South Florida at UCF - 2021 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Friday, November 26th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
UCF -17 (62.0)
UCF 17 - South Florida: 13  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Charlie Weis Jr. (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 9th straight game
USF is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ UCF -17)
Projected Score: USF: 29 - UCF: 28 (57)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
USF Travel: 91 miles
Knights (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 South Florida at NC State+20.058.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/11 South Florida vs Florida+29.057.0L 20 - 42OY
Sat 9/18 South Florida vs Florida A&M-22.550.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/25 South Florida at BYU+23.554.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 South Florida at SMU+21.568.5L 17 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 South Florida vs Tulsa+7.556.0L 31 - 32OY
Sat 10/23 South Florida vs Temple-1.554.5W 34 - 14UY
Thu 10/28 South Florida at East Carolina+9.555.5L 14 - 29UN
Sat 11/6 South Florida vs Houston+13.553.0L 42 - 54OY
Fri 11/12 South Florida vs Cincinnati+24.558.5L 28 - 45OY
Sat 11/20 South Florida at Tulane+5.559.5L 14 - 45UN
Fri 11/26 South Florida at UCF+17.062.0L 13 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UCF's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UCF vs Boise State-6.567.0W 36 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-46.067.0W 63 - 14OY
Fri 9/17 UCF at Louisville-7.067.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 UCF at Navy-15.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 UCF vs East Carolina-10.065.0W 20 - 16UN
Sat 10/16 UCF at Cincinnati+21.556.0L 21 - 56ON
Fri 10/22 UCF vs Memphis-1.563.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 UCF at Temple-12.052.0W 49 - 7OY
Sat 11/6 UCF vs Tulane-13.557.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 UCF at SMU+7.061.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 11/20 UCF vs UConn-30.056.0W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 UCF vs South Florida-17.062.0W 17 - 13UN
Thu 12/23 UCF vs Florida+7.056.0W 29 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.0840%40.540%2.8314941%2172.29.2247%23.446%48%4.2948.91.91.4
UCF.3349%24.352%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%23.646%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense940.53540.3%2.291.921365149217448%51%40%41%20%.08
UCF Defense1023.615.746.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense923.432.346.6%4.291.4 - - - - - 56%44%46%48%13%.22
UCF Offense1024.332.648.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida928:272131%29%5.348.91.91.44.80.8328.5
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense948%40%37.4148.8411.072.8372%14%0.93
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense956%46% - - - - .132.9479%8%0.95
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense951%41%20.834.7216.66.310.4126.091.434%25%.096%2
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense944%48% - - - - - - 10.341.629%34%.464%2.1
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #111
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #96
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    UCF: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -12.1   UCF: 4.8




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #62
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 29
UCF 28

Projected Total Points: 57
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF834 Overs
South Florida674 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) USF at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #62
Perf GradeGrade #114 #61
OffenseOff #111 #69
DefenseDef #118 #39
Spec TeamsST #29 #131
TalentTal #73 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #87 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #124 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #51 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #118
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRun #47 #117
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #135
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePass #88 #111
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #124
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
UCF -17.0 (62.0)
UCF won vs South Florida this year (17-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Glenn Spencer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC G. J. Kinne (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD