South Florida at Florida Atlantic Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Friday, November 1st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -1.5 (48.0) (-120)  Open: -2.5
South Florida 44 - Florida Atlantic: 21  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
USF coming off BYE
FAU coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -11   (SP+ USF -10.5)

Projected Score: USF: 33 - FAU: 22 (59)
USF Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 184 miles
Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman-22.5
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Michigan State+12.045.0L 10 - 16UY
Sat 9/7 Florida Atlantic vs Army-1.542.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Florida Atlantic at UConn+1.046.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/28 Florida Atlantic vs Wagner-34.552.5W 41 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Florida Atlantic vs North Texas+5.558.5L 37 - 41OY
Sat 10/19 Florida Atlantic at UTSA+4.052.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 Florida Atlantic vs South Florida+1.548.0L 21 - 44ON
Thu 11/7 Florida Atlantic at East Carolina+5.558.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Florida Atlantic at Temple+2.050.0L 15 - 18UN
Sat 11/23 Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte+3.049.5L 27 - 39ON
Sat 11/30 Florida Atlantic at Tulsa-2.557.5W 63 - 16OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)32.239% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)29.840% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
FAU#108 (.12)39% (107)25.943% (73)3.33 (26)11537% (104)2163.72 (83)#77 (.19)43% (85)30.341% (51)46% (122)3.44 (39)33.31.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.339.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17
FAU Defense1230.329.743.2%3.441.5 - - - - - 51%48%41%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
FAU Offense1225.928.539.1%3.721.4183311152163.843%55%43%37%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Florida Atlantic1227:2417.934%38%3.433.31.41.56.92.3331.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)
FAU Defense1251% (84)41% (51) - - - - .08 (30)3.26 (102)76% (92)11% (52)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
FAU Offense1243% (109)43% (73)30.8115.33.816 (89).16 (67)3.33 (26)72% (85)12% (113)1.01 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)
FAU Defense1248% (49)46% (122) - - - - - - 10 (67).36 (111)1.6 (57)34% (42)32% (97).34 (81)4% (125)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
FAU Offense1255% (27)37% (104)22.134.3215.56.39.819 (78)15 (116).16 (105)1.5 (106)34% (110)24% (125).11 (125)8% (125)2 (102)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21   Florida Atlantic: -11.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3   Florida Atlantic: -12.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 33
Florida Atlantic 22


Projected Total Points: 59
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/01Florida Atlantic21South Florida44South FloridaSouth Florida -1.5South Florida48.0Over
202310/14South Florida14Florida Atlantic56Florida AtlanticSouth Florida -3Florida Atlantic61.0Over
201309/14South Florida10Florida Atlantic28Florida AtlanticSouth Florida -10.5Florida Atlantic0
201010/02South Florida31Florida Atlantic3South Florida
200710/06Florida Atlantic23South Florida35South Florida
200208/29South Florida51Florida Atlantic10South Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic222 Overs
South Florida410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 23 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#62) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Florida Atlantic
Power #62
#114
Off #72
#109
Def #48
#82
Talent #102
#90
SP+ #79
#113
SP+ Off #51
#109
SP+ Def #108
#104

Rematch from Week 10
South Florida 1.5 (48.0)
South Florida won at Florida Atlantic this year (44-21)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Florida Atlantic last year (44-21)
Florida Atlantic beat South Florida in 2023 (56-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USF | FAU
Depth Chart: USF | FAU
Rosters: USF | FAU
(#114) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Alvon Isaac65018.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr)21254012.151
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Payten Singletary (Tr)17197211.634

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Tawfiq Byard548200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Decarius Hawthorne (Tr)3910332
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
De'Shawn Rucker (Tr)412007
Ben Knox221106

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)397353%416235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Campbell165860115.258
Zuberi Mobley9147145.272
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Xavier Terrell14261318.693
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes39590315.171
CJ Campbell40466311.778
Jabari Smith17296317.476
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)1716909.922

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard741001
Jackson Ambush686202
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Kahzir Brown (Tr)422017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Merrifield154320
Jackson Ambush686202
Devonta Davis (Tr)296210
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)214240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)422017
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Wendol Philord416104