South Florida Bulls at Charlotte 49ers
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5) (-120) Open: -2.5
South Florida 59 - Charlotte: 24 (American Athletic)
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -10.5 (SP+ USF -13)
Projected Score: USF: 34 - CHAR: 24 (58)
CHAR Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 517 miles
Our Line: South Florida -10.5 (SP+ USF -13)
Projected Score: USF: 34 - CHAR: 24 (58)
CHAR Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 517 miles
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| South Florida's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman | -22.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | South Florida at Alabama | +33.5 | 65.5 | L 16 - 42 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | South Florida at Southern Miss | -13.0 | 58.5 | W 49 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | South Florida vs Miami | +17.0 | 64.5 | L 15 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | South Florida at Tulane | +4.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | South Florida vs Memphis | +10.0 | 61.0 | L 3 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | South Florida vs UAB | -14.0 | 55.5 | W 35 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/1 | South Florida at Florida Atlantic | -1.5 | 48.0 | W 44 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | South Florida vs Navy | +4.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | South Florida at Charlotte | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 59 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | South Florida vs Tulsa | -17.5 | 60.0 | W 63 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | South Florida at Rice | -5.5 | 53.5 | L 28 - 35 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/24 | South Florida vs San José State | -1.5 | 66.5 | W 41 - 39 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Charlotte's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Charlotte vs James Madison | +6.5 | 47.5 | L 7 - 30 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Charlotte at North Carolina | +21.5 | 47.5 | L 20 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb | -14.0 | 46.5 | W 27 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Charlotte at Indiana | +28.5 | 50.0 | L 14 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Charlotte at Rice | +4.0 | 48.0 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Charlotte vs East Carolina | +9.5 | 47.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Charlotte at Navy | +16.5 | 57.5 | L 17 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Charlotte at Memphis | +17.0 | 56.5 | L 28 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/31 | Charlotte vs Tulane | +14.5 | 55.5 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Charlotte vs South Florida | -1.5 | 53.5 | L 24 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Charlotte at Florida Atlantic | -3.0 | 49.5 | W 39 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Charlotte vs UAB | -1.5 | 59.5 | W 29 - 27 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 32.2 | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 29.8 | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| CHAR | #116 (.1) | 37% (122) | 23.7 | 39% (110) | 2.75 (113) | 119 | 35% (120) | 224 | 3.9 (70) | #113 (.25) | 45% (107) | 35.1 | 48% (111) | 42% (83) | 3.87 (81) | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | ||
| CHAR | #116 (.1) | 37% (122) | 39% (110) | 2.75 (113) | 119 | 35% (120) | 224 | 3.9 (70) | #113 (.25) | 45% (107) | 48% (111) | 42% (83) | 3.87 (81) | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 32.2 | 34.3 | 38.3% | 3.88 | 1.4 | 20 | 408 | 181 | 227 | 4.8 | 48% | 52% | 39% | 38% | 15% | .17 |
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 35.1 | 33.3 | 45.3% | 3.87 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 48% | 42% | 15% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 29.8 | 31.8 | 39.2% | 4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 38% | 40% | 20% | .16 |
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 23.7 | 24.2 | 37.1% | 3.9 | 1.8 | 17 | 343 | 119 | 224 | 3.7 | 47% | 52% | 39% | 35% | 17% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 13 | 25:10 | 20.4 | 39% | 56% | 8.1 | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
| Charlotte | 12 | 28:37 | 17.3 | 30% | 42% | 7.8 | 65.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1 | 26.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 48% (82) | 39% (112) | 37.8 | 180.8 | 4.8 | 34 (10) | .2 (32) | 3.06 (60) | 66% (114) | 10% (62) | 1.26 (3) |
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 56% (118) | 48% (111) | - | - | - | - | .19 (104) | 3.27 (106) | 68% (35) | 8% (114) | 0.96 (57) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 49% (46) | 38% (17) | - | - | - | - | .04 (26) | 2.63 (18) | 70% (48) | 13% (11) | 1.13 (121) |
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 47% (88) | 39% (110) | 32.3 | 118.7 | 3.7 | 16 (90) | .09 (93) | 2.75 (113) | 68% (105) | 11% (106) | 1.1 (24) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 52% (51) | 38% (106) | 20.2 | 34.1 | 227.5 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .13 (113) | 1.5 (109) | 34% (114) | 25% (121) | .22 (105) | 6% (68) | 2.2 (21) |
