South Florida at Army - 2026 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at Army Black Knights  Army logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Blaik Field at Michie Stadium - West Point, NY  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: South Florida -7.5  (SP+ USF -11)
Projected Score: USF: 32 - ARMY: 25 (57)
USF Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 1045 miles
Black Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (89 - 63)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 4.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
South Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida International-19
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Army-7.5
Sat 9/19 South Florida vs Delaware State-31
Sat 9/26 South Florida at Bowling Green-19.5
Sat 10/3 South Florida vs Temple-15
Thu 10/8 South Florida at UTSA-5
Sat 10/17 South Florida vs Kent State-27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 South Florida vs UAB-25.5
Fri 11/6 South Florida at East Carolina-2
Thu 11/12 South Florida vs Memphis-4.5
Sat 11/21 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs Tulane-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Army's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Army vs Bryant-21.5
Sat 9/12 Army vs South Florida+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Army at Temple-0
Sat 10/3 Army at Louisiana Tech-0.5
Sat 10/10 Army vs Tulane+1
Sat 10/17 Army vs Florida Atlantic-8.5
Fri 10/23 Army at Tulsa-1.5
Sat 10/31 Army at Memphis+10.5
Sat 11/7 Army vs Air Force-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Army vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/28 Army at Rice-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#12 (.31)46% (21)40.547% (26)3.33 (13)21246% (28)2764.45 (17)#20 (.07)38% (21)23.438% (14)38% (37)3.15 (28)611.51.9
ARMY#53 (.19)42% (70)23.843% (78)3.06 (48)25538% (107)813.7 (67)#75 (.18)44% (105)21.645% (96)45% (113)3.76 (74)21.90.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1340.53546.5%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31
ARMY Defense1321.624.244.4%3.761.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%45%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1323.432.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
ARMY Offense1323.825.642.2%3.70.819336255814.484%15%43%38%8%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Army1334:3518.841%70%2.621.90.81.23.41.1130.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)
ARMY Defense1354% (109)45% (96) - - - - .1 (69)3.13 (107)75% (94)8% (123)0.87 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
ARMY Offense1384% (1)43% (78)57.52554.431 (23).15 (50)3.06 (48)78% (26)7% (11)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)
ARMY Defense1345% (24)45% (113) - - - - - - 8 (75).29 (88)1.5 (37)29% (109)30% (72).24 (52)5% (99)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (37) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (67)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
ARMY Offense1315% (136)38% (107)5.29.780.88.315.56 (134)5 (20).47 (7)2.4 (1)27% (16)29% (80).25 (90)1% (1)1.7 (133)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 3.64  #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90  #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26  #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 3.64   Army: 0.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 11.6   Army: 0.8




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 0.31  #87
Army's Offense Rating: 12.14  #72
Army's Defense Rating: 22.32  #117
2026 Talent Rating: 84.00  #138
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Army's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 4.6
Army's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #74
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #85
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 32
Army 25

Projected Total Points: 57
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200410/16South Florida35Army42
200309/27Army0South Florida28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army100 Overs
South Florida100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams2 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#61) USF at (#87) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #61 #87
SP+SP+ #29 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #51 #138
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #103
South Florida Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #21 #105
ExplosiveExp #28 #11
PPAPPA #12 #75
PowerPwr #43 #117
SP+SP+ #12 #53
Pts POPPO #17 #74
HavocHav #45 #121
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #96
Run ExplRExp #60 #21
PPAExp #38 #69
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #13 #107
Stuff RateStuff #10 #111
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #113
Pass ExplPExl #14 #37
PPAExp #6 #88
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #123
DB HavocDB #81 #99
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #70 #21
ExplosiveExp #125 #107
PPAPPA #53 #20
PowerPwr #72 #78
SP+SP+ #85 #62
Pts POPPO #67 #28
HavocHav #1 #59
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #14
Run ExplRExp #70 #112
PPAExp #50 #22
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #48 #20
Stuff RateStuff #6 #17
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #37
Pass ExplPExl #1 #67
PPAExp #7 #33
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #42
DB HavocDB #1 #81
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)15124462%14971156.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)191929104.967
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)9436353.923
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
KJ Cooper (Tr)7224333.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)6258269.474
Mudia Reuben36495513.860
Armani Winfield (Tr)22276212.549
Arhmad Branch (Tr)14212215.149

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Tavin Ward602002
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Zavier Hamilton373000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)286240
Marshon Oxley (Tr)155211
Michael Williams II192110
Ryan Jenkins121100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Tavin Ward602002

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums478754%694438.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums3051215184.050
Briggs Bartosh4325415.975
Carson Smith5523124.211
Godspower Nwawuihe2019529.870
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson14381227.268
Samari Howard11133112.141
Parker Poloskey454113.526
Tobi Olawole32107.09

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaydan Mayes351013
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Stephen Nnadozie231001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Cael Newton41110
Sean Donovan61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxon Hammond90003
Jaydan Mayes351013
Cole Searight234201