South Florida at Cincinnati - 2022 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (2:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -27 (58.5)
Cincinnati 28 - South Florida: 24 (American Athletic)

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN is playing their 6th straight game
USF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -17.5 (SP+ CIN -30)
Projected Score: USF: 30 - CIN: 30 (60)
CIN Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
USF Travel: 779 miles

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5
CIN	.3	48%	30.3	50%	3.13	172	47%	241	4.56	.06	38%	25.6	41%	35%	2.87	53.9	1.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15
CIN Defense	14	25.6	19.6	38.2%	2.87	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	35%	20%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33
CIN Offense	14	30.3	34.4	48.3%	4.56	1.4	20	413	172	241	5.2	48%	52%	50%	47%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9
Cincinnati	14	27:09	19.8	39%	63%	7.2	53.9	1.4	2.4	7.3	2.8	2	33.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97
CIN Defense	14	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.87	73%	13%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17
CIN Offense	14	48%	50%	33.1	171.9	5.2	34	.29	3.13	83%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9
CIN Defense	14	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.6	35%	25%	.15	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9
CIN Offense	14	52%	47%	18.4	28.6	241.2	8.4	13.1	33	9	.31	1.5	27%	28%	.17	5%	1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Cincinnati: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -17.0 Cincinnati: 13.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 30
Cincinnati 30

Projected Total Points: 60

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	Cincinnati	28	South Florida	24	Cincinnati -27	South Florida	58.5	Under
2021	11/12	South Florida	28	Cincinnati	45	Cincinnati -24.5	South Florida	58.5	Over
2020	10/03	Cincinnati	28	South Florida	7	Cincinnati -22	South Florida	44.5	Under
2019	11/16	South Florida	17	Cincinnati	20	Cincinnati -13	South Florida	46.5	Under
2018	11/10	Cincinnati	35	South Florida	23	Cincinnati -14	South Florida	53.0	Over
2017	10/14	South Florida	33	Cincinnati	3	South Florida -24	South Florida	63.0	Under
2016	10/01	Cincinnati	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -6	South Florida	64.5	Over
2015	11/20	South Florida	65	Cincinnati	27	Cincinnati -2.5	South Florida	66.0	Over
2014	10/24	Cincinnati	34	South Florida	17	Cincinnati -10	Cincinnati	0
2013	10/05	South Florida	26	Cincinnati	20	Cincinnati -13.5	South Florida	0
2012	11/23	Cincinnati	27	South Florida	10
2011	10/22	South Florida	34	Cincinnati	37
2010	10/22	Cincinnati	30	South Florida	38
2009	10/15	South Florida	17	Cincinnati	34
2008	10/30	Cincinnati	24	South Florida	10
2007	11/03	South Florida	33	Cincinnati	38
2006	10/22	Cincinnati	23	South Florida	6
2005	11/19	South Florida	31	Cincinnati	16
2004	11/20	Cincinnati	45	South Florida	23
2003	10/31	South Florida	24	Cincinnati	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	13	1	4 Overs
South Florida	7	9	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	6 - 4	2 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 13	4 - 6	1 - 4	3 - 2

(#) USF at (#) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#31
OffenseOff	#66	#59
DefenseDef	#134	#19
Spec TeamsST	#34	#54
TalentTal	#69	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#38	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#98	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Cincinnati -27.0 (58.5)
Cincinnati won vs South Florida this year (28-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD