Rice at South Florida Game Matchup
Rice logo Rice Owls at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 8)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -19.5   (SP+ USF -12)
Projected Score: RICE: 17 - USF: 36 (55)
USF Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
RICE Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Rice at Louisiana+14.50.0
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+15
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-7
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.5
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic+0.5
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.5
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+16
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB-0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+6.5
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Florida vs Boise State+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+21.5
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+22
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23.5
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas-6
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-2.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-3
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-12.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)22.236% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)25.440% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1222.212.535.5%3.271.8183541152394.637%62%36%35%20%.05
USF Defense1329.827.239.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1225.429.737%3.721 - - - - - 55%45%40%34%17%.16
USF Offense1332.233.638.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1228:4018.335%35%7.157.41.816.32.7232.6
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1237% (132)36% (127)24.8114.54.614 (98)-.03 (126)2.7 (118)86% (3)10% (63)1 (55)
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1255% (112)40% (37) - - - - .16 (85)3.06 (80)76% (83)11% (45)1.07 (103)
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1262% (4)35% (121)24.339.823969.817 (79)13 (103).11 (121)1.5 (97)38% (129)25% (119).17 (119)10% (133)1.9 (104)
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1245% (24)34% (4) - - - - - - 8 (93).16 (33)1.7 (109)34% (30)24% (4).19 (23)6% (70)2.1 (81)
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -17.53 #115
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Rice's Defense Rating: 17.82 #86
2025 Talent Rating: 536.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #121
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #132
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -17.53   South Florida: 3.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -15.8   South Florida: -3.5




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 3.07 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 36
Rice 17

Projected Total Points: 55
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Rice35South Florida28RiceSouth Florida -5.5Rice53.5Over
202309/23South Florida42Rice29South FloridaRice -2.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida112 Overs
Rice110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

(#115) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -17.53 #115
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 17.82 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 536.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Rice Notes
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Will need mobile QB
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal
(3/24) Def was bad, have some exp. Light DL
(3/24) Really hard job, no portal. Option great idea
Rice     Ratings Matchup     South Florida
Power #115
#53
Off #135
#49
Def #86
#55
Talent #101
#32
SP+ #121
#77
SP+ Off #132
#44
SP+ Def #99
#107

Previous Matchups
Rice beat South Florida last year (35-28)
South Florida beat Rice in 2023 (42-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | USF
Depth Chart: RICE | USF
Rosters: RICE | USF
(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.07 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff


  
Rice's OC Vince Munch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Devillier203853%137003.6
Lucas Scheerhorn (Tr)1333%1010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson4827515.745
Taji Atkins2415826.633
Drew Devillier92002.210
Drayden Dickmann1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylen Walker22264112.050
Artis Cole (Tr)12152112.730
Drayden Dickmann108018.031
Quinton Jackson116916.317

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Jon Kay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Andrew Awe444110
Daveon Hook352012
Max Ahoia341008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris498500
Michael Daley146310
Joseph Mutombo113210
Demone Green102211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Ahoia341008
Daveon Hook352012
Jack Kane (Tr)320012

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Sam Franklin (Tr)1813207.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)13155211.938
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10121012.127

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)611032
Jhalyn Shuler607441
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Chavez Brown (Tr)498410
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Izaiah Guy (Tr)300005