South Florida at Florida - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 17th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida -23.5 (58.0)
Florida 31 - South Florida: 28

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -16 (SP+ FLA -27)
Projected Score: USF: 29 - FLA: 27 (56)
FLA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
USF Travel: 116 miles

Gators (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Utah	+2.5	52.0	W 29 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-6.0	53.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida vs South Florida	-23.5	58.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+11.0	62.0	L 33 - 38	O	Y
Sun 10/2	Florida vs Eastern Washington	-32.0	71.5	W 52 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida vs Missouri	-11.0	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida vs LSU	-2.0	51.5	L 35 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	+23.0	56.5	L 20 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Texas A&M	+1.5	53.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-8.0	58.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida at Vanderbilt	-14.0	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/25	Florida at Florida State	+10.0	58.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 12/17	Florida vs Oregon State	+7.5	52.0	L 3 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5
FLA	.27	47%	21.6	46%	3.35	209	48%	254	4.11	.17	41%	24	44%	39%	3.73	70.6	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15
FLA Defense	13	24	18.7	41%	3.73	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	39%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33
FLA Offense	13	21.6	29	46.6%	4.11	1.6	22	463	209	254	5.5	52%	47%	46%	48%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9
Florida	13	30:30	22.4	41%	54%	8	70.6	1.6	1	6.2	2.8	0	28.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97
FLA Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.11	69%	11%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17
FLA Offense	13	52%	46%	38.1	208.8	5.5	26	.25	3.35	69%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9
FLA Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.21	1.6	32%	29%	.3	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9
FLA Offense	13	47%	48%	20.4	32	254.2	7.9	12.5	27	18	.37	1.6	30%	30%	.31	7%	2.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Florida: 7.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -17.0 Florida: 10.4

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.7 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #79

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 29
Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Florida	16	South Florida	18	Florida -18.5	South Florida	58.0	Under
2022	09/17	Florida	31	South Florida	28	Florida -23.5	South Florida	58.0	Over
2021	09/11	South Florida	20	Florida	42	Florida -29	South Florida	57.0	Over
2010	09/11	Florida	38	South Florida	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	3	0	2 Overs
South Florida	1	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0

(#) USF at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#34
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#40
OffenseOff	#66	#21
DefenseDef	#134	#72
Spec TeamsST	#34	#99
TalentTal	#69	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#38	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#54
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#37	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Florida -23.5 (58.0)
Florida won vs South Florida this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Florida last year (18-16)

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD