South Florida at Charlotte Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5) (-120)  Open: -2.5
South Florida 59 - Charlotte: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -10.5   (SP+ USF -13)

Projected Score: USF: 34 - CHAR: 24 (61)
CHAR Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 517 miles
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman-22.5
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Charlotte vs James Madison+6.547.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Charlotte at North Carolina+21.547.5L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb-14.046.5W 27 - 26ON
Sat 9/21 Charlotte at Indiana+28.550.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Charlotte at Rice+4.048.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Charlotte vs East Carolina+9.547.5W 55 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Charlotte at Navy+16.557.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Charlotte at Memphis+17.056.5L 28 - 33OY
Thu 10/31 Charlotte vs Tulane+14.555.5L 3 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Charlotte vs South Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/23 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic-3.049.5W 39 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 Charlotte vs UAB-1.559.5W 29 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)32.239% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)29.840% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
CHAR#126 (.05)35% (131)23.737% (125)2.91 (104)14533% (128)1682.84 (127)#55 (.16)41% (50)35.141% (50)41% (57)4 (87)58.61.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.339.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17
CHAR Defense1235.133.340.6%41.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%41%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
CHAR Offense1223.724.234.6%2.841.8173131451683.854%44%37%33%18%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
Charlotte1232:1716.824%54%6.958.61.81.451.6228.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)
CHAR Defense1253% (111)41% (50) - - - - .13 (59)2.97 (42)61% (14)9% (97)1.01 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
CHAR Offense1254% (34)37% (125)38.71453.816 (89).13 (81)2.91 (104)66% (114)12% (115)1.15 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)
CHAR Defense1246% (23)41% (57) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (73)1.6 (72)31% (82)31% (85).28 (49)6% (88)1.9 (23)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
CHAR Offense1244% (103)33% (128)15.527.3167.86.110.87 (129)16 (121).02 (133)1.5 (83)36% (123)22% (128).11 (126)6% (53)2 (83)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21   Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3   Charlotte: -15.3




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
Charlotte 24


Projected Total Points: 61
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Charlotte24South Florida59South FloridaCharlotte -1.5South Florida53.5Over
202311/25South Florida48Charlotte14South FloridaSouth Florida -7.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte002 Overs
South Florida220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#62) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Charlotte
Power #62
#108
Off #72
#99
Def #48
#110
Talent #102
#118
SP+ #79
#118
SP+ Off #51
#102
SP+ Def #108
#124

Rematch from Week 12
Charlotte -1.5 (53.5)
South Florida won at Charlotte this year (59-24)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Charlotte last year (59-24)
South Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USF | CHAR
Depth Chart: USF | CHAR
Rosters: USF | CHAR
(#108) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Alvon Isaac65018.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr)21254012.151
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Payten Singletary (Tr)17197211.634

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Tawfiq Byard548200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Decarius Hawthorne (Tr)3910332
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
De'Shawn Rucker (Tr)412007
Ben Knox221106

Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson9155976.165
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Terron Kellman4824205.041
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Jairus Mack19418022.059
Isaiah Myers13237318.237
Colin Weber21213010.130

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746222
Cam Burden573002
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414
Reid Williford746222
Demon Clowney235210
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414