Rice at South Florida Game Matchup

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Rice -2.5 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 42 - Rice: 29 (American Athletic)

Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF 3rd straight Home Game
USF is playing their 4th straight game
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rice -1.5 (SP+ RICE -1)
Projected Score: RICE: 28 - USF: 27 (55)
RICE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Rice at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	51.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Rice vs Texas Southern	-35.5	60.0	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rice at South Florida	-2.5	56.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Rice vs East Carolina	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Rice vs UConn	-10.0	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Rice at Tulsa	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Rice vs Tulane	+10.0	55.0	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Rice vs SMU	+12.0	59.5	L 31 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rice at UTSA	+13.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rice at Charlotte	+0.5	46.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-5.0	46.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Tue 12/26	Rice vs Texas State	+3.5	58.5	L 21 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	.16	42%	22.2	41%	2.99	141	44%	233	3.56	.32	44%	25.4	45%	44%	4.38	53.7	2.5	1.5
USF	.27	44%	32.2	46%	3.54	197	42%	193	4.12	.39	51%	29.8	52%	51%	4.56	36.9	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	13	22.2	12.5	41.9%	3.56	2.5	20	374	141	233	4	51%	47%	41%	44%	20%	.16
USF Defense	12	29.8	27.2	51.1%	4.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	52%	51%	14%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	13	25.4	29.7	44.1%	4.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	44%	15%	.32
USF Offense	12	32.2	33.6	44%	4.12	1.7	19	390	197	193	5.3	56%	43%	46%	42%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	13	32:49	20.1	42%	44%	6.1	53.7	2.5	1.5	4.1	1.5	1	28.1
South Florida	12	29:28	19.3	39%	45%	4.6	36.9	1.7	1.7	5.2	1.2	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	13	51%	41%	35.4	141.4	4	17	.15	2.99	83%	11%	1.01
USF Defense	12	54%	52%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.52	70%	10%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.47	67%	9%	1.22
USF Offense	12	56%	46%	36.8	196.8	5.3	25	.33	3.54	79%	11%	1.2

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	13	47%	44%	17.9	31	232.8	7.5	13	23	20	.23	1.6	33%	32%	.28	9%	2
USF Defense	12	45%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.43	1.5	26%	38%	.5	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	13	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.41	1.8	31%	33%	.43	6%	2.3
USF Offense	12	43%	42%	15.7	27.2	192.9	7.1	12.3	18	9	.24	1.6	31%	28%	.33	5%	2.3

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: 1.12 South Florida: -5.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.3 South Florida: -9.5

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.08 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Rice 28
South Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 55

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Rice	35	South Florida	28	Rice	South Florida -5.5	Rice	53.5	Over
2023	09/23	South Florida	42	Rice	29	South Florida	Rice -2.5	South Florida	56.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	1	1	2 Overs
Rice	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0

(#57) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.12 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Rice Ratings Matchup South Florida

Power #57

#95

Off #29

#94

Def #76

#92

Talent #89

#97

SP+ #95

#102

SP+ Off #63

#61

SP+ Def #106

#123

Rematch from Week 4
Rice 2.5 (56.5)
South Florida won vs Rice this year (42-29)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat South Florida last year (35-28)
South Florida beat Rice in 2023 (42-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | USF
Depth Chart: RICE | USF
Rosters: RICE | USF

(#95) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.08 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Christian Francisco	19	78	4.1	14
Kobie Campbell	1	40	40.0	40
Matt Sykes (Tr)	2	-4	-2.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Sykes (Tr)	65	795	5	12.2	37
Kobie Campbell	32	372	1	11.6	33
Elijah Mojarro	22	215	3	9.8	41
Boden Groen	12	94	0	7.8	21

View Rice's Full Roster

Rice's DC Brian Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Myron Morrison	29	6	2	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Michael Larbie	9	4	2	4	0
Myron Morrison	29	6	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Chike Anigbogu	10	3	1	2	2

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8
Sean Atkins	1	3	33%	12	1	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.	121	799	12	6.6	54
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	109	510	8	4.7	64
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Yasias Young	16	56	0	3.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	80	799	2	10.0	52
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	28	350	4	12.5	32
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	22	149	0	6.8	44

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
James Gordon Iv	29	1	1	2	0
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2	0
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Logan Berryhill	18	1	0	0	1