South Florida at Charlotte - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#24)South Florida Bulls at Charlotte 49ers

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5) (-120) Open: -2.5
South Florida 59 - Charlotte: 24 (American Athletic)

Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -10.5 (SP+ USF -13)
Projected Score: USF: 33 - CHAR: 23 (56)
CHAR Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 517 miles

49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman	-22.5
Sat 9/7	South Florida at Alabama	+33.5	65.5	L 16 - 42	U	Y
Sat 9/14	South Florida at Southern Miss	-13.0	58.5	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/21	South Florida vs Miami	+17.0	64.5	L 15 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/28	South Florida at Tulane	+4.0	60.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	South Florida vs Memphis	+10.0	61.0	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/19	South Florida vs UAB	-14.0	55.5	W 35 - 25	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1	South Florida at Florida Atlantic	-1.5	48.0	W 44 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	South Florida vs Navy	+4.5	59.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	South Florida at Charlotte	+1.5	53.5	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/23	South Florida vs Tulsa	-17.5	60.0	W 63 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	South Florida at Rice	-5.5	53.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 12/24	South Florida vs San José State	-1.5	66.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Charlotte vs James Madison	+6.5	47.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/7	Charlotte at North Carolina	+21.5	47.5	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-14.0	46.5	W 27 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/21	Charlotte at Indiana	+28.5	50.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Charlotte at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Charlotte vs East Carolina	+9.5	47.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Charlotte at Navy	+16.5	57.5	L 17 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/26	Charlotte at Memphis	+17.0	56.5	L 28 - 33	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Charlotte vs Tulane	+14.5	55.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Charlotte vs South Florida	-1.5	53.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/23	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	49.5	W 39 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Charlotte vs UAB	-1.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)	32.2	39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)	29.8	38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)	23.7	39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)	35.1	48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	13	32.2	34.3	38.3%	3.88	1.4	20	408	181	227	4.8	48%	52%	39%	38%	15%	.17
CHAR Defense	12	35.1	33.3	45.3%	3.87	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	42%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	13	29.8	31.8	39.2%	4	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	38%	40%	20%	.16
CHAR Offense	12	23.7	24.2	37.1%	3.9	1.8	17	343	119	224	3.7	47%	52%	39%	35%	17%	.1

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	13	25:10	20.4	39%	56%	8.1	70.9	1.4	2.1	8.1	2.5	2	30.7
Charlotte	12	28:37	17.3	30%	42%	7.8	65.3	1.8	1	4.9	1.2	1	26.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	13	48% (82)	39% (112)	37.8	180.8	4.8	34 (10)	.2 (32)	3.06 (60)	66% (114)	10% (62)	1.26 (3)
CHAR Defense	12	56% (118)	48% (111)	-	-	-	-	.19 (104)	3.27 (106)	68% (35)	8% (114)	0.96 (57)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	13	49% (46)	38% (17)	-	-	-	-	.04 (26)	2.63 (18)	70% (48)	13% (11)	1.13 (121)
CHAR Offense	12	47% (88)	39% (110)	32.3	118.7	3.7	16 (90)	.09 (93)	2.75 (113)	68% (105)	11% (106)	1.1 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	13	52% (51)	38% (106)	20.2	34.1	227.5	6.7	11.3	16 (87)	10 (63)	.13 (113)	1.5 (109)	34% (114)	25% (121)	.22 (105)	6% (68)	2.2 (21)
CHAR Defense	12	44% (18)	42% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (112)	1.8 (122)	31% (92)	33% (107)	.57 (132)	6% (51)	2.4 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.28 (89)	1.6 (78)	34% (32)	32% (87)	.3 (64)	7% (46)	1.9 (32)
CHAR Offense	12	52% (46)	35% (120)	14.8	29.4	224.1	7.6	15.2	16 (87)	14 (115)	.12 (120)	1.9 (6)	35% (123)	29% (96)	.23 (103)	6% (57)	2.3 (3)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21 Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3 Charlotte: -15.3

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 33
Charlotte 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 33
Charlotte 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 34
Charlotte 28

