South Carolina State at South Florida - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina State logo South Carolina State Bulldogs at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -36.0 (56.5) (0)  Open: -33.5 | 56.0
South Florida 63 - South Carolina State: 14

 
Bulldogs (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 12 - 51 (12 - 51 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SCST coming off BYE
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -16.5  (SP+ USF -10)
USF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
Bulls (7 - 2) (6 - 3 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (51 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
South Carolina State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Carolina State at South Carolina+43.054.0L 10 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 South Carolina State at South Florida+36.056.5L 14 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina State's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-36.056.5W 63 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-28.554.5W 54 - 26ON
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+2.568.5W 63 - 36OY
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-20.572.5W 48 - 13UY
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis-3.558.5L 31 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-14.066.5W 55 - 23OY
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-9
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-25.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SCST0%120%000%000%50.50%0%0000
USF#24 (.28)45% (36)4246% (43)3.35 (14)20144% (54)2324.42 (32)#19 (.04)39% (33)24.239% (32)39% (47)3.65 (65)56.31.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SCST Offense212120%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USF Defense924.216.638.8%3.651.9 - - - - - 41%58%39%39%17%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SCST Defense250.550.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USF Offense94250.845.2%4.421.2214332012325.751%48%46%44%14%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
South Florida922:5221.448%60%5.956.31.21.962.1230.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SCST Offense20%0%000000%0%0
USF Defense941% (3)39% (32) - - - - -.11 (4)2.55 (47)75% (93)11% (32)0.81 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SCST Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USF Offense951% (58)46% (43)35.3200.75.719 (30).2 (28)3.35 (14)80% (16)7% (16)1.05 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SCST Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
USF Defense958% (134)39% (47) - - - - - - 10 (6).2 (55)1.5 (64)36% (13)27% (41).19 (31)6% (73)1.7 (12)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SCST Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USF Offense948% (77)44% (54)18.429232.4812.619 (8)6 (60).36 (33)1.6 (52)30% (44)28% (87).4 (40)6% (89)2.3 (9)

South Carolina State's Power Ratings
South Carolina State's Power Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Carolina State's 2025 Expected Record: -
South Carolina State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Carolina State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina State:    South Florida: 16.275

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina State:    South Florida: 9.9




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 16.275  #27
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.13  #24
South Florida's Defense Rating: 1.48  #34
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #37
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #63

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Carolina State Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 50.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 50.5

South Carolina State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 36
South Carolina State 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 35
South Carolina State 14

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 48
South Carolina State 16

Total Points: 64
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 50.8
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20South Florida63South Carolina State14South Florida -36.0South Florida56.5Over
201909/14South Florida55South Carolina State16South Florida -25South Florida49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida222 Overs
South Carolina State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) SCST at (#27) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCSTUSF
Power RatePwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #37
Perf GradeGradeNR #59
OffenseOffNR #40
DefenseDefNR #92
Spec TeamsSTNR #71
TalentTalNR #30
Blue ChipsBC%NR #79
South Florida Notes
(10/10) Mauled N Texas, over 600 yds offense, 300 rushing
(10/4) Still running QB Brown 17 times in Char blowout?
(8/29) QB Brown great vs Boise, tough runner. Big W
(8/28) LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
(7/12) Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
(6/2) RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
South Florida Injury Report
South Carolina State on Offense
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Perf GradePerfNR #92
SuccessSucNR #33
ExplosiveExpNR #57
PPAPPANR #19
PowerPwrNR #34
SP+SP+NR #63
Pts POPPONR #65
HavocHavNR #41
South Carolina State Run Game
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNR #94
Run SuccessRSucNR #32
Run ExplRExpNR #10
PPAExpNR #4
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #47
Stuff RateStuffNR #8
TackleTak -  #134
South Carolina State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SCST OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNR #85
Pass SuccessPSucNR #47
Pass ExplPExlNR #64
PPAExpNR #55
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #48
F7 HavocF7NR #32
DB HavocDBNR #73
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffSCST Def
Perf GradePerf #40NR
SuccessSuc #36NR
ExplosiveExp #38NR
PPAPPA #24NR
PowerPwr #24NR
SP+SP+ #22NR
Pts POPPO #32NR
HavocHav #43NR
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffSCST Def
Run GameRun #35NR
Run SuccessRSuc #43NR
Run ExplRExp #32NR
PPAExp #28NR
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #14NR
Stuff RateStuff #5NR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffSCST Def
Pass GamePass #14NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #54NR
Pass ExplPExl #52NR
PPAExp #33NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24NR
F7 HavocF7 #16NR
DB HavocDB #89NR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

SCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 89° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
South Florida -36.0 (56.5)
South Florida won vs South Carolina State this year (63-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Atkins12420062%17111138.6
Ryan Stubblefield8414658%1056537.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler J. Smith9144154.855
KZ Adams5819513.414
Ryan Stubblefield4614343.124
Jordan Smith1410117.218
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Smith39623416.075
Jalen Johnson44550212.537
Deyandre Ruffin34384111.330
Nicholas Sowell17185110.926

View South Carolina State's Full Roster

SCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarod Washington130001
Sharmari Reed91000
Michael Lunz (Tr)82120
Zanjerry Dunham70010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shon Brown31110
Michael Lunz (Tr)82120
Jarod Washington130001
Marcus Samuels10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarod Washington130001
Charles Arnold Jr.21001
Shon Brown31110

USF's OC Joel Gordon (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown16826065%22031968.5
Gaston Moore (Tr)121675%48003.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown12970595.544
Nykahi Davenport5639757.160
Sam Franklin (Tr)5537446.873
Alvon Isaac5125004.949
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton33573517.466
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355
Jeremiah Koger19355518.763
Christian Neptune2822818.132

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Todd Orlando (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris758660
Jhalyn Shuler697237
Tavin Ward521002
De'Shawn Rucker412002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris758660
Jarvis Lee Jr.4111341
Jacob Merrifield (Tr)163201
Ricardo Watson315231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler697237
James Chenault321004
Jonas Duclona (Tr)212103