| DefenseDef | #45 | #23 |
| Special TeamsST | #77 | #3 |
| PassingPass | #91 | #98 |
| RushingRush | #48 | #28 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #99 | #16 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #82 | #26 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #89 | #25 |
| TacklingTkl | #73 | #14 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #39 | #29 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #29 | #83 |
| Coverage DefCov | #65 | #21 |
Rematch from Week 11
Navy 4.5 (59.5)
Navy won at South Florida this year (28-7)
Previous Matchups
Navy beat South Florida last year (28-7)
South Florida beat Navy in 2023 (44-30)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NAVY | USF
Depth Chart: NAVY | USF
Rosters: NAVY | USF
(#62) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 1.455 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has won 2 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
Power Rating: 1.455 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has won 2 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 80 | 139 | 58% | 1353 | 13 | 4 | 9.7 |
| Braxton Woodson | 18 | 36 | 50% | 243 | 2 | 2 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Horvath | 176 | 1254 | 17 | 7.1 | 95 |
| Alex Tecza | 123 | 556 | 8 | 4.5 | 65 |
| Eli Heidenreich | 65 | 444 | 3 | 6.8 | 60 |
| Daba Fofana | 60 | 263 | 2 | 4.4 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Heidenreich | 39 | 671 | 6 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Brandon Chatman | 18 | 257 | 4 | 14.3 | 46 |
| Alex Tecza | 12 | 229 | 2 | 19.1 | 46 |
| Nathan Kent | 10 | 222 | 2 | 22.2 | 77 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Kyle Jacob | 102 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reed | 49 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Landon Robinson | 61 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Ramos | 129 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Luke Pirris | 68 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashaun Peele | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Rayuan Lane | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Duhart | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Archie | 172 | 290 | 59% | 1914 | 9 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Byrum Brown | 78 | 132 | 59% | 836 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Joiner Jr. | 121 | 799 | 12 | 6.6 | 54 |
| Nay'Quan Wright | 109 | 510 | 8 | 4.7 | 64 |
| Taron Keith | 78 | 419 | 8 | 5.4 | 42 |
| Byrum Brown | 68 | 269 | 3 | 4.0 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Atkins | 80 | 799 | 2 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Keshaun Singleton | 27 | 428 | 3 | 15.9 | 67 |
| Mike Brown-Stephens | 28 | 350 | 4 | 12.5 | 32 |
| Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr) | 21 | 254 | 0 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Tavin Ward | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Jamie Pettway | 56 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Decarius Hawthorne (Tr) | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Ricardo Watson | 36 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| De'Shawn Rucker (Tr) | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Knox | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |