Tulane at South Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview

Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls

Friday, November 27th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL (American Athletic)

Green Wave (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#43)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

USF is playing their 5th straight game
TULN is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -8.5 (SP+ USF -5)
Projected Score: TULN: 26 - USF: 34 (60)
USF Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TULN Travel: 480 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Tulane at Duke	+8
Sat 9/12	Tulane vs South Alabama	-18
Sat 9/19	Tulane at Kansas State	+8.5
Sat 9/26	Tulane vs Southern Miss	-11
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Tulane at Army	-1
Fri 10/16	Tulane vs Memphis	+2
Sat 10/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-4
Fri 10/30	Tulane at Charlotte	-20
Sat 11/7	Tulane vs Tulsa	-10.5
Sat 11/14	Tulane at Rice	-13
Sat 11/21	Tulane vs North Texas	+0
Fri 11/27	Tulane at South Florida	+8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

South Florida's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	South Florida vs Florida International	-19
Sat 9/12	South Florida at Army	-7.5
Sat 9/19	South Florida vs Delaware State	-31
Sat 9/26	South Florida at Bowling Green	-19.5
Sat 10/3	South Florida vs Temple	-15
Thu 10/8	South Florida at UTSA	-5
Sat 10/17	South Florida vs Kent State	-27
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	South Florida vs UAB	-25.5
Fri 11/6	South Florida at East Carolina	-2
Thu 11/12	South Florida vs Memphis	-4.5
Sat 11/21	South Florida at Florida Atlantic	-13.5
Fri 11/27	South Florida vs Tulane	-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#33 (.22)	46% (34)	27.7	44% (59)	3.18 (24)	166	48% (15)	245	3.88 (54)	#62 (.15)	45% (111)	23.9	44% (91)	46% (121)	3.65 (65)	63.9	1.2	1.8
USF	#12 (.31)	46% (21)	40.5	47% (26)	3.33 (13)	212	46% (28)	276	4.45 (17)	#20 (.07)	38% (21)	23.4	38% (14)	38% (37)	3.15 (28)	61	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	27.7	26.4	45.5%	3.88	1.2	22	412	166	245	4.5	53%	45%	44%	48%	13%	.22
USF Defense	13	23.4	14.3	37.8%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	38%	38%	16%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	23.9	32	45.1%	3.65	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	44%	46%	17%	.15
USF Offense	13	40.5	51	46.5%	4.45	1.5	24	488	212	276	5.5	51%	48%	47%	46%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	30:51	21.9	42%	52%	6.9	63.9	1.2	1.8	5.6	2.6	1	34.5
South Florida	13	25:24	23.8	46%	62%	6.6	61	1.5	1.9	6.5	2.5	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	53% (39)	44% (59)	36.7	166.4	4.5	26 (49)	.11 (66)	3.18 (24)	78% (29)	7% (14)	0.89 (104)
USF Defense	13	48% (47)	38% (14)	-	-	-	-	.02 (22)	2.63 (20)	79% (120)	11% (42)	1.06 (112)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	46% (18)	44% (91)	-	-	-	-	.09 (64)	2.97 (85)	71% (67)	10% (49)	0.9 (36)
USF Offense	13	51% (55)	47% (26)	38.8	212.2	5.5	29 (30)	.18 (38)	3.33 (13)	81% (9)	8% (23)	0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	45% (96)	48% (15)	18.7	30.4	245.1	8.1	13.1	18 (106)	9 (7)	.38 (27)	1.5 (75)	29% (32)	34% (25)	.39 (34)	5% (45)	1.9 (95)
USF Defense	13	51% (94)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (6)	.17 (33)	1.6 (67)	37% (5)	27% (34)	.23 (43)	6% (81)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	52% (115)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (38)	.26 (74)	1.4 (12)	28% (123)	33% (104)	.32 (83)	6% (47)	1.9 (35)
USF Offense	13	48% (80)	46% (28)	20.7	31.2	275.6	8.9	13.3	33 (8)	11 (60)	.48 (6)	1.7 (14)	29% (24)	30% (75)	.43 (25)	6% (81)	2.3 (4)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: -3.29 #83
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.34 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 18.63 #85
2026 Talent Rating: 674.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Tulane's 2026 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Tulane's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #45
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #35
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #71