| CHAR Defense | 12 | 44% (18) | 42% (83) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .34 (112) | 1.8 (122) | 31% (92) | 33% (107) | .57 (132) | 6% (51) | 2.4 (133) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 51% (91) | 40% (69) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .28 (89) | 1.6 (78) | 34% (32) | 32% (87) | .3 (64) | 7% (46) | 1.9 (32) |
| CHAR Offense | 12 | 52% (46) | 35% (120) | 14.8 | 29.4 | 224.1 | 7.6 | 15.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .12 (120) | 1.9 (6) | 35% (123) | 29% (96) | .23 (103) | 6% (57) | 2.3 (3) |
South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21 Charlotte: -11.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3 Charlotte: -15.3
South Florida: 0.21 Charlotte: -11.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3 Charlotte: -15.3
Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
Charlotte 24
Total Points: 58
South Florida 34
Charlotte 24
Total Points: 58
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3
Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3
Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Charlotte | 24 | South Florida | 59 | South Florida | Charlotte -1.5 | South Florida | 53.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | South Florida | 48 | Charlotte | 14 | South Florida | South Florida -7.5 | South Florida | 56.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 0 | 0 | 2 Overs |
| South Florida | 2 | 2 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#62) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CHAR | USF |
| OverallOver | #86 | #72 |
| OffenseOff | #82 | #96 |
| DefenseDef | #104 | #45 |
| Special TeamsST | #111 | #77 |
| PassingPass | #110 | #91 |
| RushingRush | #54 | #48 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #63 | #99 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #32 | #82 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #36 | #89 |
| TacklingTkl | #50 | #73 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #106 | #39 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #98 | #29 |
| Coverage DefCov | #79 | #65 |
Rematch from Week 12
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5)
South Florida won at Charlotte this year (59-24)
Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Charlotte last year (59-24)
South Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (48-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: USF | CHAR
Depth Chart: USF | CHAR
Rosters: USF | CHAR
(#108) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Charlotte has lost 3 straight
Charlotte has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Charlotte has lost 3 straight
Charlotte has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)
Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Archie | 172 | 290 | 59% | 1914 | 9 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Byrum Brown | 78 | 132 | 59% | 836 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Joiner Jr. | 121 | 799 | 12 | 6.6 | 54 |
| Nay'Quan Wright | 109 | 510 | 8 | 4.7 | 64 |
| Taron Keith | 78 | 419 | 8 | 5.4 | 42 |
| Byrum Brown | 68 | 269 | 3 | 4.0 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Atkins | 80 | 799 | 2 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Keshaun Singleton | 27 | 428 | 3 | 15.9 | 67 |
| Mike Brown-Stephens | 28 | 350 | 4 | 12.5 | 32 |
| Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr) | 21 | 254 | 0 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Tavin Ward | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Jamie Pettway | 56 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Decarius Hawthorne (Tr) | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Ricardo Watson | 36 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| De'Shawn Rucker (Tr) | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Knox | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshawn Purdie | 100 | 200 | 50% | 1802 | 10 | 6 | 9.0 |
| Max Brown (Tr) | 43 | 93 | 46% | 561 | 3 | 6 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hahsaun Wilson | 91 | 559 | 7 | 6.1 | 65 |
| Cartevious Norton (Tr) | 129 | 525 | 7 | 4.1 | 62 |
| Terron Kellman | 48 | 242 | 0 | 5.0 | 41 |
| Max Brown (Tr) | 33 | 85 | 0 | 2.6 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Mega Blake (Tr) | 32 | 795 | 9 | 24.8 | 75 |
| Sean Brown | 35 | 470 | 1 | 13.4 | 42 |
| Jairus Mack | 19 | 418 | 0 | 22.0 | 59 |
| Isaiah Myers | 13 | 237 | 3 | 18.2 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Williford | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Cam Burden | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Dontae Balfour | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali | 45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantz Williams (Tr) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Reid Williford | 74 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Demon Clowney | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mordecai McDaniel | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontae Balfour | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali | 45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| Chantz Williams (Tr) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 |