Rice at South Florida - 2025 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (14 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -16.5   (SP+ USF -12)

Projected Score: RICE: 11 - USF: 27 (38)
USF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
RICE Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (34 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-2.542.5
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.5
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-0.5
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+11.5
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+23
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+12.5
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+16.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-27
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+3.5
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-14.5
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-6
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy+0.5
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-15.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-16.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#133 (-.03)38% (106)20.344% (76)2.94 (73)24321% (135)703.43 (99)#60 (.11)29% (10)21.333% (24)26% (8)3.38 (62)52.70.70.7
USF#86 (.15)33% (129)21.328% (134)2.62 (102)9537% (106)2704 (67)#76 (.15)43% (93)2447% (107)40% (69)3.79 (80)48.70.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense320.31438.1%3.430.721313243704.477%21%44%21%13%-.03
USF Defense324743%3.792 - - - - - 46%53%47%40%13%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense321.31229.3%3.380.7 - - - - - 54%44%33%26%14%.11
USF Offense321.33433.3%40.717365952703.443%57%28%37%16%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice335:1020.737%43%552.70.70.762.7030.2
South Florida324:2816.737%40%648.70.724.71026.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense377% (3)44% (76)56243.34.46 (49)-.06 (124)2.94 (73)75% (52)11% (109)0.61 (132)
USF Defense346% (44)47% (107) - - - - .08 (77)3.2 (111)80% (107)8% (94)0.75 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense354% (102)33% (24) - - - - .09 (81)2.89 (80)55% (24)9% (92)1.31 (124)
USF Offense343% (111)28% (134)28953.43 (95)-.03 (114)2.62 (102)78% (41)9% (70)1.36 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense321% (134)21% (135)1013.7705.172 (102)1 (23).12 (113)1.7 (32)32% (81)14% (134)-.09 (133)2% (8)1.9 (81)
USF Defense353% (86)40% (69) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (82)1.5 (62)30% (96)35% (107).3 (78)5% (85)1.4 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense344% (32)26% (8) - - - - - - 1 (87).16 (53)2.1 (134)38% (22)32% (88).48 (112)6% (72)2.3 (111)
USF Offense357% (23)37% (106)21.3342707.912.73 (90)1 (23).29 (69)1.6 (54)41% (131)22% (120).31 (76)7% (113)2.6 (5)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Rice's Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Rice's Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -9.66   South Florida: 6.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.2   South Florida: 0.4




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 6.245 #64
South Florida's Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Rice Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 12

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 27
Rice 11


Total Points: 38

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Rice35South Florida28RiceSouth Florida -5.5Rice53.5Over
202309/23South Florida42Rice29South FloridaRice -2.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida112 Overs
Rice110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

(#104) Rice Info
Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Rice has lost 8 straight
Rice has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Notes
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal

Rice Highlights
Rice has Really Good Running Game (#9)
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good run defense (#24)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice has a great TO Margin (#28)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a really bad Offense
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is not Explosive (#136)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#133)
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSFRICE
OverallOver#104#65
OffenseOff#100#55
DefenseDef#103#76
Special TeamsST#109#81
PassingPass#70#48
RushingRush#85#61
Run BlockRBLK#114#51
Pass BlockPBLK#66#101
Route RunningWR Rt#93#58
TacklingTkl#114#26
Run DefenseR Def#110#97
Pass Rush DefPRush#96#40
Coverage DefCov#62#55

Previous Matchups
Rice beat South Florida last year (35-28)
South Florida beat Rice in 2023 (42-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | USF
Depth Chart: RICE | USF
Rosters: RICE | USF
(#64) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 6.245 #64
Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 33%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Awful Run Success 28%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

South Florida has lost 9 straight
South Florida has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

South Florida Notes
(8/28) LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
(7/12) Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
(6/2) RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff

South Florida Highlights
South Florida is Undefeated at Home
South Florida is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
South Florida is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#21)

South Florida has a great TO Margin (#28)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Can Not Run the Ball (#123)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida does not Sack the QB (#112)
South Florida has a bad defensive line (#111)


  
Rice's OC Vince Munch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins273773%182114.9
Drew Devillier3475%28107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson4621324.617
Daelen Alexander3214904.716
Chase Jenkins4714423.121
Aaron Turner889211.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drayden Dickmann118407.623
Landon Ransom-Goelz457114.334
Aaron Turner73304.713
Tyson Thompson32919.722

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Jon Kay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris202100
Andrew Awe183100
Jack Kane (Tr)150001
Peyton Stevenson132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Daley63202
Joseph Mutombo32210
Ty Anthony Morris202100
Cooper King31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khary Crump80004
Michael Daley63202
Omari Porter60002

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown599662%747217.8
Gaston Moore (Tr)4580%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown4411122.523
Alvon Isaac1410807.749
Cartevious Norton (Tr)154913.38
Sam Franklin (Tr)81902.45
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10248024.855
Keshaun Singleton9207223.066
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)87509.430
Alvon Isaac774010.629

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Mac Harris262220
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris262220
Ricardo Watson152110
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001