South Florida at Tulsa - 2022 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Friday, November 18th 2022 (9:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -14 (57.5)
Tulsa 48 - South Florida: 42 (American Athletic)

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ TLSA -11)
Projected Score: USF: 33 - TLSA: 26 (59)
TLSA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 967 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Tulsa at Wyoming	-6.5	47.0	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/10	Tulsa vs Northern Illinois	-6.5	63.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/17	Tulsa vs Jacksonville State	-12.0	64.0	W 54 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Tulsa at Ole Miss	+21.0	66.5	L 27 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Tulsa vs Cincinnati	+10.0	59.0	L 21 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Tulsa at Navy	-4.5	45.5	L 21 - 53	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	Tulsa at Temple	-13.5	53.5	W 27 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Tulsa vs SMU	+1.0	63.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/5	Tulsa vs Tulane	+6.5	56.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Thu 11/10	Tulsa at Memphis	+7.0	62.0	L 10 - 26	U	N
Fri 11/18	Tulsa vs South Florida	-14.0	57.5	W 48 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/26	Tulsa at Houston	+13.0	66.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5
TLSA	.14	43%	23.2	42%	2.91	192	44%	250	3.51	.17	41%	28.9	44%	39%	3.75	71.5	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15
TLSA Defense	13	28.9	27.2	41.2%	3.75	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	20%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33
TLSA Offense	13	23.2	27.3	42.9%	3.51	1.8	23	442	192	250	4.6	54%	46%	42%	44%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9
Tulsa	13	30:51	22.6	39%	47%	7.5	71.5	1.8	1.4	5.6	1.9	2	27.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97
TLSA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.89	72%	12%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17
TLSA Offense	13	54%	42%	42.2	192	4.6	20	.08	2.91	62%	12%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9
TLSA Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	31%	.37	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9
TLSA Offense	13	46%	44%	18.7	31.5	250.3	7.9	13.4	18	16	.22	1.5	29%	32%	.25	9%	1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Tulsa: -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -17.0 Tulsa: -6.1

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -0.55 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 33
Tulsa 26

Projected Total Points: 59

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	South Florida	63	Tulsa	30	South Florida -17.5	South Florida	60.0	Over
2022	11/18	Tulsa	48	South Florida	42	Tulsa -14	South Florida	57.5	Over
2021	10/16	South Florida	31	Tulsa	32	Tulsa -7.5	South Florida	56.0	Over
2020	10/23	South Florida	13	Tulsa	42	Tulsa -11.5	Tulsa	51.5	Over
2018	10/12	Tulsa	24	South Florida	25	South Florida -10	Tulsa	60.5	Under
2017	11/16	South Florida	27	Tulsa	20	South Florida -23.5	Tulsa	65.5	Under
2014	10/18	Tulsa	30	South Florida	38	South Florida -2	South Florida	51.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	3	3	5 Overs
South Florida	4	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 3	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1

(#) USF at (#) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	TLSA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#88
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#88
OffenseOff	#66	#78
DefenseDef	#134	#88
Spec TeamsST	#34	#99
TalentTal	#69	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Tulsa Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	TLSA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#38	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#121

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#123
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#77	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#105	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Tulsa -14.0 (57.5)
Tulsa won vs South Florida this year (48-42)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Tulsa in 2024 (63-30)

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD