Memphis at South Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo   Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Thursday, November 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
MEM coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -4.5  (SP+ USF -4)
Projected Score: MEM: 28 - USF: 32 (60)
USF Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Memphis's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Memphis at UNLV-1.5
Sat 9/5 Memphis vs Arkansas State-25
Sat 9/12 Memphis at Boise State+0.5
Sat 9/19 Memphis vs UT Martin-29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Memphis at Charlotte-24
Sat 10/10 Memphis vs UAB-24
Fri 10/16 Memphis at Tulane-2
Thu 10/22 Memphis vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/31 Memphis vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/12 Memphis at South Florida+4.5
Sat 11/21 Memphis at Navy-3
Sat 11/28 Memphis vs Temple-13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
South Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida International-19
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Army-7.5
Sat 9/19 South Florida vs Delaware State-31
Sat 9/26 South Florida at Bowling Green-19.5
Sat 10/3 South Florida vs Temple-15
Thu 10/8 South Florida at UTSA-5
Sat 10/17 South Florida vs Kent State-27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 South Florida vs UAB-25.5
Fri 11/6 South Florida at East Carolina-2
Thu 11/12 South Florida vs Memphis-4.5
Sat 11/21 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs Tulane-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#24 (.26)45% (40)32.549% (12)3.33 (11)18342% (70)2284.41 (23)#92 (.19)42% (66)23.239% (32)45% (110)4 (100)48.10.91.5
USF#12 (.31)46% (21)40.547% (26)3.33 (13)21246% (28)2764.45 (17)#20 (.07)38% (21)23.438% (14)38% (37)3.15 (28)611.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1332.53544.9%4.410.9234121832285.148%50%49%42%14%.26
USF Defense1323.414.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.220.841.6%41.5 - - - - - 50%49%39%45%17%.19
USF Offense1340.55146.5%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1331:3822.742%56%5.548.10.91.561.6329.4
South Florida1325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1348% (79)49% (12)36.2183.25.134 (1).3 (5)3.33 (11)75% (47)10% (98)1.17 (7)
USF Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1350% (71)39% (32) - - - - .04 (32)2.57 (13)73% (87)11% (28)0.98 (81)
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1350% (60)42% (70)21.431.7228.47.210.717 (86)9 (88).23 (80)1.5 (95)32% (83)32% (42).34 (55)4% (14)2.1 (43)
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (37) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (67)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1349% (72)45% (110) - - - - - - 12 (6).37 (118)1.6 (105)32% (62)30% (77).37 (105)6% (47)2.1 (113)
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.06  #58
Memphis's Offense Rating: 15.50  #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 16.44  #74
2026 Talent Rating: 848.00  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #72
Memphis's 2026 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.06   South Florida: 10.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6   South Florida: 11.6




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 10.12  #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90  #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26  #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 32
Memphis 28

Projected Total Points: 60
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Memphis34South Florida31South Florida -3.5Memphis58.5Over
202410/12South Florida3Memphis21Memphis -10Memphis61.0Under
202311/04Memphis59South Florida50Memphis -13.5South Florida68.5Over
202011/07Memphis34South Florida33Memphis -17.5South Florida67.0Push
201911/23South Florida10Memphis49Memphis -15.5Memphis60.0Under
201611/12Memphis42South Florida49South Florida -3South Florida76.5Over
201510/02South Florida17Memphis24Memphis -10.5South Florida58.5Under
201411/22Memphis31South Florida20Memphis -19South Florida0
201311/16South Florida10Memphis23Memphis -2.5Memphis0
200812/20South Florida41Memphis14
200411/27South Florida15Memphis31
200311/29Memphis16South Florida21
200211/09South Florida31Memphis28
200109/22Memphis17South Florida9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida453 Overs
Memphis1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 72 - 70 - 32 - 4
Road Teams7 - 77 - 24 - 23 - 0

(#58) MEM at (#61) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #58 #61
SP+SP+ #39 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #49 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #72 #87
Memphis Notes
(2/2) HC Huff good hire, OC Decker (ODU) great hire
Memphis Injury Report
South Florida Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report
Memphis on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #40 #21
ExplosiveExp #31 #107
PPAPPA #24 #20
PowerPwr #46 #78
SP+SP+ #21 #62
Pts POPPO #23 #28
HavocHav #49 #59
Memphis Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #14
Run ExplRExp #7 #112
PPAExp #5 #22
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #11 #20
Stuff RateStuff #75 #17
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #37
Pass ExplPExl #95 #67
PPAExp #80 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #42
DB HavocDB #14 #81
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #21 #66
ExplosiveExp #28 #104
PPAPPA #12 #92
PowerPwr #43 #74
SP+SP+ #12 #75
Pts POPPO #17 #100
HavocHav #45 #30
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #32
Run ExplRExp #60 #81
PPAExp #38 #32
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #13 #13
Stuff RateStuff #10 #29
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #110
Pass ExplPExl #14 #105
PPAExp #6 #118
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #28
DB HavocDB #81 #47
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Memphis beat South Florida last year (34-31)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2024 (21-3)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2023 (59-50)

  
MEM's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Air Noland (Tr)2367%13004.3
Brady Kluse11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dallan Hayden (Tr)7032614.742
Manny Covey (Tr)2719417.236
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)112012.012
Air Noland (Tr)1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tychaun Chapman (Tr)24444318.550
Hunter Tipton (Tr)39411210.537
Brady Kluse22240210.925
Justin Hughes9132014.733

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Ahmere Foster (Tr)471012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Mond Tapp (Tr)69128102
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302
Taylor Burton112112
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Richard271008
Ian Foster (Tr)764127
Michael Montgomery (Tr)1066302

USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)15124462%14971156.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)191929104.967
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)9436353.923
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
KJ Cooper (Tr)7224333.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)6258269.474
Mudia Reuben36495513.860
Armani Winfield (Tr)22276212.549
Arhmad Branch (Tr)14212215.149

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Tavin Ward602002
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Zavier Hamilton373000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)286240
Marshon Oxley (Tr)155211
Michael Williams II192110
Ryan Jenkins121100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Tavin Ward602002