UTSA at South Florida Game Matchup

Thursday, November 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

USF coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -2.5 (SP+ UTSA -3.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 30 - USF: 32 (63)
USF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 973 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	UTSA at Texas A&M	+21.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	UTSA vs Texas State	-8
Sat 9/13	UTSA vs Incarnate Word	-24
Sat 9/20	UTSA at Colorado State	-8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UTSA at Temple	-16.5
Sat 10/11	UTSA vs Rice	-19.5
Sat 10/18	UTSA at North Texas	-6
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	UTSA vs Tulane	+0.5
Thu 11/6	UTSA at South Florida	+2.5
Sat 11/15	UTSA at Charlotte	-18.5
Sat 11/22	UTSA vs East Carolina	-10.5
Fri 11/28	UTSA vs Army	-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

South Florida's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	South Florida vs Boise State	+9.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	South Florida at Florida	+21.5
Sat 9/13	South Florida at Miami	+22
Sat 9/20	South Florida vs South Carolina State	-24
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	South Florida vs Charlotte	-23.5
Fri 10/10	South Florida at North Texas	-6
Sat 10/18	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-17
Sat 10/25	South Florida at Memphis	+4
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	South Florida vs UTSA	-2.5
Sat 11/15	South Florida at Navy	-3
Sat 11/22	South Florida at UAB	-12.5
Sat 11/29	South Florida vs Rice	-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#61 (.2)	40% (100)	33.2	37% (123)	3.03 (70)	169	43% (61)	283	3.63 (94)	#42 (.13)	34% (2)	30.1	32% (1)	36% (16)	3.78 (66)	81.1	1.7	1.6
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)	32.2	39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)	29.8	38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	33.2	22.2	40.1%	3.63	1.7	22	452	169	283	4.5	46%	54%	37%	43%	16%	.2
USF Defense	13	29.8	27.2	39.2%	4	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	38%	40%	20%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	30.1	39.8	34.3%	3.78	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	32%	36%	22%	.13
USF Offense	13	32.2	33.6	38.3%	3.88	1.4	20	408	181	227	4.8	48%	52%	39%	38%	15%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	31:10	21.5	41%	36%	8.7	81.1	1.7	1.6	8.2	3.2	2	30.4
South Florida	13	25:10	20.4	39%	56%	8.1	70.9	1.4	2.1	8.1	2.5	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	46% (97)	37% (123)	37.7	169	4.5	21 (59)	.1 (88)	3.03 (70)	60% (125)	10% (65)	1.09 (25)
USF Defense	13	49% (46)	38% (17)	-	-	-	-	.04 (26)	2.63 (18)	70% (48)	13% (11)	1.13 (121)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	46% (24)	32% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (5)	2.12 (1)	63% (16)	15% (4)	1.2 (129)
USF Offense	13	48% (82)	39% (112)	37.8	180.8	4.8	34 (10)	.2 (32)	3.06 (60)	66% (114)	10% (62)	1.26 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	54% (37)	43% (61)	24.4	39.2	283.5	7.2	11.6	27 (20)	13 (103)	.29 (52)	1.5 (82)	34% (115)	30% (90)	.34 (67)	6% (81)	2 (73)
USF Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.28 (89)	1.6 (78)	34% (32)	32% (87)	.3 (64)	7% (46)	1.9 (32)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	53% (112)	36% (16)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.27 (83)	1.9 (134)	36% (13)	27% (22)	.39 (103)	7% (29)	2.3 (130)
USF Offense	13	52% (51)	38% (106)	20.2	34.1	227.5	6.7	11.3	16 (87)	10 (63)	.13 (113)	1.5 (109)	34% (114)	25% (121)	.22 (105)	6% (68)	2.2 (21)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.11 #64
UTSA's Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.11 South Florida: 3.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 0.0 South Florida: -3.5

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 3.07 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 32
UTSA 30

Projected Total Points: 63

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/17	UTSA	49	South Florida	21	UTSA	UT San Antonio -14.5	UTSA	65.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	0	0	1 Overs
UTSA	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#64) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.11 #64
Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UTSA Notes
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(5/2) WR stacked, 5 of top 6 back. Depth/Options
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) RB High returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
(3/24) Def bad LY, 6 portal adds.
(3/24) HC Taylor fewer wins each year since '21

UTSA Ratings Matchup South Florida

Power #64

#53

Off #56

#49

Def #67

#55

Talent #81

#32

SP+ #63

#77

SP+ Off #22

#44

SP+ Def #107

#107

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat South Florida in 2023 (49-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | USF
Depth Chart: UTSA | USF
Rosters: UTSA | USF

(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.07 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff

UTSA's OC Justin Burke

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	294	467	63%	3424	25	10	7.3
David Amador	1	1	100%	27	0	0	27.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Owen McCown	86	340	3	4.0	75
Bryson Donnell	35	172	0	4.9	19
Will Henderson III	14	94	1	6.7	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie McCoy	28	536	4	19.1	66
Houston Thomas	34	470	3	13.8	44
Devin Mccuin	45	424	5	9.4	54
David Amador	31	376	1	12.1	51

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Pewee	42	7	2	0	2
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	0	0	2
KK Meier (Tr)	27	1	0	0	3
Vic Shaw	21	4	3	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vic Shaw	21	4	3	2	1
Owen Pewee	42	7	2	0	2
Camron Cooper	12	2	2	1	0
Davin Martin	12	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyan Milton	18	2	1	1	5
KK Meier (Tr)	27	1	0	0	3
Owen Pewee	42	7	2	0	2

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Archie	172	290	59%	1914	9	10	6.6
Byrum Brown	78	132	59%	836	2	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)	129	525	7	4.1	62
Byrum Brown	68	269	3	4.0	42
Bryce Archie	68	137	2	2.0	35
Sam Franklin (Tr)	18	132	0	7.3	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keshaun Singleton	27	428	3	15.9	67
Joshua Porter	24	210	0	8.8	32
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)	13	155	2	11.9	38
Chas Nimrod (Tr)	10	121	0	12.1	27

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Harris	82	12	4	6	2
Tavin Ward	61	2	0	0	3
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)	61	1	0	3	2
Jhalyn Shuler	60	7	4	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mac Harris	82	12	4	6	2
Chavez Brown (Tr)	49	8	4	1	0
Jhalyn Shuler	60	7	4	4	1
Ira Singleton	12	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
De'Shawn Rucker	41	2	0	7
Ben Knox	22	1	1	6
Izaiah Guy (Tr)	30	0	0	5