South Florida at Tulane - 2024 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -4 (60.5) (-180)  Open: -7.5
Tulane 45 - South Florida: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TULN is playing their 5th straight game
USF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -9.5   (SP+ TULN -8)

Projected Score: USF: 25 - TULN: 35 (60)
TULN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 480 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman-22.5
Sat 9/7 South Florida at Alabama+33.565.5L 16 - 42UY
Sat 9/14 South Florida at Southern Miss-13.058.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 9/21 South Florida vs Miami+17.064.5L 15 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 South Florida at Tulane+4.060.5L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 South Florida vs Memphis+10.061.0L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/19 South Florida vs UAB-14.055.5W 35 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-1.548.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 South Florida vs Navy+4.559.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 South Florida at Charlotte+1.553.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 South Florida vs Tulsa-17.560.0W 63 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 South Florida at Rice-5.553.5L 28 - 35ON
Tue 12/24 South Florida vs San José State-1.566.5W 41 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.555.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Tulane vs Kansas State+8.547.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/14 Tulane at Oklahoma+13.548.5L 19 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Tulane at Louisiana-1.553.5W 41 - 33OY
Sat 9/28 Tulane vs South Florida-4.060.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Tulane at UAB-19.552.0W 71 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulane vs Rice-21.553.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/26 Tulane at North Texas-7.570.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/31 Tulane at Charlotte-14.555.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/9 Tulane vs Temple-25.550.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 11/16 Tulane at Navy-7.549.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Tulane vs Memphis-12.554.5L 24 - 34ON
Fri 12/6 Tulane at Army-4.546.5L 14 - 35ON
Fri 12/20 Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.338.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17
TULN Defense1420.615.738.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
TULN Offense1435.137.345.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21   Tulane: 8.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3   Tulane: 5.7




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 8.51 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 35
South Florida 25


Total Points: 60

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Tulane45South Florida10TulaneTulane -4Tulane60.5Under
202210/15South Florida31Tulane45TulaneTulane -12Tulane55.0Over
202111/20Tulane45South Florida14TulaneTulane -5.5Tulane59.5Under
201811/03South Florida15Tulane41TulaneSouth Florida -6Tulane60.5Under
201710/21Tulane28South Florida34South FloridaSouth Florida -11Tulane54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane452 Overs
South Florida103 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 33 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#62) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Florida has lost 1 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot

South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTULNUSF
OverallOver#6#72
OffenseOff#4#96
DefenseDef#17#45
Special TeamsST#51#77
PassingPass#12#91
RushingRush#8#48
Run BlockRBLK#9#99
Pass BlockPBLK#30#82
Route RunningWR Rt#9#89
TacklingTkl#76#73
Run DefenseR Def#48#39
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#29
Coverage DefCov#52#65

Rematch from Week 5
Tulane -4.0 (60.5)
Tulane won vs South Florida this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat South Florida last year (45-10)
Tulane beat South Florida in 2022 (45-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | TULN
Depth Chart: USF | TULN
Rosters: USF | TULN
(#40) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 8.51 #40
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 1 straight
Tulane has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulane Notes
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW

Tulane Highlights
Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane offense is good in red zone (#57)
Tulane offense is good on 3rd downs
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane has a really good defense (#96)
Tulane has a good run defense (#109)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.121799126.654
Nay'Quan Wright10951084.764
Taron Keith7841985.442
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins80799210.052
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Mike Brown-Stephens28350412.532
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr)21254012.151

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Jamie Pettway567222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Decarius Hawthorne (Tr)3910332
Ricardo Watson368320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
De'Shawn Rucker (Tr)412007
Ben Knox221106

Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)61155%74206.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson (Tr)4024366.150
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams (Tr)48831417.368
Dontae Fleming29577119.953
Yulkeith Brown31440414.242
Alex Bauman15171611.436

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Grubbs585211
Sam Howard (Tr)564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Hamilton216540
Patrick Jenkins307512
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Adin Huntington (Tr)285401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Robinson (Tr)291006
Javion White92003
Rayshawn Pleasant351003