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: -3.29 South Florida: 10.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.3 South Florida: 11.6

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 10.12 #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90 #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26 #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6 #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 34
Tulane 26

Projected Total Points: 60

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Tulane	45	South Florida	10	Tulane -4	Tulane	60.5	Under
2022	10/15	South Florida	31	Tulane	45	Tulane -12	Tulane	55.0	Over
2021	11/20	Tulane	45	South Florida	14	Tulane -5.5	Tulane	59.5	Under
2018	11/03	South Florida	15	Tulane	41	South Florida -6	Tulane	60.5	Under
2017	10/21	Tulane	28	South Florida	34	South Florida -11	Tulane	54.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	1	0	2 Overs
Tulane	4	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2

(#83) TULN at (#61) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#83	#61
SP+SP+	#45	#29
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#87

Tulane Notes(2/26) Vibes: Can't be great, lost staff, roster. Hall is ?
(2/26) QB1 Semonza or Z Chriss (Hou), backups are Fr
(2/26) RB McClure was lead LY, 3 portal adds into mix
(2/26) WR Brown-Stephens good but small. 3 portals
(2/26) OL 2 starters back, 3 portals. Should be OK here
(2/26) DL is an issue, DT exp'd but avg, pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs are OK, have exp, safety duo is solid
(2/26) The Def, really the entire team lacks dudes TY
(2/24) New HC Hall (PGC LY,) ? hire after So Miss wreck
Tulane Injury Report

South Florida Notes(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#34	#21
ExplosiveExp	#105	#107
PPAPPA	#33	#20
PowerPwr	#86	#78
SP+SP+	#35	#62
Pts POPPO	#54	#28
HavocHav	#21	#59

Tulane Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#14
Run ExplRExp	#104	#112
PPAExp	#66	#22
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#17
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulane Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#15	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#75	#67
PPAExp	#27	#33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#14	#42
DB HavocDB	#45	#81

South Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	USF Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#21	#111
ExplosiveExp	#28	#21
PPAPPA	#12	#62
PowerPwr	#43	#85
SP+SP+	#12	#71
Pts POPPO	#17	#65
HavocHav	#45	#52

South Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	USF Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#91
Run ExplRExp	#60	#36
PPAExp	#38	#64
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#92
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	USF Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#28	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#12
PPAExp	#6	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	#49
DB HavocDB	#81	#47

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat South Florida in 2024 (45-10)

TULN's OC Russ Callaway (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	10	21	48%	108	1	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamauri McClure	83	540	2	6.5	30
Jaylin Lucas (Tr)	27	160	0	5.9	26
Maurice Turner	28	127	0	4.5	18
Zeon Chriss	12	79	0	6.6	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Brown	41	523	2	12.8	54
Zycarl Lewis Jr.	24	330	2	13.8	63
Garrett Mmahat	10	124	0	12.4	22
Dawson Johnson (Tr)	10	99	1	9.9	17

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Tayler Polk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Kevin Adams	44	0	0	0	3
Dalton Hughes (Tr)	40	1	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Rodgers	80	7	3	2	1
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	0	3
Makai Williams	25	3	1	2	0
Tavare Smith	18	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
E'zaiah Shine	35	2	0	7
Jack Tchienchou	80	2	1	3
Kevin Adams	44	0	0	3

USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)	151	244	62%	1497	11	5	6.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)	94	151	62%	1010	8	2	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)	191	929	10	4.9	67
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)	94	363	5	3.9	23
Alvon Isaac	73	350	0	4.8	49
KJ Cooper (Tr)	72	243	3	3.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)	62	582	6	9.4	74
Mudia Reuben	36	495	5	13.8	60
Armani Winfield (Tr)	22	276	2	12.5	49
Arhmad Branch (Tr)	14	212	2	15.1	49

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)	74	4	1	3
Tavin Ward	60	2	0	2
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)	37	1	1	3
Zavier Hamilton	37	3	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)	28	6	2	4	0
Marshon Oxley (Tr)	15	5	2	1	1
Michael Williams II	19	2	1	1	0
Ryan Jenkins	12	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)	74	4	1	3
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)	37	1	1	3
Tavin Ward	60	2	0	2