Florida Atlantic at South Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at South Florida Bulls

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -3 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 56 - South Florida: 14 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -2 (SP+ USF -0)
Projected Score: FAU: 29 - USF: 31 (60)
USF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FAU Travel: 184 miles

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#108 (.12)	39% (107)	23.8	43% (73)	3.33 (26)	115	37% (104)	216	3.72 (83)	#77 (.19)	43% (85)	25.5	41% (51)	46% (122)	3.44 (39)	33.3	1.4	1.5
USF	#79 (.17)	39% (106)	31.9	39% (112)	2.99 (92)	183	40% (82)	269	3.63 (89)	#97 (.23)	40% (41)	32.2	40% (44)	40% (47)	3.7 (60)	65.5	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	23.8	31.3	39.1%	3.72	1.4	18	331	115	216	3.8	43%	55%	43%	37%	20%	.12
USF Defense	13	32.2	27.2	39.8%	3.7	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	40%	19%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	25.5	28.3	43.2%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	46%	15%	.19
USF Offense	13	31.9	28.7	39.2%	3.63	1.6	23	452	183	269	4.1	52%	47%	39%	40%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	27:24	17.9	34%	38%	3.4	33.3	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.3	3	31.7
South Florida	13	28:35	23.1	38%	43%	7.5	65.5	1.6	1.9	7.5	1.8	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	43% (109)	43% (73)	30.8	115.3	3.8	16 (89)	.16 (67)	3.33 (26)	72% (85)	12% (113)	1.01 (59)
USF Defense	13	45% (16)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	.11 (44)	2.73 (16)	69% (44)	12% (15)	1.19 (125)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51% (84)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.08 (30)	3.26 (102)	76% (92)	11% (52)	0.81 (7)
USF Offense	13	52% (49)	39% (112)	44.6	182.8	4.1	23 (46)	.15 (68)	2.99 (92)	81% (12)	11% (92)	1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	55% (27)	37% (104)	22.1	34.3	215.5	6.3	9.8	19 (78)	15 (116)	.16 (105)	1.5 (106)	34% (110)	24% (125)	.11 (125)	8% (125)	2 (102)
USF Defense	13	54% (117)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.37 (112)	1.8 (128)	35% (33)	29% (56)	.37 (96)	7% (46)	2.3 (126)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48% (49)	46% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.36 (111)	1.6 (57)	34% (42)	32% (97)	.34 (81)	4% (125)	1.9 (33)
USF Offense	13	47% (87)	40% (82)	22.1	34.4	268.8	7.8	12.2	27 (25)	11 (68)	.26 (73)	1.6 (64)	36% (121)	27% (95)	.31 (76)	5% (39)	2.3 (15)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02 South Florida: -5.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9 South Florida: -9.5

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.08 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 31
Florida Atlantic 29

Total Points: 60

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/01	Florida Atlantic	21	South Florida	44	South Florida	South Florida -1.5	South Florida	48.0	Over
2023	10/14	South Florida	14	Florida Atlantic	56	Florida Atlantic	South Florida -3	Florida Atlantic	61.0	Over
2013	09/14	South Florida	10	Florida Atlantic	28	Florida Atlantic	South Florida -10.5	Florida Atlantic	0
2010	10/02	South Florida	31	Florida Atlantic	3	South Florida
2007	10/06	Florida Atlantic	23	South Florida	35	South Florida
2002	08/29	South Florida	51	Florida Atlantic	10	South Florida

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	4	1	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 2	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0

(#87) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic has a top Offensive Line (#109)
Florida Atlantic does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#48)

Florida Atlantic defense does not give up big plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic commits very few Penalties (#91)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic Can Not Run the Ball (#93)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic pass game is really bad (#72)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Florida Atlantic has a bad defensive line (#10)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	USF	FAU
OverallOver	#84	#64
OffenseOff	#91	#80
DefenseDef	#60	#51
Special TeamsST	#63	#65
PassingPass	#60	#32
RushingRush	#40	#81
Run BlockRBLK	#98	#66
Pass BlockPBLK	#81	#46
Route RunningWR Rt	#78	#83
TacklingTkl	#94	#25
Run DefenseR Def	#47	#54
Pass Rush DefPRush	#41	#79
Coverage DefCov	#83	#56

Rematch from Week 7
South Florida -3.0 (61.0)
Florida Atlantic won at South Florida this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Florida Atlantic last year (44-21)
Florida Atlantic beat South Florida in 2023 (56-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | USF
Depth Chart: FAU | USF
Rosters: FAU | USF

(#95) South Florida Info
Power Rating: -5.08 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Fumbles a Lot (#42)
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Byrum Brown	276	426	65%	3292	26	11	7.7
Bryce Archie (Tr)	7	15	47%	53	0	0	3.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Byrum Brown	203	809	11	4.0	60
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	180	797	8	4.4	47
Michel Dukes	63	350	2	5.6	30
K'Wan Powell	61	215	1	3.5	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	92	1054	7	11.5	88
Naiem Simmons (Tr)	39	637	5	16.3	53
Khafre Brown	27	435	5	16.1	84
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	27	350	2	13.0	38

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
Jaelen Stokes	61	5	2	1	1
James Gordon Iv	58	9	4	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
James Gordon Iv	58	9	4	4	2
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5
Jonathan Ross	47	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tavin Ward	38	3	0	0	8
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5