South Carolina State at South Florida - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina State logo South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -36.0 (56.5) (0)  Open: -33.5 | 56.0
South Florida 63 - South Carolina State: 14

 
Bulldogs (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 51 (12 - 51 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SCST coming off BYE
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -19  (SP+ USF -15)
USF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
Bulls (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 3.1 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
South Carolina State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Carolina State at South Carolina+43.054.0L 10 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 South Carolina State at South Florida+36.056.5L 14 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina State's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-36.056.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-28.554.5W 54 - 26ON
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+2.568.5W 63 - 36OY
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-20.572.5W 48 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis-3.558.5L 31 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-14.066.5W 55 - 23OY
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-8.562.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-21.568.5W 48 - 18UY
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-28.557.5W 52 - 3UY
Wed 12/17 South Florida vs Old Dominion-4.052.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SCST0%120%000%000%50.50%0%0000
USF#15 (.31)46% (27)40.547% (28)3.33 (14)21246% (28)2764.45 (21)#25 (.07)38% (24)23.438% (17)38% (40)3.15 (29)611.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SCST Offense212120%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USF Defense1323.414.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SCST Defense250.550.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USF Offense1340.55146.4%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
South Florida1325:2423.846%59%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SCST Offense20%0%000000%0%0
USF Defense1348% (46)38% (17) - - - - .02 (23)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (43)1.06 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SCST Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (28)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (39)3.33 (14)81% (10)8% (25)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SCST Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (37)1.6 (68)37% (8)27% (38).23 (44)6% (81)2 (53)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SCST Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.831.2275.68.813.333 (8)11 (60).48 (8)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (23)6% (81)2.3 (5)

South Carolina State's Power Ratings
South Carolina State's Power Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Carolina State's 2025 Expected Record: -
South Carolina State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina State:    South Florida: 18.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina State:    South Florida: 14.6




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 18.925  #23
South Florida's Offense Rating: 22.95  #12
South Florida's Defense Rating: 4.70  #44
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 3.1
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.6  #23
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #10
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Carolina State Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 50.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 50.5

South Carolina State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
South Carolina State 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 34
South Carolina State 14

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 48
South Carolina State 16

Total Points: 64
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20South Florida63South Carolina State14South Florida -36.0South Florida56.5Over
201909/14South Florida55South Carolina State16South Florida -25South Florida49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida222 Overs
South Carolina State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) SCST at (#23) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCSTUSF
Power RatePwrNR #23
SP+SP+NR #23
Perf GradeGradeNR #29
OffenseOffNR #15
DefenseDefNR #61
Spec TeamsSTNR #75
TalentTalNR #30
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
South Florida Notes
(12/16) Hiring Tim Beck as OC for reasons unknown.
(12/3) Hiring OSU OC Brian Hartline, Golesh left for Auburn
(10/10) Mauled N Texas, over 600 yds offense, 300 rushing
(10/4) Still running QB Brown 17 times in Char blowout?
(8/29) QB Brown great vs Boise, tough runner. Big W
(8/28) LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
(7/12) Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
(6/2) RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
South Florida Injury Report
South Carolina State on Offense
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Perf GradePerfNR #61
SuccessSucNR #24
ExplosiveExpNR #107
PPAPPANR #25
PowerPwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #58
Pts POPPONR #29
HavocHavNR #58
South Carolina State Run Game
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNR #74
Run SuccessRSucNR #17
Run ExplRExpNR #113
PPAExpNR #23
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #20
Stuff RateStuffNR #16
TackleTak -  #130
South Carolina State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNR #70
Pass SuccessPSucNR #40
Pass ExplPExlNR #68
PPAExpNR #37
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #18
F7 HavocF7NR #43
DB HavocDBNR #81
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffSCST Def
Perf GradePerf #15NR
SuccessSuc #27NR
ExplosiveExp #28NR
PPAPPA #15NR
PowerPwr #12NR
SP+SP+ #10NR
Pts POPPO #21NR
HavocHav #44NR
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffSCST Def
Run GameRun #19NR
Run SuccessRSuc #28NR
Run ExplRExp #60NR
PPAExp #39NR
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14NR
Stuff RateStuff #11NR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffSCST Def
Pass GamePass #9NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28NR
Pass ExplPExl #14NR
PPAExp #8NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15NR
F7 HavocF7 #25NR
DB HavocDB #81NR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

SCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
South Florida -36.0 (56.5)
South Florida won vs South Carolina State this year (63-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Atkins16926963%23191648.6
Ryan Stubblefield9917557%1290747.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler J. Smith11251264.655
Josh Shaw4325535.941
KZ Adams7424313.314
Ryan Stubblefield5815962.724
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Smith59900815.375
Jalen Johnson52622212.037
Deyandre Ruffin38446211.730
Nigel Johnson11295326.867

View South Carolina State's Full Roster

SCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarod Washington160002
Brenyen Scott151000
Michael Lunz (Tr)114130
Sharmari Reed101001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shon Brown52120
Michael Lunz (Tr)114130
Demario Bookhart40000
Nigel Johnson10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarod Washington160002
Sharmari Reed101001
Charles Arnold Jr.81001

USF's OC Joel Gordon (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown22634166%31582879.3
Gaston Moore (Tr)344871%290226.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown1751008145.860
Nykahi Davenport9861276.260
Sam Franklin (Tr)8047445.973
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton50877817.566
Jeremiah Koger38597815.763
Mudia Reuben (Tr)36495513.860
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Todd Orlando (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
Mac Harris1038672
Tavin Ward602002
De'Shawn Rucker582004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris1038672
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Ricardo Watson497351
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler1059368
De'Shawn Rucker582004
Jonas Duclona (Tr)353104