Tulsa at South Florida - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
South Florida -17.5 (60.0) (-850)  Open: -14.0
South Florida 63 - Tulsa: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -25   (SP+ USF -18)

Projected Score: TLSA: 18 - USF: 43 (62)
USF Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
TLSA Travel: 967 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulsa vs Northwestern State-37.555.5W 62 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at Arkansas State+9.565.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+17.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa at Louisiana Tech+3.056.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Tulsa at North Texas+7.065.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 10/5 Tulsa vs Army+13.550.5L 7 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Temple+3.551.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs UTSA+9.552.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at UAB+2.557.5L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Tulsa vs East Carolina+16.063.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Tulsa at South Florida+17.560.0L 30 - 63ON
Sat 11/30 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic+2.557.5L 16 - 63ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman-22.5
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)2535% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)42.538% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense122521.334.1%3.541.920390151239447%53%35%33%18%.06
USF Defense1329.827.239.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1242.540.342.2%4.71.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%46%15%.31
USF Offense1332.233.638.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1229:4420.437%32%5.9511.91.36.61.5328.9
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1247% (93)35% (128)37.5151.4411 (116)-.03 (125)2.88 (97)74% (65)12% (110)0.9 (102)
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1248% (40)38% (23) - - - - .11 (65)2.82 (40)69% (42)11% (42)1.2 (130)
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1253% (43)33% (126)20.736.4238.66.611.523 (41)12 (85).16 (104)1.8 (21)34% (116)22% (131).17 (118)6% (77)2.2 (16)
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1252% (97)46% (115) - - - - - - 9 (76).51 (131)1.9 (133)32% (64)33% (100).45 (118)4% (130)2.3 (132)
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -26.23   South Florida: 1.455

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -20.6   South Florida: -2.3




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.455 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 43
Tulsa 18


Total Points: 62

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23South Florida63Tulsa30South FloridaSouth Florida -17.5South Florida60.0Over
202211/18Tulsa48South Florida42TulsaTulsa -14South Florida57.5Over
202110/16South Florida31Tulsa32TulsaTulsa -7.5South Florida56.0Over
202010/23South Florida13Tulsa42TulsaTulsa -11.5Tulsa51.5Over
201810/12Tulsa24South Florida25South FloridaSouth Florida -10Tulsa60.5Under
201711/16South Florida27Tulsa20South FloridaSouth Florida -23.5Tulsa65.5Under
201410/18Tulsa30South Florida38South FloridaSouth Florida -2South Florida51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida445 Overs
Tulsa332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 41 - 22 - 2
Road Teams4 - 34 - 32 - 22 - 1

(#132) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 2 straight
Tulsa has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa offense is explosive (#97)
Tulsa has a good run defense (#90)
Tulsa Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#64)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Tulsa offense is really bad (#88)
Tulsa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#79)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa pass game is really bad (#49)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa does not Sack the QB (#31)
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)
Tulsa has a bad red zone defense (#83)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSFTLSA
OverallOver#72#98
OffenseOff#96#95
DefenseDef#45#112
Special TeamsST#77#96
PassingPass#91#89
RushingRush#48#75
Run BlockRBLK#99#95
Pass BlockPBLK#82#105
Route RunningWR Rt#89#62
TacklingTkl#73#114
Run DefenseR Def#39#85
Pass Rush DefPRush#29#39
Coverage DefCov#65#113

Rematch from Week 13
South Florida -17.5 (60.0)
South Florida won vs Tulsa this year (63-30)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Tulsa last year (63-30)
Tulsa beat South Florida in 2022 (48-42)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | USF
Depth Chart: TLSA | USF
Rosters: TLSA | USF
(#62) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 1.455 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Florida has won 1 straight
South Florida has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot

South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)


  
Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins8740244.677
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Bill Jackson6731904.837
Lloyd Avant7625913.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin70822611.774
Joseph Williams30588519.672
Luke Mcgary17231113.632
Zion Steptoe (Tr)15203013.534

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Dayne Hodge601003
Malachi Jones490003
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)4710100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Jackson354302
Owen Ostroski358240
Vontroy Malone255210
Myles Jackson (Tr)366210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Dayne Hodge601003

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.121799126.654
Nay'Quan Wright10951084.764
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins80799210.052
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Mike Brown-Stephens28350412.532
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr)21254012.151

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Jamie Pettway567222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Decarius Hawthorne (Tr)3910332
Ricardo Watson368320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
De'Shawn Rucker (Tr)412007
Ben Knox221106