Temple at South Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview
Temple logo   Temple Owls at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 30 (32 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 6.3 (#61)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
USF is playing their 5th straight game
TEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -15  (SP+ USF -17)
Projected Score: TEM: 24 - USF: 39 (62)
USF Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
TEM Travel: 924 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Temple's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Temple vs Rhode Island-18.5
Sat 9/12 Temple vs Penn State+19.5
Sat 9/19 Temple at Toledo+10.5
Sat 9/26 Temple vs Army+0
Sat 10/3 Temple at South Florida+15
Sat 10/10 Temple vs UConn-0
Sat 10/17 Temple vs Charlotte-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Temple at East Carolina+10.5
Sat 11/7 Temple at Navy+7.5
Sat 11/14 Temple vs UAB-13
Thu 11/19 Temple vs Rice-11.5
Sat 11/28 Temple at Memphis+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Temple's Schedule
South Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida International-19
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Army-7.5
Sat 9/19 South Florida vs Delaware State-31
Sat 9/26 South Florida at Bowling Green-19.5
Sat 10/3 South Florida vs Temple-15
Thu 10/8 South Florida at UTSA-5
Sat 10/17 South Florida vs Kent State-27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 South Florida vs UAB-25.5
Fri 11/6 South Florida at East Carolina-2
Thu 11/12 South Florida vs Memphis-4.5
Sat 11/21 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs Tulane-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM#46 (.2)44% (46)27.844% (60)2.8 (97)14845% (37)1984.58 (13)#132 (.28)46% (125)29.749% (130)43% (88)4.77 (136)50.30.31.3
USF#12 (.31)46% (21)40.547% (26)3.33 (13)21246% (28)2764.45 (17)#20 (.07)38% (21)23.438% (14)38% (37)3.15 (28)611.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Offense1227.831.844.4%4.580.3183451481984.550%49%44%45%14%.2
USF Defense1323.414.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEM Defense1229.728.746.3%4.771.3 - - - - - 57%42%49%43%15%.28
USF Offense1340.55146.5%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Temple1230:0818.338%74%550.30.31.34.61.3128.2
South Florida1325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Offense1250% (63)44% (60)33.2147.84.513 (78).09 (82)2.8 (97)60% (130)9% (67)0.86 (116)
USF Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEM Defense1257% (130)49% (130) - - - - .22 (128)3.37 (133)74% (90)9% (86)0.97 (75)
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Offense1249% (68)45% (37)17.929197.56.81128 (8)2 (1).35 (36)1.5 (87)31% (64)27% (99).2 (107)5% (35)1.8 (127)
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (37) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (67)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEM Defense1242% (6)43% (88) - - - - - - 7 (38).39 (123)1.7 (114)28% (127)33% (110).42 (117)6% (81)1.8 (19)
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -4.75  #86
Temple's Offense Rating: 14.65  #60
Temple's Defense Rating: 24.40  #128
2026 Talent Rating: 698.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #72
Temple's 2026 Expected Record: 5.7 - 6.3
Temple's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #88
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #68
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Temple: -4.75   South Florida: 10.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Temple: -5.1   South Florida: 11.6




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 10.12  #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90  #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26  #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Temple Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Temple's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 39
Temple 24

Projected Total Points: 62
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11South Florida27Temple23South Florida -7.5Temple70.5Under
202211/05Temple54South Florida28South Florida -3.5Temple49.0Over
202110/23South Florida34Temple14South Florida -1.5South Florida54.5Under
202010/17Temple39South Florida37Temple -14.0South Florida53.0Over
201911/07South Florida7Temple17Temple -1Temple50.0Under
201811/17Temple27South Florida17Temple -14South Florida63.0Under
201709/21South Florida43Temple7South Florida -18South Florida61.5Under
201610/21Temple46South Florida30South Florida -6Temple58.5Over
201511/14South Florida44Temple23Temple -3South Florida44.5Over
201210/06Temple37South Florida28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida454 Overs
Temple645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 15 - 42 - 33 - 1
Road Teams1 - 94 - 51 - 33 - 2

(#86) TEM at (#61) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTEMUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #86 #61
SP+SP+ #88 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #72 #87
Temple Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Excited, Owls should bowl, strong run game
(2/25) HC Keeler a good one, look to bowl after 5 wins
(2/25) QB1? Smolik (PSU) vs Sheppard (WSU) likely
(2/25) RB H Smith back, Brown (RU) added. Have depth
(2/25) WR has a decent stable, 2 productive FCS adds
(2/25) TE Peter Clarke is a big target, a top G5 option
(2/25) OL has 4 good starters and depth options. Strong
(2/25) DL is a ?, LB unit looks strong. CBs very green
Temple Injury Report
South Florida Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report
Temple on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #46 #21
ExplosiveExp #110 #107
PPAPPA #46 #20
PowerPwr #60 #78
SP+SP+ #68 #62
Pts POPPO #13 #28
HavocHav #52 #59
Temple Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #60 #14
Run ExplRExp #116 #112
PPAExp #82 #22
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #97 #20
Stuff RateStuff #87 #17
TackleTak - NR
Temple Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
TEM OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #37 #37
Pass ExplPExl #87 #67
PPAExp #36 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #42
DB HavocDB #35 #81
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffTEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #21 #125
ExplosiveExp #28 #69
PPAPPA #12 #132
PowerPwr #43 #128
SP+SP+ #12 #109
Pts POPPO #17 #136
HavocHav #45 #94
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffTEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #130
Run ExplRExp #60 #75
PPAExp #38 #128
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #13 #133
Stuff RateStuff #10 #131
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffTEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #88
Pass ExplPExl #14 #114
PPAExp #6 #123
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #86
DB HavocDB #81 #81
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

TEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Temple in 2023 (27-23)

  
TEM's OC Tyler Walker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Smith6240326.572
Keveun Mason2816716.029
Colin Chase126905.821
Samuel Brown V (Tr)163802.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Freeman (Tr)41774818.965
Jovanni Bermudez39501412.838
Peter Clarke30483616.150
Colin Chase40414410.442

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Brian Smith (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Curly Ordonez698113
Avery Powell541001
Eric Stuart442010
Pooh Lawton232001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JaMair Diaz (Tr)141120
Curly Ordonez698113
Russell Sykes134100
Earl Kulp50000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Curly Ordonez698113
Jayvant Brown121001
Avery Powell541001

USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)15124462%14971156.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)191929104.967
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)9436353.923
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
KJ Cooper (Tr)7224333.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)6258269.474
Mudia Reuben36495513.860
Armani Winfield (Tr)22276212.549
Arhmad Branch (Tr)14212215.149

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Tavin Ward602002
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Zavier Hamilton373000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)286240
Marshon Oxley (Tr)155211
Michael Williams II192110
Ryan Jenkins121100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Tavin Ward602002