Total Points: 62

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/03	South Florida	54	Charlotte	26	South Florida -28.5	Charlotte	54.5	Over
2024	11/16	Charlotte	24	South Florida	59	Charlotte -1.5	South Florida	53.5	Over
2023	11/25	South Florida	48	Charlotte	14	South Florida -7.5	South Florida	56.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	0	1	3 Overs
South Florida	3	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#62) USF at (#108) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	CHAR
Power RatePwr	#62	#108
SP+SP+	#79	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#119
OffenseOff	#120	#103
DefenseDef	#61	#125
Spec TeamsST	#92	#134
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#53

South Florida Notes(11/18) Rgame mailed Char. 425 yds, 8.9 ypc. Def avg
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
(9/8) Hung in w/ Bama. 200 yds rushing. QB Brown ??
South Florida Injury Report

Charlotte Notes(12/8) Hired HC Albin (Ohio HC, 33-19 in 4 yrs)
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
(9/1) Kinda even vs JMU (L) but 3 TO's 7-19 3rd down
Charlotte Injury Report

South Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USF Off	CHAR Def
Perf GradePerf	#120	#125
SuccessSuc	#118	#107
ExplosiveExp	#10	#85
PPAPPA	#83	#113
PowerPwr	#72	#110
SP+SP+	#51	#124
Pts POPPO	#74	#81
HavocHav	#57	#87

South Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USF Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#67	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	#112	#111
Run ExplRExp	#3	#57
PPAExp	#32	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	#60	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#100
TackleTak	-	#55

South Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USF Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#106	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#122
PPAExp	#113	#112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#97	#115
F7 HavocF7	#62	#114
DB HavocDB	#68	#51

Charlotte on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USF Def
Perf GradePerf	#103	#61
SuccessSuc	#122	#36
ExplosiveExp	#2	#115
PPAPPA	#116	#66
PowerPwr	#99	#48
SP+SP+	#102	#108
Pts POPPO	#70	#88
HavocHav	#92	#15

Charlotte Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#76	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#17
Run ExplRExp	#24	#121
PPAExp	#93	#26
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#18
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#10
TackleTak	-	#84

Charlotte Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	#120	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#78
PPAExp	#120	#89
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#32	#32
F7 HavocF7	#106	#11
DB HavocDB	#57	#46

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5)
South Florida won at Charlotte this year (59-24)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Charlotte last year (59-24)
South Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (48-14)

USF's OC Joel Gordon (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Archie	172	290	59%	1914	9	10	6.6
Byrum Brown	78	132	59%	836	2	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.	121	799	12	6.6	54
Nay'Quan Wright	109	510	8	4.7	64
Taron Keith	78	419	8	5.4	42
Byrum Brown	68	269	3	4.0	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	80	799	2	10.0	52
Keshaun Singleton	27	428	3	15.9	67
Mike Brown-Stephens	28	350	4	12.5	32
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr)	21	254	0	12.1	51

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Todd Orlando (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Harris	82	12	4	6	2
Tavin Ward	61	2	0	0	3
Jhalyn Shuler	60	7	4	4	1
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Harris	82	12	4	6	2
Jhalyn Shuler	60	7	4	4	1
Decarius Hawthorne (Tr)	39	10	3	3	2
Ricardo Watson	36	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Brent Austin (Tr)	48	0	0	10
De'Shawn Rucker (Tr)	41	2	0	7
Ben Knox	22	1	1	6

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deshawn Purdie	100	200	50%	1802	10	6	9.0
Max Brown (Tr)	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hahsaun Wilson	91	559	7	6.1	65
Cartevious Norton (Tr)	129	525	7	4.1	62
Terron Kellman	48	242	0	5.0	41
Max Brown (Tr)	33	85	0	2.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)	32	795	9	24.8	75
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jairus Mack	19	418	0	22.0	59
Isaiah Myers	13	237	3	18.2	37

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Cam Burden	57	3	0	0	2
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Demon Clowney	23	5	2	1	0
Mordecai McDaniel	42	2	1	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4