Florida International at South Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo   Florida International Golden Panthers at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL

 
Golden Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: South Florida -19  (SP+ USF -22)
Projected Score: FIU: 21 - USF: 40 (60)
USF Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
FIU Travel: 202 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Florida International's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida International at South Florida+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
South Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida International-19
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Army-7.5
Sat 9/19 South Florida vs Delaware State-31
Sat 9/26 South Florida at Bowling Green-19.5
Sat 10/3 South Florida vs Temple-15
Thu 10/8 South Florida at UTSA-5
Sat 10/17 South Florida vs Kent State-27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 South Florida vs UAB-25.5
Fri 11/6 South Florida at East Carolina-2
Thu 11/12 South Florida vs Memphis-4.5
Sat 11/21 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs Tulane-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#81 (.16)41% (93)28.539% (109)2.84 (83)18243% (54)2154.12 (35)#70 (.17)43% (83)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)55.51.61.6
USF#12 (.31)46% (21)40.547% (26)3.33 (13)21246% (28)2764.45 (17)#20 (.07)38% (21)23.438% (14)38% (37)3.15 (28)611.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1328.522.440.7%4.121.6213971822154.949%49%39%43%17%.16
USF Defense1323.414.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense133029.842.6%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.17
USF Offense1340.55146.5%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1331:3720.636%49%6.555.51.61.65.32.3130.1
South Florida1325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1349% (67)39% (109)37.3181.64.926 (49).15 (51)2.84 (83)74% (55)10% (74)1.19 (4)
USF Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (86)3.21 (119)75% (94)10% (70)0.94 (56)
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1349% (69)43% (54)19.833215.46.510.920 (134)13 (88).21 (89)1.4 (129)33% (90)27% (101).23 (95)7% (117)1.9 (93)
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (37) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (67)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1351% (104)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (78)1.6 (99)31% (72)28% (57).29 (66)7% (32)2.2 (120)
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -6.85  #95
Florida International's Offense Rating: 6.33  #106
Florida International's Defense Rating: 18.18  #82
2026 Talent Rating: 628.00  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
Florida International's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Florida International's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #74
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -6.85   South Florida: 10.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.5   South Florida: 11.6




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 10.12  #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90  #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26  #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 40
Florida International 21

Projected Total Points: 60
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200809/20Florida International9South Florida17
200609/09South Florida21Florida International20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida200 Overs
Florida International000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#95) FIU at (#61) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #95 #61
SP+SP+ #107 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #88 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #87
Florida International Notes
(2/10) QB JJ Khol (fmr top croot) was decent LY @ App
Florida International Injury Report
South Florida Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #93 #21
ExplosiveExp #36 #107
PPAPPA #81 #20
PowerPwr #106 #78
SP+SP+ #74 #62
Pts POPPO #35 #28
HavocHav #102 #59
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #109 #14
Run ExplRExp #4 #112
PPAExp #51 #22
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #83 #20
Stuff RateStuff #121 #17
TackleTak - NR
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #37
Pass ExplPExl #129 #67
PPAExp #89 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #42
DB HavocDB #117 #81
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffFIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #21 #83
ExplosiveExp #28 #78
PPAPPA #12 #70
PowerPwr #43 #82
SP+SP+ #12 #124
Pts POPPO #17 #67
HavocHav #45 #54
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffFIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #109
Run ExplRExp #60 #56
PPAExp #38 #86
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #13 #119
Stuff RateStuff #10 #115
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffFIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #62
Pass ExplPExl #14 #99
PPAExp #6 #78
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #70
DB HavocDB #81 #32
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
J.J. Kohl (Tr)13321662%14651226.8
Zach Marker3838%21002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Carrie10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
J.J. Kohl (Tr)305011.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Greg Gaines III (Tr)651018415.746
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Maguire Anderson25280111.246
JoJo Stone23272211.849

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor717122
Shamir Sterlin623014
Wesley Miller (Tr)532001
Percy Courtney Jr.387110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Dante Anderson145320
Nathan Jennings (Tr)132200
Brayshawn Littlejohn (Tr)325252
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamir Sterlin623014
Websley Etienne100003
Jai-Ayviauynn Celestine171003

USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)15124462%14971156.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)191929104.967
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)9436353.923
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
KJ Cooper (Tr)7224333.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)6258269.474
Mudia Reuben36495513.860
Armani Winfield (Tr)22276212.549
Arhmad Branch (Tr)14212215.149

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Tavin Ward602002
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Zavier Hamilton373000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)286240
Marshon Oxley (Tr)155211
Michael Williams II192110
Ryan Jenkins121100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Tavin Ward602002