South Florida at UConn - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Connecticut -1 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 24 - UConn: 21

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
Wind: 13.7 MPH
CONN coming off BYE
USF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -2.5   (SP+ USF -6.5)

Projected Score: USF: 31 - CONN: 28 (59)
CONN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
USF Travel: 1103 miles
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Florida at Western Kentucky+13.571.5L 24 - 41UN
Sat 9/9 South Florida vs Florida A&M-20.063.0W 38 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 South Florida vs Alabama+34.061.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 South Florida vs Rice+2.556.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at Navy+4.054.0W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/7 South Florida at UAB-3.568.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-3.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 10/21 South Florida at UConn+1.057.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 South Florida at Memphis+13.568.5L 50 - 59OY
Sat 11/11 South Florida vs Temple-7.570.5W 27 - 23UN
Fri 11/17 South Florida at UTSA+14.565.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 South Florida vs Charlotte-7.556.5W 48 - 14OY
Thu 12/21 South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.2744%32.246%3.5419742%1934.12.3951%29.852%51%4.5636.91.71.7
CONN.1138%31.943%3.0319132%1123.67.1947%23.149%46%3.6960.81.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1232.234.344%4.121.7193901971935.356%43%46%42%16%.27
CONN Defense1323.116.347.2%3.692.3 - - - - - 52%47%49%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1229.831.851.1%4.561.7 - - - - - 54%45%52%51%14%.39
CONN Offense1331.936.938.2%3.671.6163031911124.762%36%43%32%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1229:2819.339%45%4.636.91.71.75.21.2129.9
UConn1330:1716.237%39%7.160.81.62.34.21.8029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1256%46%36.8196.85.325.333.5479%11%1.2
CONN Defense1352%49% - - - - .213.2683%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1254%52% - - - - .413.5270%10%1.25
CONN Offense1362%43%40.4190.94.720.213.0364%13%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1243%42%15.727.2192.97.112.3189.241.631%28%.335%2.3
CONN Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 13.211.327%31%.216%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1245%51% - - - - - - 6.431.526%38%.54%1.9
CONN Offense1336%32%12.121.21125.39.31010.11.635%26%.165%2.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66   UConn: -10.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5   UConn: -16.0




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.125 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 31
UConn 28


Projected Total Points: 59
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21UConn21South Florida24South FloridaConnecticut -1South Florida57.0Under
201910/05UConn22South Florida48South FloridaSouth Florida -10.5South Florida48.5Over
201810/20South Florida38UConn30South FloridaSouth Florida -33UConn67.5Over
201711/04UConn20South Florida37South FloridaSouth Florida -24UConn64.5Under
201610/15South Florida42UConn27South FloridaSouth Florida -17UConn53.5Over
201510/17UConn20South Florida28South FloridaConnecticut -1.5South Florida44.0Over
201409/19South Florida17UConn14South FloridaSouth Florida -2.5South Florida0
201310/12UConn10South Florida13South FloridaConnecticut -6South Florida0
201211/03South Florida13UConn6South Florida
201110/15UConn16South Florida10UConn
201012/04South Florida16UConn19UConn
200912/05UConn29South Florida27UConn
200811/23South Florida17UConn13South Florida
200710/27UConn22South Florida15UConn
200610/07South Florida38UConn16South Florida
200511/26UConn15South Florida10UConn
200110/13South Florida40UConn21South Florida
200010/27UConn13South Florida21South Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn534 Overs
South Florida1352 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 72 - 61 - 51 - 1
Road Teams7 - 116 - 21 - 15 - 1

(#95) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.66 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile






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South Florida     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #95
#115
Off #94
#102
Def #92
#109
Talent #97
#111
SP+ #102
#122
SP+ Off #61
#118
SP+ Def #123
#97

Rematch from Week 8
UConn -1.0 (57.0)
South Florida won at UConn this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UConn in 2023 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 56° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.024


Team Information
Injuries: USF | CONN
Depth Chart: USF | CONN
Rosters: USF | CONN
(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.125 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Sean Atkins1333%12104.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.121799126.654
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)10951084.764
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Yasias Young165603.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins80799210.052
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)28350412.532
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)2214906.844

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamie Pettway567222
Will Jones II444103
James Gordon Iv291120
Jason Vaughn224100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tramel Logan Jr.206420
Jamie Pettway567222
Jason Vaughn224100
Will Jones II444103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Jones II444103
Jamie Pettway567222
Logan Berryhill181001

UConn's OC Nick Charlton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano (Tr)12020758%16312047.9
Ta'Quan Roberson3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devontae Houston11964835.480
Joe Fagnano (Tr)306012.019
Cameron Ross456014.041
Ta'Quan Roberson1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
Justin Joly43661415.440
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Brett Buckman791013.032

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Lou Spanos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Dalmont Gourdine274146
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Chris Shearin582024
Malik Dixon671003