South Florida at Cincinnati - 2022 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (2:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -27 (58.5)
Cincinnati 28 - South Florida: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 41 (25 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN is playing their 6th straight game
USF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -17.5  (SP+ CIN -30)
Projected Score: USF: 21 - CIN: 39 (60)
CIN Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
USF Travel: 779 miles
Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (35 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Florida vs BYU+11.058.5L 21 - 50ON
Sat 9/10 South Florida vs Howard-39.561.5W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/17 South Florida at Florida+23.558.0L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 South Florida at Louisville+15.563.5L 3 - 41UN
Sat 10/1 South Florida vs East Carolina+10.055.5L 28 - 48ON
Sat 10/8 South Florida at Cincinnati+27.058.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 10/15 South Florida vs Tulane+12.055.0L 31 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 South Florida at Houston+17.059.0L 27 - 42OY
Sat 11/5 South Florida at Temple-3.549.0L 28 - 54ON
Sat 11/12 South Florida vs SMU+17.572.5L 23 - 41UN
Fri 11/18 South Florida at Tulsa+14.057.5L 42 - 48OY
Sat 11/26 South Florida vs UCF+20.067.5L 39 - 46OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Cincinnati at Arkansas+6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State-30
Sat 9/17 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-24.051.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Indiana-16.557.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati at Tulsa-10.059.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati vs South Florida-27.058.5W 28 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati at SMU-3.559.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at UCF+1.555.5L 21 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs Navy-18.543.5W 20 - 10UN
Fri 11/11 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-4.551.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 11/19 Cincinnati at Temple-17.048.5W 23 - 3UY
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati vs Tulane+1.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 12/17 Cincinnati vs Louisville+2.538.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.2744%2846%3.5419742%1934.12.3951%41.252%51%4.5636.91.71.7
CIN.1840%29.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%20.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense122825.344%4.121.7193901971935.356%43%46%42%16%.27
CIN Defense1320.62037.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1241.240.751.1%4.561.7 - - - - - 54%45%52%51%14%.39
CIN Offense1329.234.539.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1229:2819.339%45%4.636.91.71.75.21.2129.9
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1256%46%36.8196.85.325.333.5479%11%1.2
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1254%52% - - - - .413.5270%10%1.25
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1243%42%15.727.2192.97.112.3189.241.631%28%.335%2.3
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1245%51% - - - - - - 6.431.526%38%.54%1.9
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0  #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Cincinnati: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -17.0   Cincinnati: 13.1




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 41.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 39
South Florida 21

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 42
South Florida 19

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 36
South Florida 23

Total Points: 59
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Cincinnati28South Florida24Cincinnati -27South Florida58.5Under
202111/12South Florida28Cincinnati45Cincinnati -24.5South Florida58.5Over
202010/03Cincinnati28South Florida7Cincinnati -22South Florida44.5Under
201911/16South Florida17Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13South Florida46.5Under
201811/10Cincinnati35South Florida23Cincinnati -14South Florida53.0Over
201710/14South Florida33Cincinnati3South Florida -24South Florida63.0Under
201610/01Cincinnati20South Florida45South Florida -6South Florida64.5Over
201511/20South Florida65Cincinnati27Cincinnati -2.5South Florida66.0Over
201410/24Cincinnati34South Florida17Cincinnati -10Cincinnati0
201310/05South Florida26Cincinnati20Cincinnati -13.5South Florida0
201211/23Cincinnati27South Florida10
201110/22South Florida34Cincinnati37
201010/22Cincinnati30South Florida38
200910/15South Florida17Cincinnati34
200810/30Cincinnati24South Florida10
200711/03South Florida33Cincinnati38
200610/22Cincinnati23South Florida6
200511/19South Florida31Cincinnati16
200411/20Cincinnati45South Florida23
200310/31South Florida24Cincinnati17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1314 Overs
South Florida794 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 42 - 34 - 1
Road Teams7 - 134 - 61 - 43 - 2

(#) USF at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #24
Perf GradeGrade #115 #31
OffenseOff #66 #59
DefenseDef #134 #19
Spec TeamsST #34 #54
TalentTal #69 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #19
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #38 #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #85 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #39
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #67 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #134
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #133
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUSF Def
Run GameRun #98 #131
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffUSF Def
Pass GamePass #25 #133
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #132
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Cincinnati -27.0 (58.5)
Cincinnati won vs South Florida this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat South Florida in 2022 (28-24)

  
USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD