South Florida at Houston - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Houston -17 (59.0)
Houston 42 - South Florida: 27 (American Athletic)

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ HOU -22)
Projected Score: USF: 31 - HOU: 28 (59)
HOU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
USF Travel: 786 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (19 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Houston's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Houston at UTSA	-3.5	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Houston at Texas Tech	+3.5	62.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Houston vs Kansas	-8.5	58.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/24	Houston vs Rice	-17.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/30	Houston vs Tulane	-5.0	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/7	Houston at Memphis	+1.5	57.5	W 33 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Houston at Navy	-3.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Houston vs South Florida	-17.0	59.0	W 42 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/5	Houston at SMU	+3.5	66.0	L 63 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/12	Houston vs Temple	-20.0	56.0	W 43 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Houston at East Carolina	+6.0	66.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Houston vs Tulsa	-13.0	66.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/23	Houston vs Louisiana	-5.5	56.5	W 23 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5
HOU	.23	43%	29.1	39%	2.8	143	46%	272	4.45	.06	35%	22.8	37%	33%	3.35	61.4	1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15
HOU Defense	14	22.8	24.2	35.1%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	37%	33%	21%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33
HOU Offense	14	29.1	25.7	42.8%	4.45	1	22	415	143	272	3.9	48%	52%	39%	46%	17%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9
Houston	14	33:35	21.6	42%	68%	6.5	61.4	1	1.8	7.1	3.2	6	33.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97
HOU Defense	14	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.65	63%	14%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17
HOU Offense	14	48%	39%	36.8	143.1	3.9	27	.12	2.8	68%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9
HOU Defense	14	54%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.6	35%	24%	.18	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9
HOU Offense	14	52%	46%	21.9	32.8	271.6	8.3	12.4	32	12	.34	1.6	32%	34%	.54	5%	2.4

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Houston: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -17.0 Houston: 4.5

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2022 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #57
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #9
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #113

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 31
Houston 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Houston	42	South Florida	27	Houston -17	South Florida	59.0	Over
2021	11/06	South Florida	42	Houston	54	Houston -13.5	South Florida	53.0	Over
2020	11/14	Houston	56	South Florida	21	Houston -15	Houston	58.5	Over
2018	10/27	Houston	57	South Florida	36	Houston -10	Houston	76.0	Over
2017	10/28	South Florida	24	Houston	28	South Florida -10	Houston	55.0	Under
2014	11/01	South Florida	3	Houston	27	Houston -10	Houston	0
2013	10/31	Houston	35	South Florida	23	Houston -10.5	Houston	0
2001	11/03	South Florida	45	Houston	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	7	5	4 Overs
South Florida	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	4 - 3	3 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	3 - 4	1 - 1	2 - 3

(#) USF at (#) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#57
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#13
OffenseOff	#66	#17
DefenseDef	#134	#24
Spec TeamsST	#34	#39
TalentTal	#69	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#38	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#107	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Houston -17.0 (59.0)
Houston won vs South Florida this year (42-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD