Rice at South Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Rice -2.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 42 - Rice: 29  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 3rd straight Home Game
USF is playing their 4th straight game
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rice -1.5   (SP+ RICE -1)

Projected Score: RICE: 29 - USF: 28 (57)
RICE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rice's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Rice at Texas+35.559.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 Rice vs Houston+7.551.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 9/16 Rice vs Texas Southern-35.560.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Rice at South Florida-2.556.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Rice vs East Carolina-3.547.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/7 Rice vs UConn-10.047.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Rice at Tulsa+3.056.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Rice vs Tulane+10.055.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Rice vs SMU+12.059.5L 31 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Rice at UTSA+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Rice at Charlotte+0.546.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-5.046.5W 24 - 21UN
Tue 12/26 Rice vs Texas State+3.558.5L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
South Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Florida at Western Kentucky+13.571.5L 24 - 41UN
Sat 9/9 South Florida vs Florida A&M-20.063.0W 38 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 South Florida vs Alabama+34.061.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 South Florida vs Rice+2.556.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at Navy+4.054.0W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/7 South Florida at UAB-3.568.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-3.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 10/21 South Florida at UConn+1.057.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 South Florida at Memphis+13.568.5L 50 - 59OY
Sat 11/11 South Florida vs Temple-7.570.5W 27 - 23UN
Fri 11/17 South Florida at UTSA+14.565.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 South Florida vs Charlotte-7.556.5W 48 - 14OY
Thu 12/21 South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#52 (.22)44% (49)29.543% (70)3.01 (87)11045% (32)2524.81 (9)#63 (.17)41% (57)28.144% (83)39% (33)3.61 (52)49.420.9
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)31.939% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)32.240% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1329.524.643.7%4.812193631102523.741%58%43%45%17%.22
USF Defense1332.227.239.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1328.12641.2%3.610.9 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%12%.17
USF Offense1331.928.739.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1330:5918.838%67%5.849.420.93.81.3128.7
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1341% (120)43% (70)29.8110.53.721 (54).12 (86)3.01 (87)65% (118)10% (59)0.96 (89)
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1352% (93)44% (83) - - - - .19 (99)3.15 (80)73% (66)7% (125)1.01 (79)
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1358% (13)45% (32)20.633.2252.57.612.329 (18)16 (121).34 (45)1.6 (54)32% (74)32% (60).32 (71)7% (103)2.1 (47)
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1348% (42)39% (33) - - - - - - 5 (126).21 (34)1.6 (53)33% (49)29% (44).24 (34)5% (109)2 (53)
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: 1.12   South Florida: -5.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.3   South Florida: -9.5




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.08 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Rice 29
South Florida 28


Total Points: 57

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Rice35South Florida28RiceSouth Florida -5.5Rice53.5Over
202309/23South Florida42Rice29South FloridaRice -2.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida112 Overs
Rice110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

(#57) Rice Info
Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Rice has won 2 straight
Rice has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Highlights
Rice offense is good in red zone (#99)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice does not Sack the QB (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSFRICE
OverallOver#84#75
OffenseOff#91#86
DefenseDef#60#58
Special TeamsST#63#71
PassingPass#60#92
RushingRush#40#60
Run BlockRBLK#98#72
Pass BlockPBLK#81#110
Route RunningWR Rt#78#32
TacklingTkl#94#54
Run DefenseR Def#47#80
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#70
Coverage DefCov#83#37

Rematch from Week 4
Rice 2.5 (56.5)
South Florida won vs Rice this year (42-29)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat South Florida last year (35-28)
South Florida beat Rice in 2023 (42-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | USF
Depth Chart: RICE | USF
Rosters: RICE | USF
(#95) South Florida Info
Power Rating: -5.08 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10


South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

South Florida Highlights
South Florida is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Fumbles a Lot (#42)
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)


  
Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JT Daniels (Tr)18128763%24432178.5
AJ Padgett7111761%721866.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors12177176.457
Juma Otoviano9232643.524
Luke McCaffrey1511707.840
Ari Broussard299103.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke McCaffrey719921314.051
Dean Connors4340339.480
Boden Groen3938339.831
Landon Ransom-Goelz26380314.644

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myron Morrison683140
Plae Wyatt653125
Gabe Taylor461128
Chris Conti453110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chike Anigbogu183200
De'Braylon Carroll388250
Jonathan Jean344201
DJ Arkansas312220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Shon Devones382009
Gabe Taylor461128
Tyson Flowers232105

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown27642665%329226117.7
Bryce Archie (Tr)71547%53003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown203809114.060
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)18079784.447
Michel Dukes6335025.630
K'Wan Powell6121513.527
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins921054711.588
Naiem Simmons (Tr)39637516.353
Khafre Brown27435516.184
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)27350213.038

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Daquan Evans6414457
Jaelen Stokes615211
James Gordon Iv589442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daquan Evans6414457
James Gordon Iv589442
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Jonathan Ross477221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tavin Ward383008
Daquan Evans6414457
Jhalyn Shuler979235